Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Down won
Total volume
$36,136
Trades
3,158
Unique wallets
740
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
25¢
Latest NO mid
75¢
End date
2026-10-21
First seen
2026-10-21
last 10-21 19:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-7.2¢
(top1%: 16% YES on $17.4K
vs crowd: 23% YES on $34.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 170 | $3.5K | $20.6K | $17.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 180 | $1.8K | $3.4K | $1.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 227 | $1.1K | $2.0K | $936 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 163 | $1.4K | $506 | +$941 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 146 | $2.7K | $14.7K | $11.9K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 89 | $276 | $1.7K | $1.5K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 36 | $76 | $368 | $292 |
| Median | 47 | $114 | $209 | $95 |
| Below median | 161 | $250 | $675 | $425 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 104 | $563 | $1.2K | $647 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 104 | $1.8K | $2.5K | $723 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 53 | $2.1K | $5.2K | $3.1K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xb2b1…2f46 | Up | +2,272 | $325 | $325 | 4 | 10-21 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c15…7d2d | Down | +1,910 | $1,761 | $1,761 | 17 | 10-21 18:57 |
| Juvenile-Distance 0x081c…bfb1 | Up | +1,844 | $249 | $249 | 21 | 10-21 18:57 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | +1,825 | $1,706 | $1,706 | 17 | 10-21 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3a3…7d1f | Up | +1,786 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 10-21 18:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | +1,500 | $1,485 | $1,485 | 1 | 10-21 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x7f36…fc98 | Up | +1,492 | $800 | $800 | 16 | 10-21 18:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xd689…6ec7 | Up | +1,433 | $90 | $90 | 2 | 10-21 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xa5ca…7bd1 | Down | +1,043 | $691 | $691 | 22 | 10-21 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x855e…5189 | Down | +879 | $407 | $407 | 3 | 10-21 18:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x7743…fb42 | Up | +861 | $135 | $135 | 18 | 10-21 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | +803 | $63 | $63 | 46 | 10-21 18:57 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | +700 | $7 | $7 | 34 | 10-21 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Down | +698 | $447 | $447 | 34 | 10-21 18:56 |
| Dear-Marker 0x3878…b416 | Up | +693 | $196 | $196 | 3 | 10-21 18:56 |
| Advanced-Sparrow 0x5f84…67ef | Up | +681 | $20 | $20 | 4 | 10-21 18:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x727d…36c1 | Up | +673 | $89 | $89 | 1 | 10-21 18:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Down | +667 | $479 | $479 | 39 | 10-21 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Up | +660 | $154 | $154 | 47 | 10-21 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Up | +652 | $64 | $64 | 42 | 10-21 18:57 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Up | +638 | $172 | $172 | 33 | 10-21 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x5594…b390 | Down | +619 | $612 | $612 | 15 | 10-21 18:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | +595 | $405 | $405 | 21 | 10-21 18:57 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Down | +581 | $350 | $350 | 16 | 10-21 18:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Up | +580 | $212 | $212 | 29 | 10-21 18:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Up | +541 | $118 | $118 | 9 | 10-21 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b | Down | +525 | $399 | $399 | 13 | 10-21 18:56 |
| Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Down | +525 | $397 | $397 | 22 | 10-21 18:57 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | +516 | $83 | $83 | 7 | 10-21 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xdced…92c6 | Down | +512 | $476 | $476 | 13 | 10-21 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Down | +474 | $264 | $264 | 10 | 10-21 18:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c | Down | +463 | $356 | $356 | 14 | 10-21 18:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Down | +463 | $356 | $356 | 10 | 10-21 18:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Down | +453 | $430 | $430 | 11 | 10-21 18:57 |
| Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Up | +452 | $32 | $32 | 21 | 10-21 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Down | +440 | $317 | $317 | 20 | 10-21 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x3708…daf9 | Up | +427 | $201 | $201 | 4 | 10-21 18:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | +413 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 10-21 18:57 |
| Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Up | +413 | $76 | $76 | 32 | 10-21 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x7743…fb42 | Down | +411 | $339 | $339 | 4 | 10-21 18:57 |
| Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Down | +406 | $299 | $299 | 17 | 10-21 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xf332…b1c0 | Down | +400 | $180 | $180 | 3 | 10-21 18:54 |
| French-Iridescence 0x066e…ceb2 | Up | +400 | $74 | $74 | 9 | 10-21 18:57 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +380 | $190 | $190 | 18 | 10-21 18:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x28cc…904f | Down | +370 | $170 | $170 | 4 | 10-21 18:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xf332…b1c0 | Up | +350 | $201 | $201 | 12 | 10-21 18:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xaef6…134f | Down | +350 | $345 | $345 | 2 | 10-21 18:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a06…ffa2 | Up | +334 | $103 | $103 | 16 | 10-21 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x3089…35e4 | Down | +327 | $165 | $165 | 10 | 10-21 18:54 |
| Deficient-Impairment 0x4e89…6e80 | Up | +320 | $3 | $3 | 11 | 10-21 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad | Down | +312 | $237 | $237 | 16 | 10-21 18:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xcca3…0b06 | Down | +300 | $289 | $289 | 10 | 10-21 18:57 |
| Double-Compassion 0x5f02…c123 | Down | +300 | $294 | $294 | 1 | 10-21 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xebb2…63ed | Down | +300 | $290 | $290 | 3 | 10-21 18:57 |
| Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15 | Up | +288 | $142 | $142 | 6 | 10-21 18:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a06…ffa2 | Down | +280 | $237 | $237 | 23 | 10-21 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x280e…fbd8 | Up | +280 | $36 | $36 | 5 | 10-21 18:57 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +262 | $36 | $36 | 18 | 10-21 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xd912…75c3 | Up | +252 | $33 | $33 | 3 | 10-21 18:56 |
| Heavenly-Atheist 0x85a2…203c | Up | +250 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-21 18:55 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 19:00:45 | (anonymous) 0x6270…aaca | Down | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xc087dd… |
| 10-21 19:00:45 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xc087dd… |
| 10-21 19:00:42 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xf5d26b… |
| 10-21 19:00:42 | (anonymous) 0x9047…66af | Down | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xf5d26b… |
| 10-21 18:59:47 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x52549c… |
| 10-21 18:59:47 | (anonymous) 0x0116…0a78 | Down | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x52549c… |
| 10-21 18:59:26 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x0851f4… |
| 10-21 18:59:26 | (anonymous) 0xd684…2292 | Down | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x0851f4… |
| 10-21 18:59:24 | (anonymous) 0xd684…2292 | Down | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x6ecd20… |
| 10-21 18:59:24 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x6ecd20… |
| 10-21 18:59:23 | Trim-School 0x3884…416d | Down | BUY | 37 | 100¢ | $37 | 0x138f4d… |
| 10-21 18:59:23 | (anonymous) 0x5594…b390 | Down | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x1ab7f5… |
| 10-21 18:59:23 | (anonymous) 0x4ee6…34ef | Down | SELL | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x1ab7f5… |
| 10-21 18:59:23 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | SELL | 37 | 100¢ | $37 | 0x138f4d… |
| 10-21 18:59:20 | (anonymous) 0x146f…6548 | Down | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xcce8fc… |
| 10-21 18:59:20 | (anonymous) 0x5594…b390 | Down | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xcce8fc… |
| 10-21 18:58:57 | (anonymous) 0x5594…b390 | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x5a2844… |
| 10-21 18:58:57 | (anonymous) 0x0116…0a78 | Down | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x5a2844… |
| 10-21 18:58:50 | (anonymous) 0xce68…1725 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x0b5518… |
| 10-21 18:58:50 | (anonymous) 0x5594…b390 | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x0b5518… |
| 10-21 18:58:33 | Empty-Table 0xa18b…563e | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x5a0fe1… |
| 10-21 18:58:33 | (anonymous) 0x5594…b390 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x5a0fe1… |
| 10-21 18:58:30 | (anonymous) 0x5594…b390 | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x340c48… |
| 10-21 18:58:30 | Welcome-Kayak 0x4549…9f9a | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x340c48… |
| 10-21 18:58:29 | (anonymous) 0x5594…b390 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x88cee8… |
| 10-21 18:58:29 | (anonymous) 0x5594…b390 | Down | BUY | 120 | 99¢ | $119 | 0x30e1b0… |
| 10-21 18:58:29 | (anonymous) 0x9034…eb99 | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x88cee8… |
| 10-21 18:58:29 | (anonymous) 0xfb4c…cda4 | Up | BUY | 120 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x30e1b0… |
| 10-21 18:58:24 | (anonymous) 0x5594…b390 | Down | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xe28334… |
| 10-21 18:58:24 | (anonymous) 0x8962…1e39 | Down | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xe28334… |
| 10-21 18:58:15 | (anonymous) 0xde0f…57c1 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xad2bf3… |
| 10-21 18:58:15 | (anonymous) 0x5594…b390 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xad2bf3… |
| 10-21 18:58:09 | (anonymous) 0x5594…b390 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x2df110… |
| 10-21 18:58:09 | (anonymous) 0x0421…d480 | Down | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x2df110… |
| 10-21 18:58:08 | (anonymous) 0x0582…e020 | Down | SELL | 153 | 99¢ | $152 | 0xd98b5e… |
| 10-21 18:58:08 | (anonymous) 0x5594…b390 | Down | BUY | 153 | 99¢ | $152 | 0xd98b5e… |
| 10-21 18:58:06 | (anonymous) 0x5594…b390 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xacc29d… |
| 10-21 18:58:06 | (anonymous) 0xdf64…436e | Down | SELL | 34 | 99¢ | $34 | 0x8730f8… |
| 10-21 18:58:06 | (anonymous) 0xe235…9fbf | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xacc29d… |
| 10-21 18:58:06 | (anonymous) 0x5594…b390 | Down | BUY | 34 | 99¢ | $34 | 0x8730f8… |
| 10-21 18:58:00 | (anonymous) 0xaef6…134f | Down | BUY | 175 | 99¢ | $173 | 0xa2b795… |
| 10-21 18:58:00 | (anonymous) 0x5594…b390 | Down | BUY | 145 | 99¢ | $143 | 0xa2b795… |
| 10-21 18:58:00 | (anonymous) 0xbfeb…5df0 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xa2b795… |
| 10-21 18:58:00 | Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Down | BUY | 165 | 99¢ | $164 | 0xa2b795… |
| 10-21 18:58:00 | (anonymous) 0xe084…702f | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xa2b795… |
| 10-21 18:58:00 | Advanced-Sparrow 0x5f84…67ef | Up | BUY | 500 | 1¢ | $5 | 0xa2b795… |
| 10-21 18:58:00 | (anonymous) 0xd749…9b2c | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xa2b795… |
| 10-21 18:57:59 | (anonymous) 0xf385…ffce | Down | SELL | 35 | 99¢ | $34 | 0x92f9ac… |
| 10-21 18:57:59 | Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Down | BUY | 35 | 99¢ | $34 | 0x92f9ac… |
| 10-21 18:57:57 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xf66bf9… |
| 10-21 18:57:57 | (anonymous) 0xde0f…57c1 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf66bf9… |
| 10-21 18:57:57 | (anonymous) 0x6d1b…b2d3 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x05f868… |
| 10-21 18:57:57 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x05f868… |
| 10-21 18:57:56 | (anonymous) 0x11f5…55ed | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x01ddbf… |
| 10-21 18:57:56 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 62 | 99¢ | $61 | 0xccaf68… |
| 10-21 18:57:56 | (anonymous) 0xb975…7411 | Down | SELL | 62 | 99¢ | $61 | 0xccaf68… |
| 10-21 18:57:56 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x01ddbf… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | (anonymous) 0x54b1…3e83 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc10100… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Up | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x3943ed… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | BUY | 1,500 | 99¢ | $1,485 | 0x3943ed… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | Petty-Notoriety 0x3139…096e | Up | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc10100… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | (anonymous) 0x12e5…607e | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x3943ed… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | (anonymous) 0x5f53…4082 | Up | BUY | 17 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc10100… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | Discrete-Texture 0x4a71…d4d2 | Down | SELL | 81 | 99¢ | $80 | 0xc10100… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | (anonymous) 0x9e1a…993e | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xc10100… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | (anonymous) 0x0116…0a78 | Down | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xc10100… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Up | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc10100… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 868 | 99¢ | $859 | 0xc10100… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Up | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc10100… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | Flawed-Singular 0xbe62…a45a | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xc10100… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | (anonymous) 0x5f53…4082 | Up | BUY | 83 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x3943ed… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | (anonymous) 0x055a…7bbc | Down | SELL | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0xc10100… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Up | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc10100… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | (anonymous) 0xae19…24ea | Down | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xc10100… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | (anonymous) 0x96da…69ff | Up | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3943ed… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | BUY | 80 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc10100… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | (anonymous) 0x118d…fc09 | Down | SELL | 18 | 99¢ | $17 | 0xc10100… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | (anonymous) 0x7db5…4b1e | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3943ed… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | (anonymous) 0x8a31…8ef9 | Up | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3943ed… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x71a112… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x06b4a4… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 401 | 1¢ | $4 | 0x3943ed… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | Untidy-Sheep 0x99ff…f3e6 | Up | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc10100… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | (anonymous) 0x5d4b…66b0 | Down | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xc10100… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc10100… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | (anonymous) 0xc5d5…50bc | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x3943ed… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x06b4a4… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | (anonymous) 0x7743…fb42 | Up | BUY | 169 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xc10100… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | Tinted-Ownership 0xaac2…8e77 | Up | BUY | 35 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3943ed… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | (anonymous) 0x0862…4431 | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc10100… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | (anonymous) 0x9540…c2bc | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3943ed… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x3943ed… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | (anonymous) 0x29ef…1570 | Down | SELL | 21 | 99¢ | $21 | 0xc10100… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | Lighthearted-Brood 0xcb7c…b03f | Up | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x3943ed… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | (anonymous) 0x6083…b35b | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x71a112… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Up | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc10100… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | Deficient-Impairment 0x4e89…6e80 | Up | BUY | 171 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x3943ed… |
| 10-21 18:57:54 | (anonymous) 0xab5d…98e0 | Up | BUY | 150 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xc10100… |
| 10-21 18:57:53 | Deficient-Impairment 0x4e89…6e80 | Up | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x52cf07… |
| 10-21 18:57:53 | Deficient-Impairment 0x4e89…6e80 | Up | BUY | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x98bec3… |