Heavenly-Atheist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.44K

Unrealized P&L

+$483

Hit rate

50.1%

Resolved

221

Trades

452

lifetime

Volume

$29.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$66

Open exposure

$1.09K

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 10-27 15:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 34% -$2,218

Other

15% 23% -$499

Politics

8% 0% -$1,446

Sports

5% 7% -$281

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+2,241	$495	46¢	$1.0K	+$524	10-27 15:43
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	+3,069	$115	2¢	$63	-$52	08-01 20:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+56	-$1	18¢	$10	+$11	08-18 13:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	3	$843	574	574	+0	Yes	+$303	07-06 21:04
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	3	$732	543	543	+0	Yes	+$352	07-07 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	4	$723	1,107	474	+634	Down	+$223	10-09 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	4	$676	811	362	+449	Down	+$40	05-02 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	4	$653	547	547	+0	Down	+$253	05-02 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	5	$636	1,242	1,050	+192	Up	+$136	05-02 22:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:30 UTC	4	$513	611	313	+298	Up	+$107	10-14 08:35
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$495	2,241	0	+2,241	open	—	10-27 15:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 03:15 UTC	3	$493	979	860	+119	Down	+$412	08-04 03:19
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	4	$457	613	126	+487	Yes	+$184	07-08 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	3	$400	1,098	0	+1,098	Up	-$76	05-02 22:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	3	$361	1,189	1,133	+56	open	—	08-18 13:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	3	$352	661	661	+0	Down	-$48	04-30 16:04
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	3	$331	251	251	+0	Yes	+$171	07-07 18:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	4	$310	829	171	+658	Up	+$30	05-13 00:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	4	$300	2,386	0	+2,386	Down	-$300	05-02 23:02
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$263	6,748	6,748	+0	No	+$33	07-07 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$250	791	0	+791	Up	+$73	10-10 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$250	2,613	0	+2,613	Up	+$58	10-21 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$250	772	0	+772	Up	+$53	10-21 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	3	$250	1,313	0	+1,313	Down	+$120	10-09 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$250	926	0	+926	Up	+$185	10-09 01:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	3	$250	807	0	+807	Down	+$140	05-26 21:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 00:00 UTC	3	$250	758	0	+758	Up	+$120	08-04 00:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	3	$250	1,021	0	+1,021	Down	+$335	04-30 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	3	$250	610	0	+610	Up	+$119	05-26 18:08
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	3	$250	875	0	+875	No	-$250	07-07 00:34
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	2	$240	1,043	0	+1,043	No	-$240	07-06 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	4	$235	819	0	+819	Down	-$235	05-02 23:07
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	5	$229	733	0	+733	No	-$229	07-11 22:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 15:43:48	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0x28e6d9…
10-27 15:41:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x606dd3…
10-27 15:34:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0x0fb57f…
10-27 15:31:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,522	23¢	$350	0xe17e0f…
10-22 11:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x22f5d0…
10-22 11:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x6f47c8…
10-22 10:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0x0ec372…
10-21 21:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xac5d7a…
10-21 21:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	148	33¢	$49	0x7e24e2…
10-21 20:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	336	30¢	$100	0x3eca0d…
10-21 20:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0xc3def4…
10-21 20:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x567675…
10-21 20:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	615	16¢	$100	0x92d598…
10-21 20:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0x8a3d2b…
10-21 20:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x6b2774…
10-21 20:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0x394b56…
10-21 20:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x3ffa12…
10-21 20:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	305	33¢	$100	0xe64ea5…
10-21 18:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0xdfb272…
10-21 13:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	253	20¢	$50	0xaf289c…
10-21 13:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x25bc66…
10-21 13:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2,306	7¢	$150	0xa52281…
10-21 13:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	308	33¢	$100	0xb9ca5e…
10-21 13:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	469	32¢	$150	0x908b0b…
10-21 13:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x3fd8a6…
10-16 12:25:46	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	1,227	4¢	$50	0x40332f…
10-16 12:25:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	BUY	1,894	3¢	$50	0x0d2859…
10-16 12:24:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	614	5¢	$30	0x534219…
10-16 12:05:52	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16?	No	BUY	5,178	1¢	$50	0x1ede6d…
10-15 18:00:08	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	BUY	1,634	1¢	$20	0xb11d89…
10-15 17:58:23	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	BUY	2,232	7¢	$165	0xfff615…
10-14 08:41:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x962a27…
10-14 08:35:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x43dc7d…
10-14 08:35:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	313	99¢	$310	0x7329bd…
10-14 08:33:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x2c8309…
10-14 08:31:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	313	32¢	$100	0xba9469…
10-14 08:30:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x209d6e…
10-13 01:34:29	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	BUY	5,638	3¢	$180	0x4f1599…
10-10 22:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	641	4¢	$26	0x9a1b87…
10-10 22:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	81	5¢	$4	0x306283…
10-10 22:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1,209	12¢	$150	0x906d04…
10-10 22:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	41	47¢	$19	0x3013df…
10-10 22:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	390	38¢	$150	0x3bf562…
10-10 22:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	469	32¢	$150	0xe25603…
10-10 22:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0x3686d3…
10-10 22:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	281	36¢	$100	0xaa6e87…
10-10 22:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0x45b3d3…
10-10 22:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	157	32¢	$50	0x6ac014…
10-10 21:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	89	11¢	$10	0x862206…
10-10 21:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	600	25¢	$150	0xc2a7ec…
10-10 21:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xf9a169…
10-10 21:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	828	18¢	$150	0x2ec43c…
10-10 20:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	833	6¢	$50	0xff77dc…
10-09 01:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0xbe9f4a…
10-09 01:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	576	26¢	$150	0x8c80ed…
10-09 01:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	714	7¢	$50	0x3c343c…
10-09 01:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	370	41¢	$150	0x510055…
10-09 01:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	229	22¢	$50	0xa480c5…
10-09 01:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	427	12¢	$50	0xb9699c…
10-09 01:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	500	30¢	$150	0x311b92…
10-09 01:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	491	31¢	$150	0xe5388d…
10-09 01:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0x985d82…
10-09 01:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0x2f2981…
10-09 01:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	474	100¢	$473	0x582cfb…
10-09 01:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	634	16¢	$100	0x782ddf…
10-09 01:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0x454ec6…
10-09 01:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x82d580…
10-09 01:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xed4651…
10-09 01:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	273	37¢	$100	0xc95481…
10-09 01:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x6ae332…
10-09 01:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	425	12¢	$50	0xf2622d…
10-09 01:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0x5561f8…
10-09 01:00:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	BUY	625	8¢	$50	0x38b24f…
08-18 13:01:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x7862bd…
08-10 23:17:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	105	10¢	$10	0x63aaeb…
08-10 23:16:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xa57e4a…
08-10 23:16:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	234	21¢	$50	0xb3d6c1…
08-10 23:10:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	257	39¢	$100	0x632d0a…
08-10 23:10:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,133	16¢	$181	0x3e148f…
08-10 21:13:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x9b08c1…
08-10 21:11:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0x489668…
08-10 21:02:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	316	3¢	$10	0xf9ca4f…
08-10 21:00:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	202	29¢	$60	0x99eab7…
08-10 20:59:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x044ca6…
08-10 20:54:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	293	17¢	$50	0xffee3b…
08-10 20:50:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0xb4e981…
08-10 20:45:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0xa32e66…
08-10 20:36:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x215733…
08-10 20:34:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	225	22¢	$50	0xe6de66…
08-10 20:30:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x83aa79…
08-10 20:30:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0x4e0347…
08-10 20:28:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xfdf3a6…
08-10 20:27:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0x20fdc2…
08-10 20:21:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0xb20a4f…
08-10 20:16:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0x101b77…
08-10 20:12:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0x4b9974…
08-10 19:20:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	1,835	4¢	$80	0xf0c391…
08-05 21:16:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x023630…
08-05 21:14:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	230	4¢	$10	0x847264…
08-05 21:13:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xf8388a…