Welcome-Kayak — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

48.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$58

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-27

last 11-09 16:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 46% -$8

Other

30% 67% -$3

Politics

14% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes		+4	$2	100¢	$4	+$2	11-03 23:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	2	$15	26	26	+0	Yes	-$5	05-08 17:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:45 UTC	6	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	02-27 22:49
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	11-03 13:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:00 UTC	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	-$5	02-27 22:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:30 UTC	4	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	02-27 22:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:55 UTC	3	$3	3	1	+1	Up	-$1	02-27 22:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:35 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	02-27 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	10-21 18:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:50 UTC	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	02-27 22:52
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	11-03 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$1	25	25	+0	Down	-$1	10-21 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	-$1	10-21 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	11-09 11:55
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	11-03 23:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:20 UTC	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	-$1	02-27 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	-$1	11-09 16:35
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	11-03 23:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:25 UTC	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	-$1	02-27 22:25
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	11-03 23:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 16:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd7866b…
11-09 11:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa87142…
11-03 23:34:42	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xaabe5a…
11-03 23:24:43	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9b5797…
11-03 23:22:19	Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x5bd98f…
11-03 23:17:30	Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x64d965…
11-03 13:03:42	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xb43ae0…
10-21 18:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0x340c48…
10-21 18:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x62edff…
10-21 18:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x03f711…
10-21 18:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x73551f…
10-21 18:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x772f69…
05-08 17:59:30	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	20¢	$5	0x649c72…
05-07 20:41:55	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x66f15f…
02-27 22:58:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x540f86…
02-27 22:56:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:55 UTC	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x7effdc…
02-27 22:55:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x79371a…
02-27 22:52:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:50 UTC	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x0c4266…
02-27 22:51:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xfe9139…
02-27 22:49:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x60da3f…
02-27 22:47:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x7eb690…
02-27 22:46:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xb1e917…
02-27 22:46:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x9cbe65…
02-27 22:45:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xdcadcf…
02-27 22:43:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xce6969…
02-27 22:38:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:35 UTC	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x3c30fa…
02-27 22:35:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1f6522…
02-27 22:32:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xafdc96…
02-27 22:32:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x833260…
02-27 22:31:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xebc927…
02-27 22:30:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x45d4e5…
02-27 22:25:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x8fac0c…
02-27 22:20:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf58279…
02-27 22:04:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x319e6a…