Realized P&L
+$628
Unrealized P&L
-$21
Hit rate
88.4%
Resolved
43
Trades
383
lifetime
Volume
$11.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$1.34K
29 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-27 04:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
75% 90% +$146
Sports
12% 100% +$70
Politics
12% 75% +$410
Tech
1% 100% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 196 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +216 $201 92¢ $198 -$2 10-26 12:14
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +562 $169 28¢ $155 -$14 10-27 03:00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +93 $93 100¢ $93 +$0 10-25 22:07
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +92 $91 100¢ $91 $0 10-26 10:26
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? No +78 $65 91¢ $71 +$6 10-23 15:47
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +65 $65 100¢ $65 $0 10-24 00:33
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +68 $66 94¢ $64 -$2 10-22 03:46
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +61 $59 97¢ $59 +$0 10-20 21:07
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +58 $58 100¢ $58 $0 10-22 03:11
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +99 $66 56¢ $56 -$10 10-25 01:27
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? No +53 $50 96¢ $50 +$0 10-26 22:09
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +48 $47 98¢ $47 +$0 10-22 02:04
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +39 $37 98¢ $39 +$1 10-27 02:46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +574 $36 6¢ $34 -$1 10-27 03:07
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +31 $31 100¢ $31 $0 10-26 17:42
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +40 $26 66¢ $26 $0 10-27 05:47
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +29 $25 90¢ $26 +$1 10-25 21:08
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +25 $25 99¢ $25 +$0 10-27 01:47
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +24 $24 100¢ $23 $0 10-22 02:47
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +24 $23 96¢ $23 +$0 10-26 02:36
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +23 $23 99¢ $23 +$0 10-22 02:35
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +22 $21 98¢ $22 +$0 10-14 04:22
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +20 $20 97¢ $19 $0 10-22 02:35
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +16 $15 94¢ $14 $0 10-26 01:18
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +10 $9 100¢ $10 +$1 10-21 05:13
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +7 $7 94¢ $6 $0 10-25 01:27
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +7 $6 88¢ $6 $0 10-25 01:27
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $0 10-27 05:32
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? No — +118 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-27 00:26