Realized P&L (90d)
-$55
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
60.5%
Resolved (90d)
27
Trades (90d)
74
7,828 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$430
$149.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-03-06
last 08-12 12:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 105 days
Categories
Other
45%
91%
-$261
Politics
32%
83%
-$2,652
Crypto
19%
60%
-$658
Sports
3%
0%
-$81
Tech
1%
100%
+$4
Pop-Culture
0%
100%
+$0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-12).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 47 | $17.7K | 10,232 | 13,832 | -3,600 | No | -$157 | 03-18 22:36 |
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 27 | $11.2K | 4,391 | 7,191 | -2,800 | No | -$86 | 03-19 12:42 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 41 | $7.6K | 8,270 | 11,642 | -3,372 | Yes | +$115 | 04-04 04:38 |
| will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929 | 26 | $7.4K | 4,400 | 4,600 | -200 | No | +$2 | 03-13 07:13 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 15 | 44 | $5.6K | 6,047 | 9,937 | -3,890 | Yes | -$2,180 | 04-07 23:01 |
| Iran leadership change by March 13? | 18 | $4.0K | 2,080 | 2,080 | +0 | No | +$4 | 03-13 10:16 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 10 | $4.0K | 2,622 | 2,622 | +0 | No | +$0 | 03-22 19:19 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | 37 | $3.3K | 4,017 | 5,796 | -1,779 | Yes | +$503 | 03-31 12:11 |
| iran leadership change by march 31 | 6 | $2.8K | 1,640 | 1,640 | +0 | No | +$2 | 03-17 09:57 |
| will the us invade iran by march 31 | 17 | $2.8K | 1,600 | 1,600 | +0 | No | -$2 | 03-12 19:34 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 30 | 12 | $2.7K | 1,700 | 3,639 | -1,939 | Yes | +$357 | 04-01 13:54 |
| will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament | 4 | $2.3K | 1,200 | 1,600 | -400 | No | -$78 | 03-19 03:10 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 8 | $2.2K | 713 | 1,654 | -941 | No | -$38 | 04-01 08:27 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 24 | $1.9K | 7,600 | 7,600 | +0 | Yes | -$1,355 | 04-07 23:18 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971 | 17 | $1.7K | 1,460 | 1,460 | +0 | Yes | -$34 | 03-17 14:07 |
| will florida win the 2026 ncaa tournament | 4 | $1.1K | 600 | 600 | +0 | No | -$1 | 03-19 11:14 |
| will gonzaga win the 2026 ncaa tournament | 2 | $998 | 508 | 508 | +0 | No | -$2 | 03-17 15:34 |
| will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282 | 2 | $978 | 499 | 499 | +0 | No | +$0 | 03-17 15:26 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | 2 | $782 | 400 | 400 | +0 | No | $0 | 03-19 14:20 |
| miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121 | 2 | $708 | 400 | 400 | +0 | No | -$20 | 03-19 01:14 |
| will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack | 11 | $639 | 1,403 | 1,403 | +0 | No | -$50 | 03-10 16:42 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | 3 | $600 | 375 | 375 | +0 | No | +$0 | 04-01 08:15 |
| us forces enter iran by march 14 337 | 4 | $578 | 300 | 300 | +0 | No | +$2 | 03-14 12:02 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | 2 | $420 | 200 | 400 | -200 | No | -$60 | 03-17 16:03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on April 28? | 17 | $371 | 186 | 186 | +0 | No | +$2 | 04-29 03:32 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26? | 8 | $310 | 155 | 155 | +0 | No | +$0 | 04-27 04:09 |
| highest temperature in london on april 18 2026 17c | 9 | $290 | 145 | 145 | +0 | No | +$0 | 04-18 20:01 |
| highest temperature in london on april 18 2026 18c | 21 | $265 | 152 | 114 | +38 | No | +$0 | 04-18 20:20 |
| highest temperature in ankara on april 16 2026 22c | 5 | $260 | 130 | 130 | +0 | No | +$0 | 04-16 21:25 |
| trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st | 3 | $245 | 146 | 101 | +45 | No | +$1 | 04-22 05:23 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||