Realized P&L
+$4
Unrealized P&L
+$74
Hit rate
81.2%
Resolved
5
Trades
15
lifetime
Volume
$1.02K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$68
Open exposure
$464
5 positions
First seen
2026-05-17
last 10-07 12:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
46% 50% +$14
Other
44% 67% -$11
Tech
10% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +832 $175 33¢ $271 +$96 10-04 15:17
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +137 $100 68¢ $93 -$7 08-22 09:42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +71 $50 82¢ $58 +$8 05-17 08:54
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +100 $50 34¢ $34 -$16 08-22 09:50
Plague pandemic in 2026? Yes +409 $15 2¢ $8 -$7 10-07 12:57