Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.80K

Unrealized P&L

-$20

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$11.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$274

Open exposure

$2.22K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-22

last 10-24 15:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

80% 68% +$1,783

Politics

19% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 67% +$21

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No		-2,261	-$2,204	98¢	$-2224	-$20	10-24 15:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be 1820 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	1	$2.4K	2,481	0	+2,481	Yes	+$127	02-24 13:03
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt2 in february 422	1	$2.3K	2,483	0	+2,483	No	+$224	03-11 12:30
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	1	$2.2K	0	2,261	-2,261	open	—	10-24 15:04
will the february 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt4	1	$1.7K	2,465	0	+2,465	Yes	+$776	03-06 13:30
will the february 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt3	1	$817	1,108	0	+1,108	No	+$290	03-06 13:30
will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	1	$627	721	0	+721	Yes	+$94	03-12 18:19
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	4	$294	348	0	+348	No	+$54	02-19 20:27
will global temperature increase by between 1pt05c and 1pt09c in january 2026	1	$277	286	0	+286	Yes	+$9	02-11 15:58
will the us add between 75k and 100k jobs in february	1	$262	315	0	+315	No	+$53	03-06 13:30
will the january 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt4	1	$245	303	0	+303	No	+$58	02-11 13:30
will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in january 2026	1	$94	98	0	+98	No	+$4	02-11 15:58
will google have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	2	$76	70	70	+0	Yes	-$1	02-07 12:26
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt3 in february 312	1	$68	83	0	+83	Yes	+$15	03-11 12:30
will the january 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt5	1	$53	58	0	+58	No	+$5	02-11 13:30
will upscrolled be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	1	$45	52	0	+52	No	+$7	01-27 21:44
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	1	$42	60	0	+60	No	+$17	02-06 16:07
will google gemini score at least 45 on humanitys last exam	1	$26	154	0	+154	Yes	-$26	02-12 20:22
will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	1	$18	30	0	+30	No	+$12	02-23 13:15
us strikes iran by february 8 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	02-08 12:05
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	1	$9	0	44	-44	open	—	10-24 15:05
will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$7	300	0	+300	No	-$7	02-17 10:06
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$5	1,030	0	+1,030	No	-$5	02-22 19:45
will there be 1618 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	4	$4	78	0	+78	No	-$4	02-23 13:12
will russia capture zaliznychne by february 28	1	$4	100	0	+100	Yes	+$96	02-18 20:03
will there be 1416 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	2	$4	455	0	+455	No	-$4	02-23 14:33
will russia capture all of huliaipole by march 31	2	$4	6	6	+0	No	$0	03-08 13:13
will ethereum reach 2800 in february 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	02-16 17:26
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	02-16 17:26
will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 18	1	$1	10	0	+10	Yes	+$9	02-17 09:00
will the price of bitcoin be less than 68000 on february 8	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	02-08 12:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 15:05:56	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	44	21¢	$9	0xa7822c…
10-24 15:04:32	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	2,261	98¢	$2,204	0xa652d2…
03-25 15:49:13	will google gemini score at least 40 on humanitys last exam	No	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x965f38…
03-12 18:19:15	will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	Yes	BUY	721	87¢	$627	0x0e9828…
03-11 12:30:13	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt2 in february 422	No	BUY	2,483	91¢	$2,259	0x7276ca…
03-11 12:30:13	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt3 in february 312	Yes	BUY	83	82¢	$68	0x0778f8…
03-08 13:13:51	will russia capture all of huliaipole by march 31	Yes	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0xd68c44…
03-07 13:39:13	will russia capture all of huliaipole by march 31	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x87d7eb…
03-06 13:30:15	will the us add between 75k and 100k jobs in february	No	BUY	315	83¢	$262	0x530031…
03-06 13:30:13	will the february 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt3	No	BUY	1,108	74¢	$817	0x6f3d73…
03-06 13:30:13	will the february 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt4	Yes	BUY	2,465	68¢	$1,688	0x1ccbaa…
02-24 13:03:12	will there be 1820 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	Yes	BUY	2,481	95¢	$2,354	0xee3d38…
02-23 14:33:18	will there be 1416 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	Yes	BUY	338	1¢	$3	0x2d2da6…
02-23 14:32:36	will there be 1416 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	Yes	BUY	117	1¢	$1	0xf003e5…
02-23 13:15:54	will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	No	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0x742abb…
02-23 13:12:58	will there be 1618 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x7f6afb…
02-23 13:12:50	will there be 1618 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0xdd9857…
02-23 13:11:48	will there be 1618 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	Yes	BUY	33	5¢	$2	0xb17d02…
02-23 13:11:28	will there be 1618 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x6830d1…
02-22 19:45:56	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	1,030	0¢	$5	0xfd8c0d…
02-19 20:27:08	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	228	85¢	$194	0x8ec51a…
02-19 16:31:44	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	41	83¢	$34	0x322dd4…
02-19 16:30:04	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	59	83¢	$49	0x4724c6…
02-19 16:29:30	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xde7d2d…
02-18 20:03:52	will russia capture zaliznychne by february 28	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x51f419…
02-17 10:06:23	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$7	0x13d505…
02-17 09:00:15	will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 18	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xcdbab8…
02-16 17:26:57	will ethereum reach 2800 in february 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6b903d…
02-16 17:26:45	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x5195cf…
02-12 20:22:57	will google gemini score at least 45 on humanitys last exam	No	BUY	154	17¢	$26	0x2d8885…
02-11 15:58:39	will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in january 2026	No	BUY	98	96¢	$94	0x4e8996…
02-11 15:58:39	will global temperature increase by between 1pt05c and 1pt09c in january 2026	Yes	BUY	286	97¢	$277	0x06fa17…
02-11 13:30:15	will the january 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt4	No	BUY	303	81¢	$245	0xb7d3a3…
02-11 13:30:15	will the january 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt5	No	BUY	58	92¢	$53	0x531b19…
02-08 12:06:25	will the price of bitcoin be less than 68000 on february 8	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2baa28…
02-08 12:05:05	us strikes iran by february 8 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfce815…
02-08 11:59:43	will ethereum reach 2800 in february 2026	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x79bd09…
02-08 11:53:17	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x612231…
02-07 12:26:49	will google have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	SELL	70	54¢	$38	0x77c6ce…
02-06 16:07:33	will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	No	BUY	60	71¢	$42	0xd0e887…
01-27 21:44:41	will upscrolled be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	No	BUY	52	86¢	$45	0xbbda08…
01-22 22:43:20	will google have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	70	55¢	$38	0x4b1f52…