Ill-Informed-Pinot — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

481 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$27.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

$78

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 08-06 20:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 62% -$449

Other

7% 23% -$777

Politics

6% 59% +$43

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$123

Sports

0% 0% -$15

Tech

0% 0% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-06).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No		-79	-$74	99¢	$-78	-$4	06-01 18:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	14	$1.8K	2,774	2,018	+755	Down	-$195	05-25 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	10	$1.1K	990	972	+19	Down	+$55	05-25 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	10	$994	1,336	331	+1,006	Down	+$199	05-25 01:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	5	$853	516	516	+0	Up	+$53	05-25 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	6	$820	673	423	+250	Down	+$10	05-25 02:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	6	$812	702	702	+0	Down	+$12	05-25 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	6	$753	628	628	+0	Up	-$47	05-25 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	7	$690	488	407	+80	Up	+$60	05-25 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	6	$628	474	474	+0	Up	+$77	05-25 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	7	$577	559	315	+244	Down	-$273	05-25 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	6	$559	497	334	+163	Down	+$112	05-25 01:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	6	$538	674	151	+523	Down	+$61	05-25 01:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	3	$534	337	337	+0	Up	+$134	05-25 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	6	$522	680	196	+484	Down	+$5	05-25 00:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	6	$521	675	212	+464	Up	-$15	05-25 02:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	4	$513	430	369	+61	Up	+$63	05-25 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	6	$509	379	379	+0	Up	+$49	05-26 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	3	$504	353	353	+0	Down	+$104	05-25 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	5	$500	566	0	+566	Down	+$66	05-25 02:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	5	$468	630	386	+243	Up	+$61	05-25 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	5	$433	615	615	+0	Down	-$367	05-25 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	5	$431	463	463	+0	Up	+$31	05-25 00:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	6	$401	513	513	+0	Up	-$49	05-25 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	5	$397	770	323	+448	Up	-$203	05-25 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	4	$366	389	328	+61	Down	-$84	05-25 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	5	$343	415	196	+220	Down	-$88	05-25 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	5	$336	432	66	+366	Up	+$52	05-25 01:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	5	$324	272	272	+0	Up	+$24	05-26 01:55
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$319	240	240	+0	No	+$59	06-01 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	3	$300	417	0	+417	Down	+$117	05-25 00:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 20:52:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 20:50 UTC	Down	SELL	222	36¢	$80	0xb19d61…
08-06 20:51:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x36b269…
08-06 20:47:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x8ed3d7…
08-06 20:43:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xc49750…
08-06 20:42:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 20:40 UTC	Up	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0x1d46c1…
08-06 20:41:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xdf25b0…
08-06 20:41:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x5484fb…
08-06 20:39:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x36b8cd…
08-06 20:38:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x056e93…
08-06 20:31:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x32d91c…
08-06 20:26:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3c7550…
08-06 20:26:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x1e3787…
08-06 17:58:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xfda53e…
08-06 17:56:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xdc0113…
08-06 17:51:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xdcbab2…
08-06 17:46:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x0c3171…
08-06 17:46:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xef651f…
08-06 17:43:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xae2ba7…
08-06 17:42:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xe0d0d3…
08-05 18:22:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 18:20 UTC	Down	SELL	42	42¢	$18	0xe6d8e8…
08-05 18:21:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x29f53f…
06-12 20:35:19	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	115	13¢	$15	0xd01b6b…
06-12 19:11:04	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	115	13¢	$15	0xbf63f2…
06-11 22:35:31	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x413605…
06-10 22:19:19	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	366	4¢	$15	0x397c07…
06-01 18:37:11	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	112	93¢	$104	0x71dc98…
06-01 08:20:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	159	100¢	$159	0x2f26df…
06-01 08:17:55	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0xaad640…
06-01 08:11:56	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xc0ce84…
05-29 00:14:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	133	7¢	$10	0x6c9869…
05-26 10:23:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on May 27?	Yes	SELL	512	0¢	$2	0x3abecf…
05-26 09:33:59	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	SELL	143	22¢	$31	0xf4bd28…
05-26 09:29:58	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	29¢	$15	0x56558e…
05-26 07:47:23	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	512	1¢	$5	0x3b8caf…
05-26 07:44:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	109	18¢	$20	0xb323c4…
05-26 07:26:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xdebd9e…
05-26 07:25:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0x3b71a9…
05-26 07:09:40	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	19¢	$20	0xa53b5f…
05-26 07:03:50	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0xb17ec0…
05-26 07:00:32	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0xfdf1d0…
05-26 06:28:26	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	1,271	1¢	$10	0x6758de…
05-26 06:14:59	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x39ca6c…
05-26 06:09:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x82a60f…
05-26 06:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6aaf19…
05-26 06:04:53	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbf6cb5…
05-26 06:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5d762a…
05-26 06:03:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa9cd0e…
05-26 06:02:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xaa6481…
05-26 05:42:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x325a7e…
05-26 05:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xc3ba81…
05-26 05:03:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	142	70¢	$100	0x5fa38d…
05-26 05:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	30	78¢	$24	0x07e997…
05-26 05:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xd237f1…
05-26 04:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xfbc042…
05-26 04:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x10743f…
05-26 04:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xd3b269…
05-26 04:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xc6d9e3…
05-26 04:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x046f61…
05-26 04:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x971694…
05-26 04:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0xf6d4a3…
05-26 04:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xeb924b…
05-26 04:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x9185ca…
05-26 04:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x1f0a76…
05-26 04:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x494ffc…
05-26 04:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x039d5d…
05-26 04:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xff62b8…
05-26 04:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x3d8ab2…
05-26 04:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x98a17c…
05-26 04:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	30	53¢	$16	0x8434f6…
05-26 04:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xd5f713…
05-26 04:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x507ca6…
05-26 04:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x7f529f…
05-26 04:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x6aa951…
05-26 04:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	21	32¢	$7	0x444e31…
05-26 04:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xbce3cd…
05-26 04:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x6af103…
05-26 04:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	18	62¢	$11	0x165a3c…
05-26 04:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x6b0426…
05-26 04:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x900354…
05-26 04:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	27	97¢	$26	0xf5fde2…
05-26 04:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x80a138…
05-26 04:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	13	29¢	$4	0xe8e58a…
05-26 04:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x20bcd0…
05-26 04:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x2fcc45…
05-26 04:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	64	55¢	$35	0x19260e…
05-26 04:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x4940ca…
05-26 04:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	26	94¢	$24	0x788af9…
05-26 04:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x897340…
05-26 04:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	50	63¢	$32	0x954448…
05-26 04:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x8a52ee…
05-26 04:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xc5afb8…
05-26 04:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x07b737…
05-26 04:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	40	43¢	$17	0xc80e0b…
05-26 04:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x496d22…
05-26 03:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	44	65¢	$29	0x3e26c4…
05-26 03:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x8f799e…
05-26 03:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	38	48¢	$18	0x41f3bd…
05-26 03:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x94a717…
05-26 03:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x453269…
05-26 03:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x666b19…