Realized P&L
-$119
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
63.8%
Resolved
3
Trades
353
lifetime
Volume
$8.26K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$430
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-11
last 06-30 07:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
55%
Politics
45% 33% $-119
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +152 $113 86¢ $130 +$17 06-11 20:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -104 $-34 80¢ $-83 $-48 06-25 12:35
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +80 $61 87¢ $69 +$8 06-12 12:52
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +74 $61 86¢ $63 +$2 06-30 07:19
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +41 $32 78¢ $32 +$0 06-27 12:18
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +35 $25 78¢ $27 +$2 06-16 21:24
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +40 $21 32¢ $13 $-8 06-26 18:16
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +26 $5 46¢ $12 +$8 06-15 06:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +0 $-26 100¢ $0 +$27 06-25 13:18