Realized P&L
-$2.86K
Unrealized P&L
+$55
Hit rate
61.3%
Resolved
93
Trades
835
lifetime
Volume
$19.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$520
10 positions
First seen
2026-04-11
last 11-01 13:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 56 days
Categories
Politics
66% 63% -$2,638
Other
34% 52% -$224
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 No +194 $149 90¢ $173 +$24 08-04 12:32
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +146 $112 94¢ $137 +$24 08-29 20:24
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +142 $117 94¢ $133 +$16 06-30 07:19
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $36 70¢ $35 $0 11-01 13:46
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +30 $17 82¢ $24 +$7 08-14 22:42
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 Yes +105 $26 12¢ $13 -$13 08-09 04:32
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +40 $21 8¢ $3 -$18 06-26 18:16
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$1 98¢ $0 +$1 05-12 13:27
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +0 $3 66¢ $0 -$3 10-31 00:58
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +0 -$15 18¢ $0 +$15 06-15 06:28