Realized P&L
-$119
Unrealized P&L
-$75
Hit rate
63.8%
Resolved
3
Trades
462
lifetime
Volume
$9.08K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$349
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-11
last 07-24 18:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
53%
Politics
47% 33% $-119
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -104 $-34 99¢ $-103 $-69 06-25 12:35
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +74 $61 80¢ $59 $-3 06-30 07:19
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +80 $61 72¢ $58 $-4 06-12 12:52
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +59 $45 72¢ $43 $-2 07-23 23:58
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +41 $32 85¢ $35 +$3 06-27 12:18
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +35 $25 78¢ $28 +$2 06-16 21:24
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +40 $21 30¢ $12 $-9 06-26 18:16
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +26 $5 44¢ $11 +$7 06-15 06:28