Everlasting-Wingtip — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

53.2%

Resolved

Trades

348

lifetime

Volume

$1.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 05-31 16:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 100% +$1

Other

20% — —

Politics

5% 0% $-10

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No		+5	$5	93¢	$5	+$0	05-30 12:36
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No		+3	$2	94¢	$2	+$0	05-30 12:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1773084600	4	$134	82	81	+1	open	—	03-09 19:40
bitcoin up or down march 11 3pm et	2	$50	38	38	+1	open	—	03-11 19:56
btc updown 4h 1774036800	14	$48	86	54	+32	open	—	03-20 22:58
btc updown 4h 1774209600	4	$46	53	52	+1	open	—	03-22 22:22
bitcoin up or down march 12 6pm et	5	$41	36	35	+1	open	—	03-12 22:24
btc updown 4h 1774094400	6	$40	39	38	+1	open	—	03-21 15:56
bitcoin up or down march 14 5pm et	8	$32	26	26	+0	open	—	03-14 21:57
bitcoin up or down march 14 6pm et	5	$26	19	19	+0	open	—	03-14 22:15
btc updown 4h 1775563200	6	$25	26	25	+1	open	—	04-07 15:16
btc updown 4h 1773950400	1	$23	32	0	+32	open	—	03-19 21:37
btc updown 4h 1773648000	5	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	03-16 10:02
atp norrie wawrink 2026 04 13	1	$19	24	0	+24	open	—	04-13 12:52
btc updown 4h 1774296000	6	$19	15	15	+0	open	—	03-23 23:41
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	2	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	01-10 17:12
btc updown 4h 1774195200	4	$16	24	9	+15	open	—	03-22 17:38
atp pellegr jianu 2026 03 23	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	03-23 18:37
btc updown 4h 1775476800	2	$13	9	8	+1	open	—	04-06 14:04
sea int lec 2026 01 14 int	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	01-14 21:29
btc updown 15m 1773083700	2	$12	10	9	+0	open	—	03-09 19:17
btc updown 5m 1773083100	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	03-09 19:06
btc updown 5m 1773089700	6	$11	21	8	+13	open	—	03-09 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	3	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 19:58
btc updown 15m 1773086400	3	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	03-09 20:15
btc updown 4h 1774166400	3	$11	19	0	+19	open	—	03-22 10:11
bitcoin up or down march 12 4pm et	9	$11	44	0	+44	open	—	03-12 20:36
btc updown 15m 1773256500	5	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	03-11 19:21
bitcoin up or down march 11 5pm et	5	$10	15	6	+8	open	—	03-11 21:52
btc updown 4h 1776009600	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-12 16:10
atp draper medvede 2026 03 13	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	03-12 22:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$10	15	0	+15	Yes	$-10	03-20 20:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 16:04:18	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x634e63…
05-30 12:39:25	Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x027a38…
05-30 12:38:40	Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon	Raphael Collignon	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x59a613…
05-30 12:38:17	Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilo	Moise Kouame	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7ae352…
05-30 12:36:55	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf3c2f8…
05-30 12:36:09	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$2	0x9cb3a6…
05-29 19:47:24	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul	Casper Ruud	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x87ca6c…
05-26 13:03:17	Roland Garros ATP: Cameron Norrie vs Adolfo Vallejo	Cameron Norrie	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x6a91af…
05-25 17:10:43	Roland Garros ATP: Rinky Hijikata vs Tommy Paul	Tommy Paul	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0xa8537b…
05-25 11:48:54	Set 1 Winner: Wawrinka vs Jong	Wawrinka	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x26619b…
05-25 11:47:56	Roland Garros ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Jesper de Jong	Jesper de Jong	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x2464d5…
05-10 19:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x7b7140…
05-10 19:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0xecf072…
05-10 19:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x0783b6…
04-13 12:52:07	atp norrie wawrink 2026 04 13	Cameron Norrie	BUY	24	78¢	$19	0xa577aa…
04-12 16:10:05	btc updown 4h 1776009600	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc65718…
04-12 14:54:51	btc updown 4h 1775995200	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9e96d3…
04-12 11:01:11	btc updown 4h 1775980800	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xf5d2a5…
04-12 07:02:53	btc updown 4h 1775966400	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd9b8bc…
04-11 20:19:23	atp alcaraz sinner 2026 04 12	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xeac473…
04-11 20:13:01	btc updown 4h 1775937600	Down	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x1057e0…
04-11 17:12:47	btc updown 4h 1775923200	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xe0eda8…
04-11 08:02:35	btc updown 4h 1775894400	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xefafe2…
04-11 07:13:29	atp collign landalu 2026 04 11	Raphael Collignon	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0xfc0293…
04-11 07:11:15	btc updown 4h 1775880000	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3ea4e2…
04-10 20:08:13	btc updown 4h 1775851200	Down	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xeaffe2…
04-10 19:31:09	btc updown 4h 1775836800	Down	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x7f463d…
04-07 19:56:45	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xcb13a1…
04-07 19:54:13	atp medvede berrett 2026 04 08	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0xe2ae47…
04-07 18:56:39	btc updown 4h 1775577600	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2fc83a…
04-07 18:55:59	btc updown 4h 1775577600	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x05f438…
04-07 16:29:57	btc updown 4h 1775577600	Up	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0xe85fe9…
04-07 16:10:19	btc updown 4h 1775577600	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xb3fde2…
04-07 15:16:09	btc updown 4h 1775563200	Up	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0xf62e8f…
04-07 15:00:57	btc updown 4h 1775563200	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x47c83b…
04-07 14:14:23	btc updown 4h 1775563200	Down	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0x3a4732…
04-07 12:15:15	btc updown 4h 1775563200	Up	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0xcc8da1…
04-07 12:10:35	btc updown 4h 1775563200	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x529b92…
04-07 12:10:21	btc updown 4h 1775563200	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xbfc1ca…
04-07 12:09:21	atp popyrin ruud 2026 04 06	Casper Ruud	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xf69bae…
04-07 12:06:53	atp pearson zhao 2026 04 07	Zhao Zhao	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x171468…
04-06 14:04:37	btc updown 4h 1775476800	Down	SELL	8	80¢	$7	0x6d5684…
04-06 13:10:59	btc updown 4h 1775476800	Down	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xd56a8f…
04-06 13:10:21	atp lajovic bellucc 2026 04 06	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x93814e…
03-30 15:10:53	btc updown 4h 1774872000	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x61ead5…
03-30 15:02:53	atp bellucc bennani 2026 03 30	Mattia Bellucci	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x51560a…
03-28 02:27:43	btc updown 4h 1774656000	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x326d97…
03-25 20:05:11	atp cerundo zverev 2026 03 26	Alexander Zverev	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x1a6b6e…
03-24 22:22:25	atp atmane tiafoe 2026 03 24	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x135bf6…
03-23 23:41:07	btc updown 4h 1774296000	Up	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xbca167…
03-23 23:41:07	btc updown 4h 1774296000	Up	SELL	8	82¢	$7	0x825459…
03-23 22:04:31	btc updown 4h 1774296000	Down	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x3d5959…
03-23 20:21:55	btc updown 4h 1774296000	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x7e3a22…
03-23 20:20:43	btc updown 4h 1774296000	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x895386…
03-23 20:20:29	btc updown 4h 1774296000	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$2	0xe64fe7…
03-23 18:42:11	atp wawrink martin 2026 03 23	Stan Wawrinka	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x203546…
03-23 18:40:57	atp tiafoe mensik 2026 03 23	Jakub Mensik	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x66b8da…
03-23 18:39:11	btc updown 4h 1774281600	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x55cb5d…
03-23 18:37:59	atp pellegr jianu 2026 03 23	Andrea Pellegrino	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd67263…
03-22 22:22:15	btc updown 4h 1774209600	Up	SELL	52	50¢	$26	0x9dc7c3…
03-22 22:22:07	btc updown 4h 1774209600	Up	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0x24aff7…
03-22 21:22:03	btc updown 4h 1774209600	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xf0f18c…
03-22 19:53:49	btc updown 4h 1774209600	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x127f11…
03-22 17:38:43	btc updown 4h 1774195200	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xfc45af…
03-22 17:37:53	btc updown 4h 1774195200	Down	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0x6aee2e…
03-22 17:37:51	btc updown 4h 1774195200	Down	SELL	8	67¢	$6	0x58ccb5…
03-22 17:33:33	btc updown 4h 1774195200	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xee939b…
03-22 12:33:53	btc updown 4h 1774180800	Down	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xa69e98…
03-22 10:11:27	btc updown 4h 1774166400	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xca2cee…
03-22 10:11:15	btc updown 4h 1774166400	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2cf424…
03-22 10:10:35	atp pellegr jianu 2026 03 23	Andrea Pellegrino	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xd7775c…
03-22 10:08:55	btc updown 4h 1774166400	Down	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0x39a52e…
03-21 20:59:55	btc updown 4h 1774123200	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xfa414f…
03-21 16:01:25	btc updown 4h 1774108800	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2ded4e…
03-21 16:00:41	atp walton mensik 2026 03 21	Jakub Mensik	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x786df1…
03-21 15:56:49	btc updown 4h 1774094400	Down	SELL	17	54¢	$9	0xac3797…
03-21 15:55:13	btc updown 4h 1774094400	Down	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x6b6cd1…
03-21 15:16:21	btc updown 4h 1774094400	Down	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x85212b…
03-21 14:56:07	btc updown 4h 1774094400	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x093c3a…
03-21 14:53:23	btc updown 4h 1774094400	Down	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0x1f2d6a…
03-21 13:02:09	btc updown 4h 1774094400	Down	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0x5eac39…
03-20 22:58:21	btc updown 4h 1774036800	Down	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x690561…
03-20 22:58:21	btc updown 4h 1774036800	Down	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x5d482a…
03-20 22:57:33	btc updown 4h 1774036800	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x808953…
03-20 22:50:09	btc updown 4h 1774036800	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xece5e4…
03-20 22:49:57	btc updown 4h 1774036800	Down	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x648f96…
03-20 21:55:33	btc updown 4h 1774036800	Down	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0x8a84a1…
03-20 21:33:01	btc updown 4h 1774036800	Down	SELL	29	40¢	$12	0x8ba3a0…
03-20 21:23:43	btc updown 4h 1774036800	Down	BUY	29	27¢	$8	0x84886e…
03-20 21:14:47	btc updown 4h 1774036800	Up	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0x4caf6d…
03-20 21:14:03	btc updown 4h 1774036800	Up	SELL	15	50¢	$8	0xe43832…
03-20 20:48:37	btc updown 4h 1774036800	Up	BUY	16	40¢	$6	0x916eb8…
03-20 20:30:49	btc updown 4h 1774036800	Down	SELL	7	65¢	$4	0x45754d…
03-20 20:30:05	btc updown 4h 1774036800	Down	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x2ad685…
03-20 20:19:09	atp zandsch fritz 2026 03 20	Taylor Fritz	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x15ec91…
03-20 20:18:45	atp ruud quinn 2026 03 20	Casper Ruud	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xfdf103…
03-20 20:15:17	btc updown 4h 1774036800	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x657896…
03-20 20:14:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xb92ef3…
03-19 21:37:05	btc updown 4h 1773950400	Up	BUY	32	74¢	$23	0xb1b749…
03-17 22:49:31	atp duckwor agut 2026 03 18	Roberto Bautista Agut	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x4efcfb…