Shabby-Philosophy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$20.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$313

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 09-09 05:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 78% +$10

Other

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on May 15?	1	$1.8K	1,849	0	+1,849	No	+$6	05-16 01:39
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on May 14?	1	$1.8K	1,840	0	+1,840	No	+$4	05-14 22:58
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 14?	1	$1.8K	1,837	0	+1,837	Yes	+$4	05-14 09:27
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 13?	1	$1.8K	1,834	0	+1,834	No	+$4	05-14 01:12
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 13?	1	$1.8K	1,807	0	+1,807	No	+$5	05-13 11:28
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 15?	1	$1.4K	1,443	0	+1,443	No	+$3	05-15 11:30
will the price of ethereum be between 2900 3000 on january 16	1	$1.1K	1,068	0	+1,068	No	+$2	01-16 00:41
will the price of ethereum be between 2900 3000 on january 15	1	$1.1K	1,066	0	+1,066	No	+$2	01-15 01:23
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 14	1	$1.1K	1,064	0	+1,064	No	+$2	01-14 02:09
will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 12	1	$1.1K	1,060	0	+1,060	No	+$2	01-12 02:24
ethereum above 3300 on january 11	1	$1.1K	1,058	0	+1,058	No	+$2	01-11 07:22
ethereum above 3300 on january 10	1	$1.1K	1,056	0	+1,056	No	+$2	01-10 06:59
ethereum above 2800 on january 9	1	$1.1K	1,053	0	+1,053	Yes	+$1	01-09 06:36
xrp above 1pt5 on january 8	1	$1.1K	1,052	0	+1,052	Yes	+$1	01-08 04:14
will the price of ethereum be between 2800 2900 on january 7	1	$1.0K	1,050	0	+1,050	No	+$1	01-07 04:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 9?	1	$19	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	05-08 04:07
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 11	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	02-10 06:12
bitcoin above 60k on august 14 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	08-13 04:30
bitcoin above 68k on july 16 2026	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	07-16 05:36
bitcoin above 80k on february 6	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	02-05 08:16
bitcoin above 64k on march 12	1	$13	13	0	+13	Yes	+$0	03-11 09:56
bitcoin above 64k on march 7	1	$13	13	0	+13	Yes	+$0	03-06 07:23
bitcoin above 60k on july 31 2026	1	$12	12	0	+12	Yes	+$0	07-30 09:23
bill clinton in jail by december 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	No	+$0	01-27 07:32
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-26 06:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-30 13:55
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-21 11:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 10?	1	$9	9	0	+9	Yes	+$0	09-09 05:52
bitcoin above 64k on march 27	1	$9	9	0	+9	Yes	+$0	03-26 06:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 15?	1	$9	9	0	+9	Yes	+$0	06-13 05:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-09 05:52:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 10?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6d82ee…
08-13 04:30:54	bitcoin above 60k on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x768664…
07-30 09:23:12	bitcoin above 60k on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6457e5…
07-24 10:55:04	bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa4e905…
07-16 05:36:50	bitcoin above 68k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x982faa…
07-02 05:51:25	bitcoin above 54k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x5d32b4…
07-02 05:50:47	bitcoin above 54k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x608532…
07-02 05:50:32	bitcoin above 54k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xc08c34…
07-02 05:50:28	bitcoin above 54k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x433708…
07-02 05:50:25	bitcoin above 54k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x0f8b11…
07-02 05:50:16	bitcoin above 54k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x4565b6…
07-02 05:50:16	bitcoin above 54k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x3cd124…
07-02 05:50:14	bitcoin above 54k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x98dd83…
07-02 05:50:11	bitcoin above 54k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xe8b89e…
07-02 05:50:10	bitcoin above 54k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x623946…
07-02 05:50:10	bitcoin above 54k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x0b4ec4…
07-02 05:50:05	bitcoin above 54k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x6d1de5…
07-02 05:50:04	bitcoin above 54k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xb91f27…
07-02 05:49:58	bitcoin above 54k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x4d11e6…
07-02 05:49:20	bitcoin above 54k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x8abc05…
06-26 06:53:17	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x506013…
06-26 06:51:26	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x86cdd7…
06-20 05:19:38	nflx above 180 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb7dfc4…
06-13 05:51:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 15?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x64eae6…
05-30 13:55:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x05bdee…
05-21 11:35:58	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb46f89…
05-16 01:39:50	Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on May 15?	No	BUY	1,849	100¢	$1,843	0xc62156…
05-15 11:30:25	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 15?	No	BUY	1,443	100¢	$1,440	0x9dd295…
05-14 22:58:40	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	1,840	100¢	$1,836	0xd7e57f…
05-14 09:27:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1,837	100¢	$1,833	0x88c9c7…
05-14 01:12:05	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	1,834	100¢	$1,830	0xd80055…
05-13 11:28:36	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 13?	No	BUY	1,807	100¢	$1,802	0xfad513…
05-08 04:07:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0xdcaf77…
04-29 08:51:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	2,081	0¢	$4	0xb5a289…
04-28 09:22:42	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2,072	0¢	$6	0x58b0b2…
04-26 08:18:10	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	2,065	0¢	$4	0xed18fc…
04-22 09:23:08	xrp above 1pt2 on april 22	No	BUY	2,088	0¢	$4	0x04bde3…
04-20 00:44:38	will ethereum dip to 2000 april 13 19	Yes	BUY	2,083	0¢	$4	0xa54970…
04-17 11:41:06	solana above 80 on april 17	No	BUY	2,056	0¢	$4	0xd71f48…
04-14 03:14:13	Will The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x579753…
03-26 06:35:01	bitcoin above 64k on march 27	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x57fcb5…
03-20 03:52:19	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 20	Yes	BUY	2,071	0¢	$4	0xccfcdf…
03-11 09:56:11	bitcoin above 64k on march 12	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x504be2…
03-06 07:23:53	bitcoin above 64k on march 7	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x46a784…
02-24 04:54:52	will iranian officials visit the white house by february 28	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8c2e8f…
02-17 07:55:21	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x680fc7…
02-10 06:12:35	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 11	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x763245…
02-05 08:16:51	bitcoin above 80k on february 6	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xc19e2e…
02-02 12:21:20	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3d2f9a…
01-31 06:21:54	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbb3f3a…
01-30 06:51:58	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6d284b…
01-29 11:02:08	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2bcf00…
01-28 07:44:45	us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1b8d2c…
01-27 07:32:31	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xac57e6…
01-26 07:12:30	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9f5206…
01-17 22:56:42	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8082e3…
01-16 00:41:22	will the price of ethereum be between 2900 3000 on january 16	No	BUY	1,068	100¢	$1,066	0xe2fa59…
01-15 01:23:00	will the price of ethereum be between 2900 3000 on january 15	No	BUY	1,066	100¢	$1,064	0xebfccc…
01-14 02:09:02	will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 14	No	BUY	1,064	100¢	$1,062	0x6ee010…
01-12 02:24:42	will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 12	No	BUY	1,060	100¢	$1,058	0xef8d9a…
01-11 07:22:38	ethereum above 3300 on january 11	No	BUY	1,058	100¢	$1,056	0x7947d5…
01-10 06:59:20	ethereum above 3300 on january 10	No	BUY	1,056	100¢	$1,054	0x9028fb…
01-09 06:36:30	ethereum above 2800 on january 9	Yes	BUY	1,053	100¢	$1,052	0x6f4114…
01-08 04:14:57	xrp above 1pt5 on january 8	Yes	BUY	1,052	100¢	$1,051	0x437a6c…
01-07 04:56:47	will the price of ethereum be between 2800 2900 on january 7	No	BUY	1,050	100¢	$1,049	0xba304f…