Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

97.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$71

Open exposure

$93

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-22 17:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 100% +$33

Other

28% 75% -$35

Tech

2% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+96	$93	97¢	$93	+$0	10-06 18:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 08:30 UTC	2	$274	139	139	+0	Up	+$1	04-07 08:34
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	2	$212	106	106	+0	No	+$0	09-21 07:32
will bitcoin dip to 52k july 6 12 2026	1	$142	142	0	+142	No	+$0	07-10 19:18
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	1	$142	142	0	+142	No	+$0	04-23 07:49
will ethereum dip to 1800 april 13 19	1	$141	142	0	+142	No	+$0	04-17 14:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 08:25 UTC	1	$134	137	0	+137	Down	+$3	04-07 08:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 08:10 UTC	1	$132	134	0	+134	Up	+$3	04-07 08:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 07:55 UTC	1	$129	132	0	+132	Down	+$3	04-07 07:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 07:10 UTC	1	$127	130	0	+130	Up	+$3	04-07 07:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$123	125	0	+125	No	+$1	07-22 04:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 06:50 UTC	1	$122	127	0	+127	Up	+$5	04-07 06:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 06:30 UTC	1	$121	122	0	+122	Down	+$1	04-07 06:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 06:35 UTC	1	$118	121	0	+121	Up	+$4	04-07 06:39
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on September 5?	1	$113	113	0	+113	No	+$0	09-05 13:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?	1	$113	113	0	+113	No	+$0	08-29 13:13
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	1	$112	113	0	+113	No	+$1	08-25 16:45
will bitcoin reach 104k december 29 january 4	1	$112	112	0	+112	No	+$0	01-02 11:12
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	1	$108	109	0	+109	No	+$0	09-21 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5AM ET	1	$105	108	0	+108	Down	+$3	10-05 09:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3AM ET	1	$105	108	0	+108	Up	+$3	10-06 07:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	1	$105	105	0	+105	Up	+$0	10-05 13:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$93	96	0	+96	open	—	10-06 18:39
will solana dip to 30 in january 2026	1	$83	83	0	+83	No	+$0	01-18 08:05
will solana dip to 20 in february 2026	1	$80	80	0	+80	No	+$0	02-26 09:50
will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of march	1	$77	77	0	+77	No	+$0	03-30 15:26
will bitcoin dip to 52k march 2 8	1	$77	77	0	+77	No	+$0	03-06 07:06
will anthropic reset claude usage limit by october 15 2026	3	$44	40	40	+0	Yes	-$2	09-10 08:46
Will T1 Win KeSPA Cup 2026?	6	$35	80	0	+80	No	-$35	08-12 11:02
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?	4	$23	25	25	+0	open	—	09-11 07:14
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $10 end of October?	1	$22	22	0	+22	Yes	+$0	10-22 17:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 17:10:48	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $10 end of October?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x2c4ec9…
10-06 18:39:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	96	97¢	$93	0xbfb90b…
10-06 07:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	108	97¢	$105	0x29d4ad…
10-05 13:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xc7bdbc…
10-05 09:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	108	97¢	$105	0xc68fe5…
09-21 08:20:06	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$108	0xf55648…
09-21 07:32:09	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0xf04479…
09-14 09:53:24	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x3cf5b8…
09-11 07:14:15	OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?	Anthropic	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x5a86f4…
09-10 09:31:28	OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?	Anthropic	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x9188eb…
09-10 09:26:27	OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?	Anthropic	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x1a97e6…
09-10 09:26:22	OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?	Anthropic	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xfeb142…
09-10 08:46:55	will anthropic reset claude usage limit by october 15 2026	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xa27905…
09-10 08:40:00	will anthropic reset claude usage limit by october 15 2026	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x69790c…
09-10 07:30:43	will anthropic reset claude usage limit by october 15 2026	No	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0x4e0db0…
09-05 13:42:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on September 5?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xa30ae0…
08-29 13:13:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x263b0a…
08-25 16:45:58	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$112	0x88ab14…
08-12 11:02:21	Will T1 Win KeSPA Cup 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x29f66f…
08-12 10:27:28	Will T1 Win KeSPA Cup 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xed643a…
08-12 10:27:28	Will T1 Win KeSPA Cup 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x5e72f7…
08-12 10:27:28	Will T1 Win KeSPA Cup 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0x56d1dd…
08-12 10:27:28	Will T1 Win KeSPA Cup 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	44¢	$3	0x45ee49…
08-12 10:20:49	Will T1 Win KeSPA Cup 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	44¢	$1	0xef1301…
08-12 10:08:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	363	0¢	$1	0xbe5b24…
07-22 04:57:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	125	99¢	$123	0x337ca1…
07-10 19:18:17	will bitcoin dip to 52k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x3b1a48…
04-23 07:49:18	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0xc49c4f…
04-17 14:37:54	will ethereum dip to 1800 april 13 19	No	BUY	142	100¢	$141	0x23f3dd…
04-07 08:56:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 08:45 UTC	Down	SELL	13	54¢	$7	0x7d76e2…
04-07 08:55:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xed09fb…
04-07 08:34:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	139	99¢	$138	0x2be862…
04-07 08:33:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	139	98¢	$137	0xb15416…
04-07 08:28:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	137	98¢	$134	0x44faf7…
04-07 08:14:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	134	98¢	$132	0xa7279f…
04-07 07:59:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	132	98¢	$129	0xe09cdc…
04-07 07:14:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	130	98¢	$127	0xd532b0…
04-07 06:52:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	127	96¢	$122	0x47a051…
04-07 06:44:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	122	99¢	$121	0x33b1b0…
04-07 06:39:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	121	97¢	$118	0xa1c739…
03-30 15:26:23	will gold gc hit low 3600 by end of march	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x260e5a…
03-06 07:06:07	will bitcoin dip to 52k march 2 8	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x5088cb…
03-06 07:01:37	will russia enter vozdvyzhivka by march 31	No	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x7dd4cf…
02-26 09:50:52	will solana dip to 20 in february 2026	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xff168b…
02-26 09:50:24	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	2,890	0¢	$3	0x86f40c…
01-18 08:05:58	will solana dip to 30 in january 2026	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xae6a83…
01-02 11:12:41	will bitcoin reach 104k december 29 january 4	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x8cef13…