Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.03K

Unrealized P&L

+$129

Hit rate

83.3%

Resolved

228

Trades

398

lifetime

Volume

$39.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$99

Open exposure

$650

10 positions

First seen

2026-06-30

last 11-01 16:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Other

79% 67% -$1,199

Politics

14% 92% +$135

Sports

4% 38% +$385

Crypto

2% 29% -$349

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+355	$322	99¢	$352	+$30	10-28 17:16
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	+126	$115	92¢	$117	+$2	11-01 16:09
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+130	$100	82¢	$106	+$6	09-16 07:32
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	+20	$13	90¢	$18	+$5	09-14 20:28
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	+22	$16	76¢	$17	+$1	10-27 13:45
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+20	$10	70¢	$14	+$4	09-24 13:51
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	+10	$10	98¢	$10	+$0	08-04 22:23
No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	+68	-$71	13¢	$9	+$80	10-28 18:20
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+6	$5	98¢	$6	+$1	07-02 19:16
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?	No	+1	$1	94¢	$1	$0	08-28 22:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
itf chapman duerst 2026 07 02	2	$1.1K	586	586	+0	Jenny Duerst	+$35	07-02 10:57
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	2	$1.0K	538	538	+0	Yes	+$31	08-08 05:44
hd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 18 2026 4pt73	3	$868	474	474	+0	Yes	+$48	08-18 12:26
cs2 inf1 mana1 2026 07 02	3	$803	403	403	+0	ex-MANA eSports	+$3	07-02 11:56
itf jasika takahat 2026 07 02	1	$700	753	0	+753	Omar Jasika	+$53	07-02 04:52
mlb lad oak 2026 07 01	1	$700	729	0	+729	Athletics	+$29	07-02 03:34
dota2 hive1 rearis 2026 07 04 game2	3	$675	375	375	+0	RE.Arise	+$75	07-04 18:06
Will Casey's General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$558	309	309	+0	Yes	+$58	09-08 22:25
cs2 venom ff 2026 07 03	3	$517	262	262	+0	Fire Flux Esports	+$7	07-03 18:16
No one announced as next James Bond?	12	$501	936	868	+68	open	—	10-28 18:20
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	1	$500	508	0	+508	Yes	+$8	07-02 01:53
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 2?	1	$500	528	0	+528	No	-$500	07-02 11:59
wta day hontama 2026 07 26	5	$489	362	362	+0	Mai Hontama	+$49	07-28 23:03
kbo ssg kia 2026 07 02	3	$480	622	0	+622	Kia Tigers	-$480	07-02 12:23
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway?	2	$458	429	429	+0	Yes	+$398	07-05 22:15
cs2 jumbo alahli 2026 07 04 game2	2	$456	256	256	+0	Al Ahli	+$56	07-04 17:31
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	3	$452	240	240	+0	Yes	+$24	10-28 17:14
Will Burlington Stores (BURL) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$443	244	244	+0	Yes	+$43	08-27 11:53
wta muchova sawangk 2026 07 03	2	$438	238	238	+0	Karolina Muchova	+$38	07-03 18:16
cs2 mis ff 2026 07 04	2	$433	233	233	+0	Misa Esports	+$33	07-04 23:55
bkfibaqaf gui rwa 2026 07 02	2	$421	211	211	+0	Guinea	+$1	07-02 11:55
cs2 hooch shoke 2026 07 04 game1	2	$415	215	215	+0	Team hooch	+$15	07-04 19:01
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?	2	$401	201	201	+0	Yes	+$1	07-03 17:30
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	2	$394	204	204	+0	No	+$14	07-12 03:34
lol hype fcn2 2026 07 28	4	$358	260	260	+0	Hyperion	-$62	07-28 22:14
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	2	$355	368	0	+368	Argentina	+$13	07-03 23:22
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	2	$350	391	0	+391	Yes	-$350	07-06 22:25
cs2 mana1 mis 2026 07 03	3	$332	182	182	+0	ex-MANA eSports	+$32	07-03 17:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	2	$322	355	0	+355	open	—	10-28 17:16
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	2	$307	158	158	+0	Yes	+$7	10-25 15:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 16:09:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	126	91¢	$115	0x8b0297…
10-28 18:20:07	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	67	22¢	$15	0x131c24…
10-28 17:16:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	230	96¢	$221	0xc2eda9…
10-28 17:14:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	240	99¢	$238	0x467151…
10-27 13:45:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	22	72¢	$16	0x839e49…
10-27 13:42:15	Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?	Yes	SELL	15	98¢	$14	0x9ae40b…
10-25 15:57:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	175	89¢	$156	0x9dbc71…
10-25 15:56:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	158	100¢	$157	0x077d5a…
10-25 15:55:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	65	89¢	$58	0x1eaf65…
10-25 15:55:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	55	99¢	$55	0x95e4e9…
10-22 21:39:35	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	55	92¢	$51	0x54635a…
10-22 12:56:29	Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?	Yes	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0xf4db62…
10-18 09:26:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	158	95¢	$150	0x2888dc…
10-18 09:25:05	Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0xa28860…
10-18 06:43:17	Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x38cb81…
10-18 06:35:47	Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	67	74¢	$50	0x573c9d…
10-18 03:19:32	San Jose Earthquakes vs. Nashville SC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x4307bb…
10-18 03:17:36	São Paulo FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	108	100¢	$107	0x3758dd…
10-18 00:16:20	New York City FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x6678b2…
10-18 00:12:57	São Paulo FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x05f582…
10-17 20:27:23	Will Philadelphia Union vs. Charlotte FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x5fce5f…
10-17 17:31:26	FC Bayern München vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	56	87¢	$49	0x9f708e…
10-17 17:30:50	FC Bayern München vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x8a7e02…
10-17 11:40:57	Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	99	96¢	$95	0x6dbfea…
10-16 20:36:45	Will Boca Juniors de Cali win on 2026-10-16?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xe92890…
10-16 13:49:43	Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Abha Saudi Club end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x980eca…
10-16 13:40:19	Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Abha Saudi Club: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x241642…
10-16 13:36:58	Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	SELL	107	94¢	$100	0x314438…
10-16 11:57:24	Shamakhi FK vs. Safa: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xb370b8…
10-16 11:55:21	Psim Yogyakarta vs. PSM Makassar: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0xcbcdfe…
10-16 01:35:01	Psim Yogyakarta vs. PSM Makassar: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x6cdfcc…
10-16 01:34:18	Deportivo Saprissa vs. Sporting FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x64b662…
10-16 01:32:09	Internacional FC De Palmira vs. Orsomarso SC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x4f92b0…
10-15 23:43:54	Internacional FC De Palmira vs. Orsomarso SC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x80c2c4…
10-15 23:41:13	CA Huracán vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x642e2d…
10-15 23:39:10	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x1aa4d3…
10-15 23:38:12	K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	108	100¢	$107	0xf61541…
10-15 20:29:39	Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xa7a456…
10-15 20:28:09	K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x053de0…
10-15 20:24:39	CSD Xelajú MC vs. CD Malacateco: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	120	99¢	$119	0x7000d7…
10-15 19:15:08	Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	85	94¢	$80	0x8c7b0b…
10-15 19:13:44	CSD Xelajú MC vs. CD Malacateco: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x7c91dd…
10-15 19:11:38	Manisa Futbol Kulubu vs. Esenler Erokspor: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0xa6f806…
10-15 19:10:55	PFK CSKA Sofia vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x5c7633…
10-15 18:09:01	PFK CSKA Sofia vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	75	93¢	$70	0x527d14…
10-15 17:49:08	Manisa Futbol Kulubu vs. Esenler Erokspor: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x10f586…
10-15 17:45:50	Exact Score: FC Red Bull Salzburg 0 - 2 AC Milan?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xcd1f43…
10-15 12:55:56	PKR Svay Rieng vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xe8b41c…
10-15 12:49:08	Kuching City FC vs. Kitchee: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xa87eaf…
10-15 12:47:17	BG Tampines Rovers vs. Machida Zelvia: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	56	86¢	$49	0xc968bc…
10-15 12:02:17	Will Tai Po FC vs. Lion City Sailors FC end in a draw?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$60	0x69652a…
10-15 11:43:12	Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	45	6¢	$3	0x5f4e62…
10-15 06:23:14	Will Tai Po FC vs. Lion City Sailors FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	61	84¢	$51	0xeae378…
10-15 06:05:58	Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0xcc269c…
10-14 22:38:10	CA Mineiro vs. Montevideo City Torque: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x3664e2…
10-14 22:34:24	col1 cjf dep 2026 08 10 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xe4fe6f…
10-14 13:20:20	acl2 nas alw 2026 10 14 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x980553…
10-14 04:44:05	AD San Carlos vs. Inter San Carlos: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x99c657…
10-14 02:40:55	AD San Carlos vs. Inter San Carlos: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x0d84d6…
10-14 02:36:28	CD Tapatio vs. Tepatitlan FC: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0xd6c2f8…
10-13 22:36:06	CD Tapatio vs. Tepatitlan FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x02ef8e…
10-13 13:57:55	Will Finland win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xf649ac…
10-13 13:25:08	Bandirmaspor vs. Sivasspor: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0xbab04f…
10-13 10:15:37	Bandirmaspor vs. Sivasspor: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x3982a8…
10-13 10:11:23	Newcastle United Jets vs. Gamba Osaka: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0xedf071…
10-13 02:13:44	Newcastle United Jets vs. Gamba Osaka: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x93c1a1…
10-13 02:07:30	Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x486df6…
10-13 00:37:03	Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0xccf3ac…
10-13 00:33:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	125	81¢	$101	0x75be91…
10-12 19:44:08	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0xa2e0e5…
10-12 19:44:08	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0x9ebb18…
10-12 19:44:08	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	84	33¢	$28	0x4d37af…
10-12 19:44:05	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	86	33¢	$29	0x6b2c22…
10-12 19:44:05	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	39	33¢	$13	0x23cc5b…
10-11 17:02:55	Coventry City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x83a0c2…
10-11 00:29:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	BUY	110	95¢	$105	0x7a81aa…
10-10 18:36:57	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	88	33¢	$29	0x94f95a…
10-09 22:00:59	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x38b03b…
10-09 18:21:29	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	30	33¢	$10	0xc516db…
10-09 16:18:45	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	100	33¢	$33	0xf0e7a6…
10-09 13:37:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xe5e0df…
10-09 09:34:31	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	358	33¢	$118	0xcebec7…
10-01 17:22:53	dal quarterly earnings nongaap eps 10 09 2026 2pt05	Yes	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0xad4477…
10-01 09:03:24	dal quarterly earnings nongaap eps 10 09 2026 2pt05	Yes	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x4b9a27…
10-01 09:02:57	dal quarterly earnings nongaap eps 10 09 2026 2pt05	Yes	BUY	82	60¢	$49	0xa74e74…
10-01 00:28:41	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	90	79¢	$71	0x7a3d69…
09-25 18:13:33	Will Jefferies (JEF) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xc151c0…
09-25 17:15:08	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xc4a9bb…
09-25 17:13:56	Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?	Yes	BUY	124	80¢	$100	0xe046e4…
09-24 13:51:13	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xdf7cae…
09-23 14:04:41	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xcb7c1a…
09-23 13:50:53	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	869	23¢	$200	0x845c41…
09-16 20:32:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xfc62d5…
09-16 07:39:51	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	69	87¢	$60	0x812204…
09-16 07:34:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0xb2b49d…
09-16 07:32:55	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x18d52e…
09-15 06:56:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x990673…
09-15 03:21:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xedab07…
09-14 20:46:51	Will Costco (COST) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	115	78¢	$90	0x15eaf3…
09-14 20:42:22	Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	133	69¢	$92	0x6807d0…