Dutiful-Sycamore — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$308

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

76.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$8.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$320

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-13

last 10-06 05:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

78% 75% -$309

Politics

22% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US military draft authorized in 2026?	No		+3	$3	98¢	$3	+$0	10-06 05:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Venezuela become 51st state?	2	$913	480	480	+0	open	—	05-21 04:53
NATO dissolves before 2027?	2	$912	480	480	+0	open	—	05-19 11:22
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	2	$830	440	440	+0	No	+$1	05-18 04:35
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	3	$797	403	403	+0	No	+$0	05-14 04:46
Spread: RCD Mallorca (-2.5)	1	$508	523	0	+523	Deportivo Alavés	+$15	04-25 05:40
fr2 clf bas 2026 04 24 spread home 2pt5	1	$491	511	0	+511	SC Bastia	+$20	04-24 07:36
Spread: Al Hazem SC (-1.5)	1	$486	520	0	+520	Al Hazem SC	-$486	05-21 04:56
lal mal val 2026 04 21 spread home 2pt5	1	$466	491	0	+491	Valencia CF	+$25	04-21 07:52
Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)	1	$457	489	0	+489	Dalian Yingbo FC	+$32	05-19 11:27
Spread: CD Leganés (-2.5)	1	$414	455	0	+455	SD Huesca	+$41	05-18 04:41
Spread: Al Fayha Saudi Club (-2.5)	1	$406	413	0	+413	Damac Saudi Club	+$7	05-15 05:52
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)	1	$401	410	0	+410	Valencia CF	+$9	05-14 05:24
Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)	1	$395	400	0	+400	RC Celta de Vigo	+$5	05-12 05:24
tur riz gfk 2026 04 13 spread away 1pt5	1	$369	397	0	+397	Çaykur Rizespor	+$28	04-13 06:22
us x china tariff agreement by december 31	5	$159	935	935	+0	Yes	-$6	07-06 06:50
US military draft authorized in 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	10-06 05:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 05:27:31	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x1e2e30…
07-06 06:50:56	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	No	SELL	441	8¢	$36	0xab4cc4…
07-06 06:50:56	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	No	SELL	479	8¢	$39	0x6e564b…
07-06 06:50:50	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	No	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0x44caa1…
07-06 05:49:38	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	No	BUY	475	9¢	$42	0x1d827f…
07-06 05:49:37	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	No	BUY	460	9¢	$40	0x6c547c…
05-21 04:56:28	Spread: Al Hazem SC (-1.5)	Al Taawoun Saudi Club	BUY	520	94¢	$486	0x162eb3…
05-21 04:53:37	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	SELL	480	95¢	$457	0x17b950…
05-21 02:20:41	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	BUY	480	95¢	$456	0x14c0ad…
05-19 11:27:16	Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)	Dalian Yingbo FC	BUY	489	93¢	$457	0xcfc6c5…
05-19 11:22:22	NATO dissolves before 2027?	No	SELL	480	95¢	$456	0x7f80be…
05-19 09:54:01	NATO dissolves before 2027?	No	BUY	480	95¢	$456	0xb171ff…
05-18 04:41:13	Spread: CD Leganés (-2.5)	SD Huesca	BUY	455	91¢	$414	0xde94d7…
05-18 04:35:44	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	440	94¢	$416	0x47e06c…
05-18 02:19:51	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	440	94¢	$414	0xcd6460…
05-15 05:52:03	Spread: Al Fayha Saudi Club (-2.5)	Damac Saudi Club	BUY	413	98¢	$406	0xac7710…
05-14 05:24:26	Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)	Valencia CF	BUY	410	98¢	$401	0xcea226…
05-14 04:46:45	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$39	0x8b9be4…
05-14 04:45:46	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	363	99¢	$359	0xe2cf5e…
05-14 02:34:10	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	403	99¢	$399	0x62ec1d…
05-12 05:24:10	Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)	RC Celta de Vigo	BUY	400	99¢	$395	0xec5c64…
04-25 05:40:10	Spread: RCD Mallorca (-2.5)	Deportivo Alavés	BUY	523	97¢	$508	0x4b56ae…
04-24 07:36:44	fr2 clf bas 2026 04 24 spread home 2pt5	SC Bastia	BUY	511	96¢	$491	0x2153eb…
04-21 07:52:12	lal mal val 2026 04 21 spread home 2pt5	Valencia CF	BUY	491	95¢	$466	0xdfc790…
04-13 06:22:35	tur riz gfk 2026 04 13 spread away 1pt5	Çaykur Rizespor	BUY	397	93¢	$369	0x6832f9…