Realized P&L
+$1.28K
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
89.1%
Resolved
8,364
Trades
27,077
lifetime
Volume
$152.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$67
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 06-16 11:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 103 days
Categories
Other
96% 85% +$1,261
Politics
2% 85% +$18
Tech
1% 75% -$20
Crypto
1% 85% +$7
Sports
0% 81% +$9
Pop-Culture
0% 86% +$5
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-16).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +10 $9 100¢ $10 +$1 04-30 17:26
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 04-30 17:26
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 04-30 17:26
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 04-30 17:26
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 04-30 17:26
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 04-30 17:26
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? No +3 $2 98¢ $3 +$1 05-04 17:12
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 05-04 17:12
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? No +10 $2 4¢ $0 -$2 04-30 17:26