Fortunate-Independence — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

+$93

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

74.5%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

15 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$1.10K

$1.11K lifetime

Avg / trade

$74

Open exposure

$78

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-07 08:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 75% +$49

Other

7% 100% +$51

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down		+42	$38	100¢	$42	+$4	05-07 08:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down		-37	$-36	99¢	$-37	$-1	05-07 08:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	2	$247	307	307	+0	Up	+$47	05-07 03:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$151	0	155	-155	open	—	05-07 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$150	160	0	+160	open	—	05-07 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$139	146	0	+146	open	—	05-07 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$130	69	89	-20	Down	$-6	05-07 05:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$74	41	41	+0	open	—	05-07 08:54
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	1	$63	107	0	+107	Under	+$44	05-06 14:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$38	43	0	+43	Up	+$5	05-07 05:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$38	42	0	+42	open	—	05-07 08:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$36	0	37	-37	open	—	05-07 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	1	$32	35	0	+35	Up	+$3	05-07 04:48
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	1	$11	18	0	+18	Yes	+$7	05-05 18:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 08:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	42	91¢	$38	0xd8b2f6…
05-07 08:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	41	93¢	$38	0x4fc2c6…
05-07 08:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	41	87¢	$36	0x0df7f5…
05-07 08:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	37	97¢	$36	0x6ad8b5…
05-07 08:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	160	94¢	$150	0x3eded9…
05-07 08:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	155	97¢	$151	0xa12179…
05-07 07:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	146	95¢	$139	0xf355e6…
05-07 05:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	69	84¢	$58	0x51d8e0…
05-07 05:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	89	81¢	$72	0x521960…
05-07 05:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	43	89¢	$38	0x3955df…
05-07 04:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	35	91¢	$32	0x642215…
05-07 03:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	307	48¢	$147	0xa0ecc2…
05-07 03:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	307	33¢	$100	0x36878a…
05-06 14:20:14	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	107	59¢	$63	0xf0db18…
05-05 18:24:52	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	BUY	18	61¢	$11	0x30483b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	11	$1.93K	70	05-07 08:59
Impossible-Bolt 0xc905…b394	9	$998	14	05-07 08:54
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	8	$7.97K	65	05-07 08:58
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	8	$1.16K	21	05-07 08:58
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	7	$820	27	05-07 08:57
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	7	$643	67	05-07 08:57
Mad-Plot 0x2709…20f5	7	$600	52	05-07 08:58
Mean-Mango 0xd8cb…7a69	6	$594	6	05-07 08:58