Vigorous-Poppy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.2%

Resolved

Trades

382

lifetime

Volume

$379

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-25 08:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

37% 0% $-0

Politics

29% — —

Crypto

26% 33% $-0

Tech

4% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	11	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	02-05 08:52
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	7	$7	3	4	-1	open	—	01-14 03:12
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-20 08:25
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-20 07:17
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 06:20
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-27 07:57
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-12 07:11
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-06 06:25
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-24 10:05
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-07 09:36
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-18 07:55
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-06 08:35
bitcoin above 68k on march 14	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-14 06:10
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-03 06:37
Over $500k committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 06:11
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 06:40
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-18 08:15
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 09:32
will arirang bts be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of april 4	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 07:50
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-23 04:15
grok 4pt4 released by july 31 883 836	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-08 07:56
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-10 03:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-28 03:37
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-24 08:58
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-11 08:29
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-11 08:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-29 06:51
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-07 00:58
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-04 07:28
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-05 06:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 08:26:45	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x22897b…
07-25 08:20:15	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb8fe57…
07-25 08:16:22	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x60ea42…
07-25 08:11:40	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x56ecfb…
07-24 08:28:49	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 24 2026 20260714212508552	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x724ad8…
07-24 08:16:57	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 24 2026 20260714212508552	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0bf9fe…
07-24 08:12:09	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x7a5b2f…
07-24 08:08:19	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf08269…
07-23 08:46:43	will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3f0f28…
07-23 08:39:18	will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x371099…
07-23 08:37:24	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xe4f7b5…
07-23 08:33:27	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe762dc…
07-22 08:19:40	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xa2a3eb…
07-22 08:03:21	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc134fe…
07-22 07:57:39	over 22pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb9f429…
07-22 07:48:34	over 22pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x266f00…
07-21 07:34:34	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4251f5…
07-21 07:25:01	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8dfa19…
07-20 08:25:33	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xda07ad…
07-20 08:16:06	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x618daf…
07-20 08:09:48	iran successfully targets shipping on july 17	No	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0x61e471…
07-20 08:07:10	iran successfully targets shipping on july 17	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd8c336…
07-18 08:10:09	will russia enter mykhailivka by july 31	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xb81919…
07-18 08:01:33	will russia enter mykhailivka by july 31	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd5e99e…
07-18 07:55:19	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x7000d4…
07-18 07:45:58	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd0a0f0…
07-17 07:31:51	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xbddb8f…
07-17 07:21:37	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xaf1da8…
07-16 08:39:14	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x81b2c1…
07-16 08:32:20	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf3c49a…
07-16 08:28:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x121f92…
07-16 08:22:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x0b603f…
07-15 08:36:35	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4545ec…
07-15 08:27:34	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7eb267…
07-15 08:24:35	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe722f8…
07-15 08:15:22	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x59de70…
07-14 08:22:02	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x006675…
07-14 08:12:47	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7fa903…
07-14 08:01:13	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd39f52…
07-14 07:52:50	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x63eeb0…
07-13 08:16:01	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3953ce…
07-13 08:02:43	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8211ad…
07-11 08:29:34	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x156350…
07-11 08:19:29	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc97ebc…
07-10 08:49:41	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x3c3c29…
07-10 08:31:46	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe7328f…
07-10 08:26:53	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xd08d39…
07-10 08:15:40	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc20200…
07-09 07:53:53	Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9ad358…
07-09 07:44:37	Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xbac0dd…
07-09 07:37:32	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt1b	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x081cfe…
07-09 07:27:53	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt1b	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x72e5e9…
07-08 07:56:43	grok 4pt4 released by july 31 883 836	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa6abbd…
07-08 07:46:35	grok 4pt4 released by july 31 883 836	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6ea9c4…
07-08 07:42:11	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x83b3af…
07-08 07:33:47	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x65253f…
07-07 08:19:34	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xd974fe…
07-07 08:10:22	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6d99e8…
07-07 08:05:40	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xbf0165…
07-07 07:57:49	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xeefe81…
07-06 08:35:35	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xa3781b…
07-06 08:24:02	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x62ed7a…
07-04 07:28:05	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x65aa9f…
07-04 07:12:53	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf2089a…
07-03 09:22:07	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf12c18…
07-03 09:09:23	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc99c63…
07-03 09:04:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x9a6785…
07-03 08:57:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xbc39a3…
07-01 06:52:14	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x036492…
07-01 06:50:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x01463e…
07-01 06:35:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x509ec4…
07-01 06:30:35	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x403e86…
06-30 07:10:29	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xcb239b…
06-30 06:58:31	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2cf234…
06-29 08:02:55	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xa576ab…
06-29 07:51:38	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc72357…
06-27 07:57:07	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd7e9c5…
06-27 07:55:37	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xafb311…
06-27 07:46:26	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xffd3ea…
06-27 07:32:29	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x71ca81…
06-26 08:42:02	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9b8e9b…
06-26 08:38:44	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbe08bb…
06-26 08:27:52	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6f8567…
06-26 08:23:22	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xde3bed…
06-25 07:27:11	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x533cdf…
06-25 07:25:49	will trump speak to pope leo xiv in june	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x73f741…
06-25 07:14:43	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x170c70…
06-25 07:10:25	will trump speak to pope leo xiv in june	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x431783…
06-24 08:58:41	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfbea5f…
06-24 08:25:58	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc85d75…
06-22 07:42:17	Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xee2a7d…
06-22 07:40:49	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa81327…
06-22 07:25:50	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc1665b…
06-22 07:19:38	Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3cd276…
06-21 07:37:26	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x5080d9…
06-21 07:36:40	will bitcoin dip to 62k june 15 21 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xaa5f40…
06-21 07:22:37	will bitcoin dip to 62k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x83331f…
06-21 07:19:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb7ec01…
06-18 07:50:46	Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xe9737e…
06-18 07:35:29	Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x92a47b…