(anonymous) 0x0d4e6d…f380b3 Create alert
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Realized P&L
+$8
Unrealized P&L
-$50
Hit rate
74.4%
Resolved
126
Trades
307
lifetime
Volume
$4.52K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$2.05K
30 positions
First seen
2026-11-05
last 11-11 22:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
88% 75% +$8
Politics
11% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +400 $262 87¢ $347 +$84 11-06 00:10
Will there be exactly 1 government shutdown by December 31, 2027? No +401 $263 64¢ $255 -$8 11-05 12:32
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on November 12? No +172 $150 86¢ $147 -$3 11-11 23:16
Will there be exactly 1 government shutdown by December 31, 2027? Yes +400 $156 36¢ $146 -$10 11-07 02:07
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award? Yes +215 $140 64¢ $139 -$1 11-10 17:50
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +167 $122 76¢ $128 +$6 11-10 22:46
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +135 $102 74¢ $99 -$3 11-11 01:48
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +100 $75 92¢ $92 +$17 11-08 02:18
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award? No +215 $87 36¢ $76 -$11 11-11 01:48
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +100 $75 74¢ $74 $0 11-11 00:09
Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026? No +100 $80 66¢ $66 -$15 11-11 01:48
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? No +118 $29 52¢ $61 +$32 11-11 01:48
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? Yes +118 $115 48¢ $57 -$57 11-10 14:25
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +400 $132 13¢ $53 -$79 11-05 16:14
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? No +50 $40 82¢ $41 +$1 11-09 18:37
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +166 $49 24¢ $39 -$10 11-11 01:48
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +135 $38 26¢ $36 -$2 11-09 19:37
Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026? Yes +100 $39 34¢ $34 -$4 11-09 06:56
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +100 $28 26¢ $26 -$3 11-09 16:22
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate by 50+ bps at the February meeting? No +20 $17 86¢ $17 +$0 11-10 02:46
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on November 11? Yes +16 $10 100¢ $16 +$6 11-11 09:26
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 12? No +16 $10 80¢ $13 +$3 11-11 20:08
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on November 12? No +13 $10 97¢ $13 +$3 11-11 16:27
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on November 12? No +13 $10 91¢ $12 +$2 11-11 16:43
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on November 12? No +15 $10 72¢ $11 +$1 11-11 19:36
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 12? No +16 $10 68¢ $11 +$1 11-11 15:24
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C or higher on November 12? Yes +13 $10 80¢ $11 +$1 11-11 20:08
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on November 12? No +13 $10 80¢ $11 +$1 11-11 17:30
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on November 12? No +12 $10 86¢ $10 +$0 11-11 15:24
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 14°C on November 12? No +12 $10 84¢ $10 $0 11-11 16:27