Raw-Disability — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$178

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.4%

Resolved

136

Trades

242

lifetime

Volume

$45.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$188

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-19 18:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 91 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 99% +$156

Other

31% 100% +$20

Politics

4% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of ethereum be less than 2500 on january 2	1	$1.4K	1,402	0	+1,402	No	+$2	01-01 12:06
ethereum above 2400 on january 4	1	$1.4K	1,401	0	+1,401	Yes	+$1	01-02 21:26
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 26	2	$1.2K	600	600	+0	No	-$13	02-25 22:18
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 120 139	2	$978	490	490	+0	No	+$1	03-19 08:10
will solana dip to 70 january 5 11	1	$950	951	0	+951	No	+$1	01-07 12:48
will the price of ethereum be greater than 3500 on january 27	1	$900	901	0	+901	No	+$1	01-25 19:30
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$899	900	0	+900	No	+$1	04-21 10:49
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 580plus	6	$892	497	400	+97	No	+$4	03-13 17:29
white house of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 20 39	1	$817	818	0	+818	No	+$1	04-16 10:13
donald trump of truth social posts april 3 april 10 200plus	1	$806	806	0	+806	No	+$1	04-09 16:31
ethereum above 3800 on january 25	1	$800	801	0	+801	No	+$1	01-22 23:34
bitcoin above 92k on february 6	1	$800	801	0	+801	No	+$1	02-04 22:01
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	1	$800	801	0	+801	No	+$1	01-27 21:23
ethereum above 3500 on february 4	1	$800	801	0	+801	No	+$1	02-02 11:32
solana above 40 on february 11	1	$799	800	0	+800	Yes	+$1	02-10 11:25
will xrp reach 2pt2 february 2 8	1	$799	800	0	+800	No	+$1	02-08 19:23
xrp above 2 on february 13	1	$799	800	0	+800	No	+$1	02-11 21:08
solana above 40 on february 18	1	$799	800	0	+800	Yes	+$1	02-16 20:48
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	13	$709	557	200	+357	No	+$21	04-28 15:27
will xrp dip to 0pt7 february 9 15	1	$699	700	0	+700	No	+$1	02-14 10:28
will solana dip to 10 march 2 8	15	$699	350	350	+0	No	+$1	03-05 08:39
will the price of solana be less than 30 on march 3	3	$678	340	340	+0	No	+$1	03-02 00:21
donald trump of truth social posts march 31 april 7 200plus	1	$599	600	0	+600	No	+$1	04-03 19:12
ethereum above 2600 on february 20	1	$599	600	0	+600	No	+$1	02-18 21:09
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 23	1	$599	600	0	+600	No	+$1	02-23 12:50
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 24	1	$599	600	0	+600	No	+$1	02-23 21:08
will xrp reach 2pt2 february 16 22	1	$599	600	0	+600	No	+$1	02-20 22:31
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 320 339	3	$599	400	200	+200	No	+$0	03-27 13:31
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 100 119	2	$599	300	300	+0	No	+$0	03-21 11:18
will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	1	$589	590	0	+590	No	+$1	03-07 16:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 18:52:23	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x46a181…
10-04 20:32:16	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x710167…
08-24 18:13:58	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets in October 2026?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x7bd24a…
08-14 13:00:33	Will CZ post 200+ posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6563d8…
08-14 12:59:30	will solana dip to 10 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x270cf4…
08-05 17:02:30	Will CZ post 200+ posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x21372c…
07-31 05:37:39	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x88f78b…
07-28 18:26:46	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa5d300…
07-21 19:05:49	Will CZ post 200+ posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0x9edc24…
07-19 18:36:10	Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xb57796…
07-19 15:45:27	Will CZ post 200+ posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	258	100¢	$258	0x7a226c…
07-14 16:56:34	Will White House post 20-39 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x412a81…
07-14 16:55:05	Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x825951…
07-14 16:54:02	Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x67fe3a…
07-14 16:51:31	Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x738776…
07-12 19:23:31	Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa4c4ef…
07-12 19:22:16	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xcdb50e…
07-12 19:21:02	Will CZ post 200+ posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x46c5f3…
07-09 20:51:55	Will CZ post 200+ posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x03584b…
07-09 20:51:23	Will CZ post 200+ posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x72c5b5…
07-02 18:41:19	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x238c77…
07-02 18:39:19	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x36b838…
06-30 17:03:44	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xc3698a…
06-30 17:02:26	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x05f813…
06-30 17:01:13	Will CZ post 200+ posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x58f60d…
06-23 16:57:58	Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x7dde4f…
06-23 16:56:25	Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf8e448…
06-23 16:52:20	Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xaaf2d8…
06-23 16:52:11	Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x708174…
06-23 16:51:01	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$99	0x3488a5…
06-23 09:18:14	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x527f95…
06-23 05:56:11	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb0ece8…
06-23 02:48:31	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf20b5d…
06-22 18:54:10	will solana dip to 10 in june 2026	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xd849ec…
06-22 18:48:29	Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x5a06df…
06-22 01:18:14	Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x0dfb95…
06-20 17:18:31	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x76c9e4…
06-20 17:17:23	Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xf42a6b…
06-20 17:14:58	Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7afcba…
06-20 17:14:02	Will CZ post 200+ posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x0fc528…
06-20 17:13:10	Will CZ post 200+ posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf15bde…
06-20 17:12:56	Will CZ post 200+ posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x81dc8d…
06-13 21:55:00	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x6c259d…
06-13 21:53:25	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x57a752…
06-13 21:52:13	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0xf1848f…
06-12 07:07:57	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x882301…
06-11 03:54:45	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x244e03…
06-10 19:08:04	will xrp dip to 0pt5 june 8 14 2026	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x3fa5d9…
06-09 17:33:24	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x46cb23…
06-08 18:29:19	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x9c7ca6…
06-08 18:22:16	will xrp dip to 0pt5 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x050aee…
06-08 18:17:55	will solana dip to 10 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa5874a…
06-08 18:16:45	Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd52f54…
06-08 18:13:31	Will Zelenskyy post 160-179 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x22e91a…
06-04 18:14:39	solana above 130 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x13ad0f…
06-04 18:10:33	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x814cfc…
06-04 18:09:51	Will CZ post 200+ posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x9b4aa2…
06-04 18:04:28	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x1e8011…
05-25 17:49:11	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x91715a…
05-23 19:00:54	Will BNB reach $900 in May?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x9d4c57…
05-23 18:59:23	Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x9ec24d…
05-23 18:57:23	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x83cf8a…
05-13 18:43:53	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x38766f…
05-09 18:41:20	Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x292730…
05-09 18:39:18	Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xea9bac…
05-09 18:36:56	Will CZ post 200+ posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x7d68d1…
05-09 18:34:13	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$399	0x737228…
05-04 19:54:14	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe77aed…
05-04 19:51:06	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xd8c7c1…
05-04 19:46:32	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf7193a…
05-04 19:21:08	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xf437ce…
05-04 19:17:36	Will White House post 40-59 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0xa6b62e…
05-04 10:49:00	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xd42cdf…
05-04 10:11:06	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xf763ca…
05-03 14:58:08	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$399	0xb68824…
04-28 15:27:58	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$47	0xe29339…
04-28 14:32:18	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0xe3ee79…
04-28 14:01:14	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$47	0x115dcc…
04-28 13:59:20	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$47	0x5bb7cc…
04-27 09:06:12	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x7d6314…
04-26 12:16:34	Will XRP dip to $0.60 in April?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x596f51…
04-21 10:49:30	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	900	100¢	$899	0x11484d…
04-20 08:59:44	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 580plus	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x18f4ef…
04-16 10:13:26	white house of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 20 39	No	BUY	818	100¢	$817	0x782a37…
04-14 02:52:39	will xrp dip to 0pt7 april 13 19	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x168800…
04-14 02:25:43	will xrp dip to 0pt7 april 13 19	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xecb3c9…
04-14 01:15:47	will xrp dip to 0pt7 april 13 19	No	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x30ddf5…
04-13 23:51:43	will ethereum dip to 1500 april 13 19	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x72a9c2…
04-13 23:45:51	will xrp dip to 0pt7 april 13 19	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x1d4b84…
04-13 14:42:33	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 240plus	No	BUY	540	100¢	$539	0xff4671…
04-13 13:21:41	donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 200plus	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x79f0db…
04-13 12:35:01	donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 200plus	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x220bcd…
04-13 11:50:05	will ethereum dip to 1500 april 13 19	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x0464ce…
04-13 11:47:19	will ethereum dip to 1500 april 13 19	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x4b42b2…
04-13 11:01:53	will ethereum dip to 1500 april 13 19	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x507e69…
04-13 10:08:31	donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 200plus	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x4bb4c4…
04-13 10:03:53	will ethereum dip to 1500 april 13 19	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xc402d7…
04-13 09:56:27	will xrp dip to 0pt7 april 13 19	No	BUY	164	99¢	$163	0x06bbda…
04-13 09:54:31	will xrp dip to 0pt6 april 13 19	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x9889c2…
04-13 09:47:15	will solana dip to 20 april 13 19	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe6d1c1…