Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
open
Total volume
$2,604
$84,551 in 24h
Trades
41
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$12,502
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-22
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 10:08
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 28 | $0 | $2.5K | $2.5K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $0 | $1.5K | $1.5K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| Median | 5 | — | $381 | $381 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $110 | $110 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| unranked | 16 | — | $462 | $462 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Best-Radish 0x2924…dcde | No | +1,500 | $1,497 | $1,497 | 1 | 05-14 00:34 |
| Sizzling-Project 0xfb2b…cadf | No | +250 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 05-13 04:42 |
| Authentic-Execution 0x2087…1219 | No | +110 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 05-13 03:37 |
| Even-Emission 0x4392…9eae | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-14 09:39 |
| Dense-Standoff 0x4c8e…b38f | Yes | +91 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-13 06:31 |
| Mortified-Samurai 0x7db5…cf18 | Yes | +70 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-12 09:12 |
| Unwritten-Travel 0xd1b1…cdaa | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-14 09:34 |
| Wee-Penguin 0x9092…8103 | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-13 12:08 |
| Idle-Lawyer 0xd556…34c5 | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-13 12:33 |
| Salty-Ovary 0x9b0f…03ba | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-13 13:38 |
| Dirty-Stucco 0x5f75…227c | No | +37 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 05-14 10:08 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 05-13 00:48 |
| Best-Mutt 0x890e…7ec1 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-14 07:59 |
| Third-Dig 0xc5e0…8eb5 | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-14 08:34 |
| Quirky-Miniskirt 0xa4c9…5cac | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 03:10 |
| Prime-Quartz 0xbce9…efef | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 02:40 |
| Gregarious-Incompetence 0xa111…0441 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-14 02:32 |
| Wiggly-Dulcimer 0x156f…fb0b | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-14 02:25 |
| Colossal-Rim 0xb20c…bdc4 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-14 06:33 |
| Repentant-Composer 0xbb32…c85c | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-13 09:01 |
| Anchored-Transit 0x10cf…c1e6 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 02:25 |
| Zealous-Garment 0xd2ce…0600 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 03:10 |
| Better-Concrete 0xcad1…1461 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 04:41 |
| Sparse-Option 0xb7a3…8456 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 00:37 |
| Likely-Tinderbox-Elm 0xdf48…136d | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 05:34 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 10:08:56 | Dirty-Stucco 0x5f75…227c | No | BUY | 37 | 100¢ | $37 | 0x43495a… |
| 05-14 09:39:06 | Even-Emission 0x4392…9eae | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x63b0ed… |
| 05-14 09:34:43 | Unwritten-Travel 0xd1b1…cdaa | No | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x590210… |
| 05-14 08:34:01 | Third-Dig 0xc5e0…8eb5 | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x1aa5cd… |
| 05-14 07:59:15 | Best-Mutt 0x890e…7ec1 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x0d2d8c… |
| 05-14 07:59:01 | Best-Mutt 0x890e…7ec1 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x25a011… |
| 05-14 06:33:53 | Colossal-Rim 0xb20c…bdc4 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x6360bb… |
| 05-14 04:41:18 | Better-Concrete 0xcad1…1461 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x920efd… |
| 05-14 03:10:53 | Zealous-Garment 0xd2ce…0600 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x9d8cf8… |
| 05-14 03:10:53 | Quirky-Miniskirt 0xa4c9…5cac | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x48d005… |
| 05-14 02:40:40 | Prime-Quartz 0xbce9…efef | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xb783ae… |
| 05-14 02:32:04 | Gregarious-Incompetence 0xa111…0441 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0xc3d1cb… |
| 05-14 02:25:23 | Anchored-Transit 0x10cf…c1e6 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xd4a188… |
| 05-14 02:25:07 | Wiggly-Dulcimer 0x156f…fb0b | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x3c2cec… |
| 05-14 00:37:02 | Sparse-Option 0xb7a3…8456 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x536e35… |
| 05-14 00:34:05 | Best-Radish 0x2924…dcde | No | BUY | 1,500 | 100¢ | $1,497 | 0xa25fdb… |
| 05-13 13:38:22 | Salty-Ovary 0x9b0f…03ba | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x26be8c… |
| 05-13 12:33:17 | Idle-Lawyer 0xd556…34c5 | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0xe0f6ef… |
| 05-13 12:08:16 | Wee-Penguin 0x9092…8103 | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xffd11f… |
| 05-13 09:01:34 | Repentant-Composer 0xbb32…c85c | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x7c8575… |
| 05-13 06:31:30 | Dense-Standoff 0x4c8e…b38f | Yes | BUY | 91 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6f5bf8… |
| 05-13 06:08:30 | Secret-Neurobiologist 0xb7fd…cc88 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xaf2a8a… |
| 05-13 05:58:35 | Easy-Going-Liar 0x290a…0cc0 | No | SELL | 110 | 100¢ | $110 | 0xd1aaca… |
| 05-13 05:33:24 | Easy-Going-Liar 0x290a…0cc0 | No | BUY | 110 | 100¢ | $110 | 0x68c240… |
| 05-13 04:42:11 | Sizzling-Project 0xfb2b…cadf | No | BUY | 250 | 100¢ | $250 | 0x73fa2b… |
| 05-13 03:37:09 | Authentic-Execution 0x2087…1219 | No | BUY | 110 | 100¢ | $110 | 0x1de063… |
| 05-13 00:48:43 | Secret-Neurobiologist 0xb7fd…cc88 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5d8aa5… |
| 05-13 00:48:39 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0xc16137… |
| 05-13 00:48:29 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x601fb0… |
| 05-12 23:15:52 | Messy-Lecture 0xff4e…5502 | Yes | SELL | 3,575 | 0¢ | $4 | 0x02d2f4… |
| 05-12 22:05:52 | Secret-Neurobiologist 0xb7fd…cc88 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc18930… |
| 05-12 17:51:32 | Honorable-Beach 0x8ba4…351a | Yes | SELL | 60 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x84a7f5… |
| 05-12 15:18:09 | Secret-Neurobiologist 0xb7fd…cc88 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf24dbc… |
| 05-12 14:58:05 | Secret-Neurobiologist 0xb7fd…cc88 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xab5cb4… |
| 05-12 11:47:29 | Honorable-Beach 0x8ba4…351a | Yes | SELL | 60 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4782b1… |
| 05-12 11:42:30 | Secret-Neurobiologist 0xb7fd…cc88 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5ecc2f… |
| 05-12 09:27:32 | Secret-Neurobiologist 0xb7fd…cc88 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd3c8b1… |
| 05-12 09:27:31 | Honorable-Beach 0x8ba4…351a | Yes | SELL | 60 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3bc03a… |
| 05-12 09:12:26 | Mortified-Samurai 0x7db5…cf18 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x81f1fe… |
| 05-12 08:22:32 | Secret-Neurobiologist 0xb7fd…cc88 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7b187b… |
| 05-12 05:34:49 | Likely-Tinderbox-Elm 0xdf48…136d | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x9d590c… |