Wiggly-Dulcimer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$39

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

25.9%

Resolved

Trades

112

lifetime

Volume

$5.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

$82

1 position

First seen

2026-01-20

last 11-06 07:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Sports

71% 0% -$4

Crypto

16% 100% +$3

Other

12% 87% -$46

Politics

1% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in November?	No		+82	$82	100¢	$82	$0	11-06 07:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2.6K	5,593	5,593	+0	No	$0	06-29 06:59
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.3K	3,202	3,200	+2	No	-$4	06-30 02:19
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in November?	1	$82	82	0	+82	open	—	11-06 07:06
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	1	$82	82	0	+82	No	+$0	09-05 05:15
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	1	$82	82	0	+82	No	+$0	10-10 02:52
Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$82	82	0	+82	No	+$0	08-26 08:58
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?	1	$45	203	0	+203	No	-$45	06-19 03:35
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	2	$44	23	21	+2	No	+$0	05-14 02:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	2	$35	19	16	+3	No	+$0	05-14 02:17
Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	2	$34	18	16	+2	No	+$0	05-28 05:52
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	2	$26	14	14	+0	No	+$1	01-23 02:56
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$26	15	11	+4	No	+$0	05-28 05:53
fed rate cut by january 2026 meeting 412	2	$26	13	13	+0	No	+$0	01-26 05:36
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	01-29 11:04
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	$0	01-29 11:04
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	2	$23	13	12	+1	No	+$2	03-03 08:43
will ethereum reach 2500 in june 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	06-30 02:21
gc hit 3600 low jan 2026 392 134 138 444	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	01-29 11:05
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-30 02:20
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in April?	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	04-03 01:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 31?	1	$16	16	0	+16	Yes	+$0	05-28 05:58
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	06-06 03:27
Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	04-03 01:50
bitcoin above 80k on april 2	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-01 02:53
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-06 03:27
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-06 03:27
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-06 03:28
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-06 03:28
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in May?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	05-06 04:08
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	1	$14	19	0	+19	No	+$5	01-20 01:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 07:06:30	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in November?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x503147…
10-10 02:52:06	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xd9ead7…
09-05 05:15:48	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xd96054…
08-26 08:58:55	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x114a17…
08-01 07:20:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on August 6?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3476c1…
08-01 07:20:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on August 5?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x19beb8…
08-01 07:20:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on August 4?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x223623…
08-01 07:20:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 1?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5e56c1…
08-01 07:19:44	will ethereum dip to 1400 july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x35349d…
08-01 07:19:24	will bitcoin dip to 50k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x249bed…
08-01 07:19:09	bitcoin above 54k on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xae37c2…
08-01 07:18:57	bitcoin above 54k on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x50f7cf…
08-01 07:18:47	bitcoin above 70k on august 4 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd54879…
08-01 07:17:48	bitcoin above 60k on august 1 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd2b99b…
07-18 06:36:27	will ethereum reach 2200 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc3cb7e…
07-18 06:36:15	will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x27b610…
07-18 06:35:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on July 23?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xecec9e…
07-18 06:35:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on July 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x39e63f…
07-18 06:35:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on July 21?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x336939…
07-18 06:35:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on July 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x757b64…
07-18 06:35:16	bitcoin above 54k on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xba51f5…
07-18 06:35:06	bitcoin above 56k on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xefa141…
07-18 06:34:51	bitcoin above 56k on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x918dbc…
07-18 06:34:40	bitcoin above 58k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x47a0bb…
07-03 02:45:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 4?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3ff607…
07-03 02:45:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 3?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2ad72a…
07-03 02:44:46	bitcoin above 50k on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd3dfc8…
07-03 02:44:38	bitcoin above 52k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4bf428…
07-03 02:44:28	bitcoin above 56k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa3d6d4…
07-03 02:44:20	bitcoin above 58k on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x87c66c…
07-03 02:44:01	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe6952f…
07-03 02:43:52	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb71626…
07-03 02:43:43	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xda90d0…
06-30 02:21:37	will ethereum reach 2500 in june 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x8114ee…
06-30 02:20:56	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x70aaec…
06-30 02:19:10	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3,200	20¢	$646	0x3e0961…
06-30 02:16:38	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,202	20¢	$650	0x85d818…
06-29 06:59:31	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5,593	23¢	$1,286	0xf1d5f6…
06-29 06:31:17	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,593	23¢	$1,286	0xf37cbb…
06-19 03:35:04	Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	203	22¢	$45	0x3267c8…
06-06 03:28:27	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x14e45f…
06-06 03:28:12	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7e6b11…
06-06 03:27:54	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd00793…
06-06 03:27:34	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc4174b…
06-06 03:27:13	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x51227b…
05-28 05:58:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x6b5ab0…
05-28 05:58:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x441d26…
05-28 05:58:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x47bd2b…
05-28 05:53:25	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x6a5926…
05-28 05:52:41	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x9c04ac…
05-21 07:01:36	Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xea82ba…
05-21 07:01:11	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3eddcf…
05-14 02:25:07	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3c2cec…
05-14 02:24:50	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x12d469…
05-14 02:24:27	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x327043…
05-14 02:17:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xa564a3…
05-14 02:17:17	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xe1e415…
05-06 04:08:58	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in May?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc01bfb…
05-06 04:08:32	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x37e56b…
05-06 04:08:00	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf86904…
05-06 04:06:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x575e93…
04-13 01:39:45	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 580plus	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xedc22c…
04-13 01:39:29	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 580plus	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdf611e…
04-13 01:39:23	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 480 499	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb64a7e…
04-03 01:51:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 3	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x68316a…
04-03 01:50:59	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa12907…
04-03 01:50:45	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x33fb23…
04-03 01:50:31	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc3d6d6…
04-03 01:50:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x60da60…
04-01 02:53:29	bitcoin above 56k on april 3	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x517c2f…
04-01 02:53:15	bitcoin above 80k on april 2	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xee1ecc…
04-01 02:53:09	bitcoin above 76k on april 1	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf061dd…
03-28 00:55:35	bitcoin above 80k on march 30	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xc7639d…
03-28 00:55:23	bitcoin above 78k on march 29	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x95541f…
03-28 00:55:11	bitcoin above 72k on march 28	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x21c80c…
03-18 02:31:25	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 580plus	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x39fb16…
03-18 02:31:11	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 580plus	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb90895…
03-18 02:31:03	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 440 459	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x513d08…
03-09 01:23:11	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x47decd…
03-09 01:23:03	will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on march 9	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x26482a…
03-09 01:22:53	will bitcoin dip to 62k march 2 8	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8fa90d…
03-09 01:22:45	bitcoin above 74k on march 9	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4c9a7b…
03-09 01:22:29	ethereum above 1600 on march 9	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaa71e7…
03-03 08:58:37	will the price of ethereum be between 1500 1600 on march 3	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x75d517…
03-03 08:58:17	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x41fbac…
03-03 08:57:57	Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x814d6c…
03-03 08:57:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 56000 58000 on march 3	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x8eca14…
03-03 08:57:05	ethereum above 1700 on march 3	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xe01b99…
03-03 08:56:47	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2214ac…
03-03 08:43:49	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x2d1a38…
02-03 03:14:06	will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xac60f9…
02-03 03:13:50	will solana reach 200 in february 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xc02971…
02-03 03:05:56	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd0f7aa…
02-03 03:05:42	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5b0113…
01-29 11:33:56	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 29	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xcb9fe5…
01-29 11:33:40	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on january 29	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6a7b45…
01-29 11:33:24	will ethereum dip to 1600 in january 2026 383	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa2fb06…
01-29 11:33:00	Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xa704d3…
01-29 11:05:00	gc hit 3600 low jan 2026 392 134 138 444	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd8f4d0…
01-29 11:04:54	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x4c9ac2…