Unnatural-Shipyard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

72.7%

Resolved

Trades

357

lifetime

Volume

$356

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-06

last 06-01 15:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 29% $-3

Politics

16% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes		-1	$-0	0¢	$-0	+$0	06-01 15:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran strike israel on march 10	11	$49	448	83	+364	open	—	03-15 15:12
btc updown 5m 1772792700	9	$7	11	11	+0	open	—	03-06 10:29
btc updown 5m 1772784900	6	$7	10	10	+0	open	—	03-06 08:19
btc updown 15m 1773143100	12	$7	11	11	+0	open	—	03-10 11:56
btc updown 5m 1772785800	6	$7	10	10	+0	open	—	03-06 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6AM ET	5	$7	9	4	+5	Down	+$0	05-07 11:18
bitcoin up or down march 10 5pm et	3	$5	4	2	+2	open	—	03-10 22:00
btc updown 5m 1772792100	4	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	03-06 10:19
btc updown 5m 1773213300	3	$5	11	2	+8	open	—	03-11 07:20
btc updown 5m 1772793900	5	$5	7	7	+0	open	—	03-06 10:48
btc updown 5m 1773247800	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-11 16:55
btc updown 5m 1772786400	5	$4	8	8	+0	open	—	03-06 08:43
bitcoin up or down march 11 4am et	3	$4	4	2	+2	open	—	03-11 09:01
btc updown 5m 1772794500	3	$4	10	10	+0	open	—	03-06 10:58
btc updown 5m 1773213000	3	$4	5	2	+2	open	—	03-11 07:15
btc updown 5m 1773212100	3	$4	5	2	+3	open	—	03-11 07:00
btc updown 5m 1773212700	3	$4	5	2	+3	open	—	03-11 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	4	$4	7	5	+3	Down	+$0	05-07 21:03
bitcoin up or down march 10 6pm et	3	$4	4	2	+2	open	—	03-10 23:00
btc updown 15m 1773144900	7	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	03-10 12:28
btc updown 5m 1772786100	3	$4	14	5	+9	open	—	03-06 08:39
btc updown 5m 1772793300	4	$4	10	10	+0	open	—	03-06 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 16:50
btc updown 5m 1773141300	6	$3	7	7	+0	open	—	03-10 11:19
btc updown 5m 1773268800	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	03-11 22:44
btc updown 15m 1773145800	6	$3	4	2	+2	open	—	03-10 12:36
bitcoin up or down march 10 7pm et	3	$3	4	2	+2	open	—	03-10 23:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 20:44
btc updown 5m 1772785200	4	$3	6	2	+4	open	—	03-06 08:21
btc updown 5m 1773268200	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	03-11 22:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 15:25:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0xe1f31d…
05-08 21:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xdf8966…
05-08 20:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x61cc31…
05-08 20:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5e4a77…
05-08 20:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd1a527…
05-08 17:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x54cb06…
05-08 17:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xcb9548…
05-08 17:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x72fd9e…
05-08 16:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x13cfc5…
05-08 16:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd748bd…
05-08 16:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xd45178…
05-08 16:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xbfda70…
05-08 16:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x55f6f3…
05-08 16:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0xfd29a9…
05-08 16:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4ecd9b…
05-08 16:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb53da0…
05-08 16:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x12e7c7…
05-08 16:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe90b24…
05-07 21:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe76e80…
05-07 21:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x381a25…
05-07 21:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf6ad01…
05-07 21:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x01356c…
05-07 21:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x596df7…
05-07 20:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3cf1a8…
05-07 20:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xbcf25a…
05-07 20:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xeebbe2…
05-07 20:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2d7411…
05-07 15:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x836894…
05-07 15:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf6c3a6…
05-07 15:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x346c20…
05-07 15:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfc246b…
05-07 15:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x18385a…
05-07 15:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x471350…
05-07 15:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	1	70¢	$0	0xd8eac9…
05-07 11:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x17aa73…
05-07 10:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0xe2cdcb…
05-07 10:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xfc9a01…
05-07 10:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4a205b…
05-07 10:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc64540…
05-07 09:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x6c87a7…
05-05 09:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x4931ec…
05-02 18:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa7261b…
04-08 18:59:13	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xd0d37d…
04-08 15:40:21	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xb3af42…
04-08 14:12:47	btc updown 5m 1775657400	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x461749…
04-08 13:49:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x3aac40…
04-08 10:58:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x8234ec…
03-24 19:29:31	btc updown 5m 1774380300	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbb1fa1…
03-24 19:24:13	btc updown 5m 1774380000	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd63f74…
03-24 19:09:27	btc updown 5m 1774379100	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x260d21…
03-20 19:19:43	btc updown 5m 1774034100	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x279df6…
03-20 19:13:45	btc updown 15m 1774033200	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x615c76…
03-20 19:08:43	btc updown 5m 1774033500	Up	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xcfc68d…
03-20 19:07:45	btc updown 5m 1774033500	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xfe376f…
03-20 19:03:21	btc updown 5m 1774033200	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x07bfae…
03-20 19:03:09	btc updown 5m 1774033200	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xd7e7e2…
03-20 18:59:13	sol updown 15m 1774032300	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x950d08…
03-20 18:59:13	sol updown 15m 1774032300	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x64a98b…
03-20 18:55:29	ethereum up or down march 20 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x054119…
03-20 18:54:29	ethereum up or down march 20 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf0509a…
03-20 18:27:35	eth updown 15m 1774030500	Up	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xbb24c1…
03-20 18:27:35	eth updown 15m 1774030500	Up	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x42bd79…
03-20 18:23:01	btc updown 5m 1774030800	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfa770a…
03-20 13:58:37	btc updown 5m 1774014900	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5cfa89…
03-20 13:28:49	btc updown 15m 1774012500	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xabccf5…
03-20 13:23:57	btc updown 5m 1774012800	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8b4017…
03-20 13:19:19	btc updown 5m 1774012500	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe5a1ef…
03-20 13:14:27	btc updown 5m 1774012200	Up	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x3f8692…
03-20 13:12:59	btc updown 5m 1774012200	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc0efdd…
03-20 13:09:41	btc updown 5m 1774011900	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x3f2123…
03-20 13:09:21	btc updown 5m 1774011900	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfd7427…
03-20 12:58:23	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5bc886…
03-20 12:56:59	bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4f284c…
03-20 12:49:49	btc updown 5m 1774010700	Up	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb68593…
03-20 12:49:01	btc updown 5m 1774010700	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcc63f5…
03-20 12:44:39	btc updown 5m 1774010400	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x0fdec6…
03-20 12:42:21	btc updown 5m 1774010400	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8da28b…
03-20 12:34:15	btc updown 5m 1774009800	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xca5af5…
03-20 12:34:15	btc updown 5m 1774009800	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x80a630…
03-20 12:26:59	btc updown 5m 1774009500	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x32d7b7…
03-15 15:12:33	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	BUY	337	0¢	$1	0x3ee491…
03-15 15:12:09	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x396ca0…
03-15 15:11:43	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x2968e1…
03-15 15:11:03	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	SELL	32	0¢	$0	0x14c752…
03-13 15:50:13	bitcoin up or down march 13 11am et	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x27bc82…
03-13 15:47:19	btc updown 5m 1773416700	Down	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0x6c4e5e…
03-13 15:46:17	btc updown 5m 1773416700	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xacfa51…
03-13 15:39:53	bitcoin up or down march 13 11am et	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5034e1…
03-13 09:07:27	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x1d0bd9…
03-13 08:37:35	btc updown 5m 1773390900	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd0de20…
03-12 22:03:29	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x044035…
03-12 19:39:37	btc updown 5m 1773344100	Up	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x2d3e43…
03-12 19:39:13	btc updown 5m 1773344100	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1c889b…
03-12 19:32:11	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0x53cf2c…
03-12 19:31:57	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x384fec…
03-12 15:48:13	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	SELL	28	95¢	$26	0xc2fdab…
03-12 15:25:43	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	27	65¢	$17	0x53db8d…
03-12 14:45:01	btc updown 5m 1773326400	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7f61de…
03-12 13:59:59	btc updown 5m 1773323700	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x06b40d…
03-12 13:39:37	btc updown 5m 1773322500	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe091ff…