Actual-Weasel — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.9%

Resolved (90d)

211

Trades (90d)

218

2,457 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.08K

$12.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 11-08 04:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 232 days

Categories

Other

79% 98% +$5

Sports

16% 100% +$2

Crypto

3% 97% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	3	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	07-06 21:03
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:03
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$10	5	5	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 07:17
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:15
Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	2	$10	5	5	+0	Asterisk	+$0	05-28 16:30
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-29 22:14
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Over	+$0	04-24 02:47
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$10	5	5	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 17:22
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$10	5	5	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:37
Will Chris Moneymaker cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:33
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-09-14?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	09-16 10:16
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:55
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:30
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:11
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:37
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 22pt5	3	$10	5	5	+0	Under	+$0	04-26 02:51
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Paris Saint-Germain FC	+$0	03-11 21:59
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	3	$10	5	5	+0	Mali	+$0	06-04 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$10	5	5	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	07-27 07:32
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-31 03:59
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$10	5	5	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	04-25 16:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 04:25:49	Rockets vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x195d59…
11-08 00:26:46	Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee	Middle Tennessee	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb70190…
11-07 16:38:45	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc4b500…
11-07 16:07:03	Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb32e3d…
11-06 20:34:51	Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6bd04e…
11-06 02:44:52	Blues vs. Devils	Devils	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x251682…
11-01 02:37:49	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x381505…
11-01 01:38:52	Hawks vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xffe2c2…
11-01 00:43:13	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa6bdce…
11-01 00:05:43	UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dakota Hope	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8d82c3…
10-31 16:00:22	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x382fb7…
10-29 15:14:13	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf9f63a…
10-27 13:12:08	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd119d5…
10-25 09:31:00	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7b947f…
10-24 13:22:15	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9dbd43…
10-23 16:52:29	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xef2e54…
10-23 07:20:57	Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x87cdd5…
10-23 06:10:05	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb78bd3…
10-21 17:08:39	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe273fb…
10-20 18:47:44	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x194e86…
10-18 03:35:36	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1450d4…
10-15 19:37:41	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaf3281…
10-15 15:13:04	Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Janice Tjen	Ann Li	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x53dfc0…
10-14 20:56:46	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x659a56…
10-14 11:41:29	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x65e2ef…
10-13 20:58:52	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe4b36c…
10-13 14:15:22	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd35b17…
10-12 09:05:09	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa27250…
10-11 20:16:10	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xefef30…
10-10 12:54:19	China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens	Qinwen Zheng	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7b6c42…
10-09 12:00:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x101b3f…
10-09 02:09:50	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x49d765…
10-07 10:16:24	Samsun: Elena Pridankina vs Anna Blinkova	Anna Blinkova	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc1be37…
10-06 20:46:27	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x831d28…
10-06 16:07:30	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x98e0ba…
10-06 07:28:03	Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfd2ad9…
10-04 23:23:10	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x611d84…
10-04 20:22:58	Rams vs. Eagles	Rams	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1189f8…
10-04 20:17:37	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xff1a89…
10-03 18:26:24	atp justo barrios 2026 10 03	Guido Justo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x84cf61…
10-03 14:50:21	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1f7d4c…
10-03 02:52:57	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbbdd9a…
10-02 14:12:39	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x4af829…
10-02 14:12:39	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x37de8e…
10-01 20:46:20	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x19602a…
10-01 14:11:53	atp giustin donald 2026 10 01	Matthew William Donald	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa77ead…
10-01 12:05:05	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe4f2b5…
10-01 05:16:09	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x241f35…
09-30 23:54:56	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf8946b…
09-30 01:58:15	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x743ea8…
09-29 13:59:02	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf54b68…
09-29 13:16:03	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfd0d02…
09-29 06:51:53	wta ribera you 2026 09 28	Marina Bassols Ribera	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5952dc…
09-28 20:43:08	atp zink krueger 2026 09 28	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x11a261…
09-28 10:07:56	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x52f1da…
09-27 20:24:48	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa895e3…
09-27 13:31:17	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6911d3…
09-27 12:11:59	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa71231…
09-27 01:56:06	UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Ailin Perez	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc87374…
09-27 00:30:42	atp legout marcond 2026 09 26	Igor Ribeiro Marcondes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf16829…
09-27 00:29:56	Wisconsin vs. Penn State	Wisconsin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x48f713…
09-26 19:53:27	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4a273f…
09-26 16:22:56	cs2 hero sng2 2026 09 26	Heroic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4e6c7c…
09-26 12:18:23	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe12f59…
09-25 23:22:17	Army vs. Temple	Army	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x500404…
09-25 10:12:41	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x680915…
09-24 20:45:14	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb6f16f…
09-23 22:37:44	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x28f1ad…
09-21 19:09:01	will msft dip to 495 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6a5894…
09-21 18:44:33	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd69e7d…
09-21 13:01:35	Solana Up or Down - September 21, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x055fde…
09-20 16:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf17126…
09-20 02:59:34	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcd3941…
09-20 01:26:39	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaac4ac…
09-19 01:33:04	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbee9c3…
09-18 20:00:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18?	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x397067…
09-18 19:32:18	Will AC Oulu win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbf19ac…
09-18 19:17:12	Valencia: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Joelle Steur	Joelle Steur	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf11a28…
09-17 17:27:43	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xde0d28…
09-17 14:00:55	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6f43d5…
09-17 00:30:42	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd6b9fc…
09-16 10:16:52	Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb0a415…
09-16 06:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x86d93b…
09-16 02:33:33	Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9f2220…
09-16 01:34:49	Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Evan Zhu	Michael Zheng	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcdb49d…
09-16 01:10:06	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x64c91c…
09-16 00:09:52	Set 1 Winner: Diane Parry vs Peyton Stearns	Peyton Stearns	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc69fc2…
09-15 12:58:36	Valencia: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Eva Vedder	Jennifer Ruggeri	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9f9914…
09-15 09:42:03	Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov	Pavel Kotov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xff867c…
09-14 17:03:22	Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x43a6c2…
09-14 09:11:25	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B	Team Nemesis	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6c4a35…
09-13 14:59:10	atp zhukov loof 2026 09 13	Thijmen Loof	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xff7c22…
09-13 02:51:28	Iowa State vs. Iowa	Iowa	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x313116…
09-12 21:23:37	cs2 saw2 6666 2026 09 12	6666	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1d2bd0…
09-12 19:17:24	South Florida vs. Army	South Florida	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe575da…
09-12 10:54:10	itf naw1 brown1 2026 09 12	Oscar Brown	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x43c1df…
09-12 03:09:10	US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x04c0a8…
09-12 03:09:06	US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xbd3938…
09-11 19:25:49	Will SV Ried win on 2026-09-11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xef4083…
09-11 13:25:16	Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Any Questions Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs	FunPlus Phoenix	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc99189…