Elderly-Cupola 0x0d5ee5…4d5c24
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Realized P&L
+$12
Unrealized P&L
-$28
Hit rate
98.8%
Resolved
5
Trades
3,434
lifetime
Volume
$61.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$458
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 16:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
48% 100% +$13
Politics
26% 50% $-1
Crypto
22% — —
Sports
3% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +272 $207 56¢ $151 $-56 07-07 10:04
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +113 $77 79¢ $89 +$12 07-13 13:59
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +88 $52 74¢ $65 +$13 06-20 05:28
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No -104 $-27 51¢ $-53 $-26 06-18 00:17
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No -64 $-48 76¢ $-49 $-1 07-02 09:44
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No -40 $-29 64¢ $-25 +$4 07-13 14:40
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +11 $9 97¢ $11 +$2 07-12 13:33
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes -7 $-39 98¢ $-7 +$32 07-13 15:52
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -6 $-3 64¢ $-4 $-0 06-05 07:38
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +78 $27 3¢ $3 $-24 07-10 05:09
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +1 $-12 97¢ $1 +$13 07-13 16:06
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No -0 $-5 98¢ $-0 +$5 07-13 21:01