Elderly-Cupola 0x0d5ee5…4d5c24
bot 6W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$45
Unrealized P&L
+$289
Hit rate
78.1%
Resolved
938
Trades
5,019
lifetime
Volume
$89.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$2.82K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 13:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 212 days
Categories
Other
44% 72% +$1,185
Politics
35% 68% -$538
Crypto
15% 59% -$787
Sports
3% 74% +$30
Tech
2% 78% +$68
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +1,309 $921 66¢ $864 -$57 10-20 05:13
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? Yes +689 $356 50¢ $348 -$8 10-28 13:10
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +225 $153 80¢ $179 +$26 10-27 09:41
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +225 $164 70¢ $156 -$8 10-14 06:09
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +199 $85 68¢ $134 +$49 06-09 01:03
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +183 $128 70¢ $127 $0 10-26 01:51
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +180 $127 69¢ $125 -$2 10-15 05:08
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 No +135 $91 82¢ $110 +$19 08-25 01:21
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +137 $104 74¢ $101 -$3 09-24 02:07
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes +135 $86 74¢ $101 +$14 08-21 20:50
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +106 $37 82¢ $87 +$50 08-23 14:34
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No -82 -$87 88¢ $-73 +$14 09-17 07:10
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +88 -$7 71¢ $62 +$69 08-13 10:18
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +90 $53 68¢ $61 +$8 09-30 22:00
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +90 $57 68¢ $61 +$4 10-11 17:49
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +90 $58 66¢ $60 +$2 10-19 18:16
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +100 $67 56¢ $56 -$11 08-15 12:41
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +36 $21 96¢ $35 +$14 08-11 06:56
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -44 -$22 66¢ $-29 -$7 08-17 01:27
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +27 $22 99¢ $27 +$4 10-23 08:46
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +10 $9 93¢ $9 +$0 08-11 02:10
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +4 $2 88¢ $4 +$2 06-05 07:38
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +3 -$17 90¢ $2 +$19 07-24 23:12
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -20 -$7 10¢ $-2 +$5 05-05 23:52
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 $0 04-28 12:13
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +1 -$5 62¢ $1 +$5 10-22 02:52
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1 $14 57¢ $1 -$14 06-04 01:14
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +0 -$7 87¢ $0 +$7 07-02 09:44
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +0 -$84 80¢ $0 +$85 09-22 10:21
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +1 -$3 28¢ $0 +$3 10-19 19:52