Elderly-Cupola — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.8%

Resolved

Trades

3,573

lifetime

Volume

$63.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 15:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

49% 100% +$13

Politics

26% 50% $-1

Crypto

21% — —

Sports

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 440 459	8	$1.8K	1,827	0	+1,827	open	—	01-05 14:22
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	29	$1.5K	800	815	-16	open	—	04-02 18:14
nothing ever happens january	2	$1.5K	1,512	0	+1,512	open	—	01-03 08:22
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	90	$1.3K	1,780	1,215	+565	open	—	03-31 18:35
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	30	$1.1K	644	804	-160	open	—	06-06 02:05
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	9	$810	411	411	+0	open	—	02-03 05:35
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	25	$777	530	355	+174	open	—	05-11 06:30
Iran leadership change by March 13?	10	$716	333	387	-54	open	—	03-14 11:27
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 500 519	3	$695	700	0	+700	open	—	01-06 13:35
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 460 479	1	$656	660	0	+660	open	—	01-08 15:50
will iran strike turkey in march	44	$653	396	377	+20	open	—	03-16 20:26
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	38	$645	440	498	-57	open	—	03-30 12:57
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	6	$644	329	328	+1	open	—	02-28 06:47
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	9	$635	460	440	+20	open	—	01-30 03:36
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	34	$607	529	315	+213	open	—	05-10 16:43
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?	1	$600	606	0	+606	open	—	01-13 04:44
will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	25	$597	360	404	-44	open	—	04-22 00:01
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	9	$576	630	0	+630	open	—	01-16 02:17
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?	1	$485	489	0	+489	open	—	01-06 03:24
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	14	$475	472	382	+90	open	—	06-21 08:57
will pheu thai party pt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	11	$457	232	232	+0	open	—	02-08 14:27
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 520 539	23	$444	272	368	-96	open	—	01-06 16:23
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	10	$420	224	221	+3	open	—	07-12 06:17
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	12	$417	234	228	+5	open	—	02-09 01:47
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	11	$407	344	254	+90	open	—	04-12 10:10
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	1	$391	400	0	+400	open	—	01-15 02:46
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	2	$385	212	212	+0	open	—	01-21 02:14
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 440 459	3	$377	390	0	+390	open	—	01-02 02:54
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	41	$376	313	290	+23	open	—	03-25 12:54
will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	10	$376	204	208	-5	open	—	03-26 09:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 06:56:13	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	36	77¢	$28	0xf7e593…
08-10 15:49:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	22	88¢	$20	0xb438b7…
08-10 05:49:03	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	31	85¢	$26	0x0b1282…
08-10 03:18:15	will russia target kyiv by august 14 2026 20260809090411471	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x7a64d7…
08-09 19:43:18	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x961e72…
08-09 18:32:30	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x2edcd7…
08-08 15:24:58	will casemiro attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630260	No	SELL	12	91¢	$11	0x9d412c…
08-08 11:47:13	will casemiro attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630260	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xae1feb…
08-08 09:37:03	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	BUY	38	37¢	$14	0x9cc4ed…
08-08 09:30:09	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x92093f…
08-08 07:46:06	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x16a9d6…
08-08 05:35:40	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	BUY	27	38¢	$10	0xe23cd8…
08-08 05:18:55	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x5d7397…
08-08 05:18:19	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xcc670b…
08-08 05:18:18	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x47b4f4…
08-07 12:53:42	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	45	65¢	$29	0x0be085…
08-06 20:36:38	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x47d09b…
08-06 20:17:18	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x226d8f…
08-06 20:17:14	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	Yes	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0x687583…
08-06 20:17:02	will sir alex ferguson attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630262	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xb6a9a9…
08-06 19:38:21	will casemiro attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630260	No	BUY	14	83¢	$11	0x3b3e2e…
08-06 15:43:11	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	22	68¢	$15	0xd46b41…
08-06 10:29:42	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	SELL	71	96¢	$68	0x903cd8…
08-06 03:52:27	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 5 20260730202035441	Yes	BUY	34	1¢	$0	0x85fe87…
08-06 03:40:44	will the white house call a full lid by 630 pm on august 5 20260730202035441	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0x23d0f0…
08-06 03:09:39	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	SELL	22	70¢	$16	0x35912c…
08-06 01:47:08	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	No	BUY	17	68¢	$11	0x2b0ce7…
08-05 17:51:17	nba lebron james and bronny james jrpt to play together in 2026 27 20260630182039143	No	SELL	90	93¢	$84	0xc2961e…
08-05 16:32:44	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x9dbf15…
08-05 16:00:44	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x026aba…
08-05 16:00:41	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x3f514d…
08-05 15:40:41	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x7e7922…
08-05 15:40:33	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x27a531…
08-05 14:59:03	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x262b5c…
08-05 03:28:02	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	224	48¢	$108	0xb32686…
08-04 23:41:53	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	36	66¢	$24	0x171b08…
08-04 13:44:21	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	45	60¢	$27	0x1b3c05…
08-04 02:00:44	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0xf30cda…
08-03 20:36:53	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x4fad6e…
08-03 19:10:36	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xe1321c…
08-03 18:34:42	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0x98a500…
08-03 18:34:42	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x207344…
08-03 17:37:59	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xce94ac…
08-02 21:03:21	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0x569aaf…
08-02 21:02:59	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x2cccf0…
08-02 08:50:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	22	70¢	$16	0xdd8499…
08-02 06:46:05	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x9d167b…
08-02 04:06:24	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	No	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0xe84edf…
08-02 04:06:18	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xeeebcd…
08-02 04:06:12	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0xfacd1f…
08-02 01:59:17	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x1f6801…
08-01 17:02:54	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	BUY	1	37¢	$1	0x170bd2…
08-01 16:52:12	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0xb6f47d…
08-01 16:36:56	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	SELL	119	53¢	$63	0x99ebf0…
08-01 16:34:11	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x50fde4…
08-01 12:56:53	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0x9268cc…
07-31 22:27:35	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0x44d708…
07-31 16:22:03	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	BUY	43	79¢	$34	0x574aa1…
07-31 16:21:59	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0x710d45…
07-31 16:21:59	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x41b3e6…
07-30 20:05:27	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x3b472f…
07-30 14:14:44	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	87	52¢	$45	0x8b3adb…
07-30 12:29:56	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	45	19¢	$9	0xf6c986…
07-30 11:32:24	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0xf45514…
07-30 11:30:12	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0xe2f5b9…
07-30 06:22:00	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	35	34¢	$12	0x790625…
07-30 06:07:08	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	43	25¢	$11	0xfe711b…
07-30 03:57:26	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x66179c…
07-30 03:57:26	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x5db1dc…
07-30 03:28:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	51	90¢	$46	0x5df5f1…
07-30 03:10:30	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0xbc163c…
07-30 03:06:38	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$8	0x2f26c4…
07-30 03:06:30	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x444107…
07-30 00:36:03	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x86ed1f…
07-30 00:33:17	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x6fa467…
07-30 00:22:20	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x61317b…
07-29 23:18:44	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x876b85…
07-29 23:18:30	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xf82cad…
07-29 23:13:33	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x59153e…
07-29 22:37:53	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0x59411f…
07-29 22:37:20	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x8e94b4…
07-29 18:00:18	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	86	68¢	$58	0xf0288a…
07-29 18:00:17	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	49	68¢	$33	0xbe42b4…
07-29 14:42:02	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xddb3c8…
07-29 14:38:57	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	31	51¢	$16	0x818aa3…
07-29 14:37:36	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xbcf544…
07-28 17:41:11	AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?	No	BUY	49	37¢	$18	0xc5b346…
07-27 12:52:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	51	88¢	$45	0x54b5b1…
07-27 10:48:07	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xf5155f…
07-27 10:44:01	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xd51bc4…
07-27 08:38:07	Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xb33909…
07-27 00:04:46	will warsh say task force 20 times during july press conference 20260720204109030	No	BUY	14	70¢	$9	0xe98df5…
07-25 14:45:24	will warsh say good day during july press conference 20260720204109031	No	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x66b9d3…
07-25 14:38:33	will warsh say good day during july press conference 20260720204109031	No	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x87332e…
07-25 14:33:49	will warsh say good day during july press conference 20260720204109031	No	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x01745c…
07-25 14:31:18	will warsh say good day during july press conference 20260720204109031	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3471ae…
07-25 14:28:46	will warsh say good day during july press conference 20260720204109031	No	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x81d568…
07-25 14:15:40	will warsh say good day during july press conference 20260720204109031	No	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x59725b…
07-25 13:24:39	nba lebron james and bronny james jrpt to play together in 2026 27 20260630182039143	No	BUY	90	82¢	$74	0x86bdac…
07-25 07:41:13	over 35m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	SELL	90	62¢	$56	0x4c5b75…