Realized P&L
+$12
Unrealized P&L
+$38
Hit rate
98.8%
Resolved
5
Trades
3,244
lifetime
Volume
$58.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$751
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-29 17:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
47% 100% +$13
Politics
27% 50% $-1
Crypto
23%
Sports
2%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 367 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? Yes +135 $117 96¢ $129 +$12 06-27 15:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +137 $116 82¢ $113 $-4 06-28 15:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +100 $82 100¢ $100 +$18 06-17 12:29
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +118 $81 75¢ $88 +$7 06-28 16:24
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +88 $52 65¢ $57 +$5 06-20 05:28
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +100 $52 48¢ $48 $-4 06-12 06:42
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No +49 $44 92¢ $46 +$2 06-28 12:20
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +96 $45 45¢ $44 $-1 06-29 12:50
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? Yes +127 $25 32¢ $41 +$16 06-17 12:20
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No -104 $-27 32¢ $-33 $-6 06-18 00:17
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +86 $40 30¢ $25 $-14 06-29 02:21
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +22 $14 99¢ $22 +$8 06-24 17:32
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -6 $-3 60¢ $-3 +$0 06-05 07:38
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +3 $2 66¢ $2 +$0 06-14 03:42