Frivolous-Afternoon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.6%

Resolved

Trades

148

lifetime

Volume

$7.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 05-17 16:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 50% $-0

Other

14% — —

Politics

4% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will solana reach 150 january 5 11	2	$271	273	+273	open	—	01-12 00:24
bitcoin above 90k on january 10	3	$269	272	+272	open	—	01-10 14:12
bitcoin above 92k on january 3	2	$267	269	+269	open	—	01-03 12:27
will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 4	1	$267	269	+269	open	—	01-04 10:05
will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 8	2	$266	268	+268	open	—	01-08 14:34
will the price of ethereum be between 2900 3000 on january 11	2	$266	269	+269	open	—	01-11 05:55
bitcoin above 100k on january 14	1	$265	266	+266	open	—	01-14 10:16
bitcoin above 96k on january 5	2	$265	268	+268	open	—	01-05 09:20
solana above 130 on january 12	1	$261	262	+262	open	—	01-12 15:14
bitcoin above 94k on january 18	2	$234	236	+236	open	—	01-18 14:47
solana above 130 on january 23	1	$232	236	+236	open	—	01-23 15:46
will the price of bitcoin be between 92000 94000 on january 24	1	$223	228	+228	open	—	01-23 22:51
cbb pepp gnzg 2026 01 20	2	$223	226	+226	open	—	01-19 19:37
ethereum above 3400 on january 17	2	$214	217	+217	open	—	01-16 18:35
ethereum above 2800 on january 27	2	$214	218	+218	open	—	01-27 13:54
xrp up or down on january 26	2	$213	216	+216	open	—	01-26 16:06
ethereum up or down january 27 6pm et	2	$209	215	+215	open	—	01-27 23:53
will the price of ethereum be between 3100 3200 on january 29	2	$196	198	+198	open	—	01-29 05:44
ethereum up or down on january 31	2	$180	183	+183	open	—	01-31 13:14
solana above 120 on january 30	2	$180	184	+184	open	—	01-30 07:09
ethereum above 3100 on january 21	2	$145	147	+147	open	—	01-21 15:18
will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 22	2	$142	145	+145	open	—	01-21 21:50
ethereum above 3100 on january 24	1	$137	140	+140	open	—	01-23 19:06
solana above 80 on march 12	1	$136	139	+139	open	—	03-12 01:49
will the price of xrp be between 1pt50 1pt60 on march 11	1	$134	138	+138	open	—	03-10 18:52
will xrp dip to 1pt8 january 19 25	2	$130	134	+134	open	—	01-25 12:43
will nflx reach 100 by march 30 2026	1	$129	131	+131	open	—	04-02 20:45
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 27?	1	$119	122	+122	open	—	04-27 01:56
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 18?	1	$114	117	+117	open	—	05-17 16:29
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 9?	2	$107	109	+109	No	+$3	05-08 18:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 16:29:38	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 18?	No	BUY	117	98¢	$114	0xb25d11…
05-10 13:21:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	203	1¢	$3	0x51f204…
05-08 18:13:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 9?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xf80c42…
05-08 18:07:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 9?	No	BUY	109	98¢	$107	0x737c7b…
04-27 01:56:58	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 27?	No	BUY	122	97¢	$119	0x327611…
04-22 08:48:06	Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,672	0¢	$7	0xebc40a…
04-22 08:47:00	Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	8,357	0¢	$8	0x955345…
04-22 08:45:48	Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	15,029	0¢	$15	0xa7da2a…
04-14 06:38:27	Will the Communist Party of India (CPI) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	15,600	0¢	$16	0x7b1235…
04-14 06:37:27	Will the Communist Party of India (CPI) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	15,600	0¢	$16	0xbe5bba…
04-13 09:06:57	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,877	0¢	$6	0x950ad5…
04-13 09:05:59	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,877	0¢	$6	0xa2b188…
04-12 16:15:11	Military action against Iran ends on April 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23,198	0¢	$23	0x8f2030…
04-12 16:13:51	Military action against Iran ends on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23,198	0¢	$23	0x211166…
04-11 08:33:05	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 60 79	Yes	SELL	5,171	0¢	$5	0x755778…
04-11 08:31:57	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 60 79	Yes	BUY	5,444	0¢	$5	0xf35ff1…
04-09 08:56:13	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,685	0¢	$7	0x9c2076…
04-09 08:55:05	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,685	0¢	$7	0xc2c19f…
04-06 14:20:39	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 6	Yes	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0xea2ff6…
04-06 11:56:25	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 6	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$1	0x9f89f0…
04-06 09:01:27	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	8,058	0¢	$8	0x5a1803…
04-06 09:00:49	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,280	0¢	$6	0xf89340…
04-06 08:59:59	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	14,338	0¢	$14	0x8cbaa1…
04-06 06:40:17	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 6	Yes	BUY	61	4¢	$3	0x387b2a…
04-06 04:55:57	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 6	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xb65ab2…
04-06 04:48:11	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 6	No	BUY	105	98¢	$103	0xd9756e…
04-05 21:10:53	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 6	Yes	BUY	26	12¢	$3	0x00dd5c…
04-05 17:25:43	bitcoin above 64k on april 6	No	BUY	82	2¢	$2	0x50a3e4…
04-03 11:55:45	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 3	No	BUY	32	7¢	$2	0xa700de…
04-02 20:45:39	will nflx reach 100 by march 30 2026	No	BUY	131	98¢	$129	0x9d3cf5…
03-30 16:18:55	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 20 39	Yes	SELL	28,579	0¢	$29	0x8b5f41…
03-30 16:17:51	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 20 39	Yes	BUY	28,580	0¢	$29	0xa10870…
03-29 16:07:26	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 100 119	Yes	SELL	6,518	0¢	$7	0x520e1c…
03-29 16:06:22	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 100 119	Yes	BUY	6,519	0¢	$7	0xa66b71…
03-28 12:59:15	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 40 59	Yes	SELL	27,591	0¢	$28	0xaaf91e…
03-28 12:58:03	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 40 59	Yes	BUY	27,591	0¢	$28	0x757f7b…
03-26 14:09:59	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	Yes	SELL	30,994	0¢	$31	0x3a1d42…
03-26 14:09:27	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x9715dd…
03-26 14:08:47	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	Yes	BUY	32,994	0¢	$33	0x04a408…
03-25 22:53:31	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 20 39	Yes	SELL	32,057	0¢	$32	0x95a9a0…
03-25 22:52:43	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 20 39	Yes	SELL	2,330	0¢	$2	0x88ae6f…
03-25 22:52:13	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 20 39	Yes	BUY	34,387	0¢	$34	0x406f39…
03-16 15:20:51	will siena win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	SELL	16,022	0¢	$16	0xadec37…
03-16 15:19:47	will siena win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	16,022	0¢	$16	0xc53544…
03-16 13:39:37	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on march 16	Yes	BUY	104	2¢	$2	0xc59666…
03-15 14:14:27	will the left levica win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	14,503	0¢	$15	0x73856f…
03-15 14:13:15	will the left levica win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	14,503	0¢	$15	0x5e25ff…
03-13 11:35:15	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 20 39	Yes	SELL	39,621	0¢	$40	0x70872e…
03-13 11:34:41	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 20 39	Yes	SELL	3,180	0¢	$3	0x9f68c7…
03-13 11:34:09	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 20 39	Yes	BUY	42,801	0¢	$43	0x55cef4…
03-12 01:49:21	solana above 80 on march 12	Yes	BUY	139	98¢	$136	0x70204d…
03-11 15:08:03	elon musk of tweets march 2026 480 499	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb356c3…
03-11 13:28:09	elon musk of tweets march 2026 480 499	Yes	SELL	5,990	0¢	$6	0x56b279…
03-11 13:27:33	elon musk of tweets march 2026 480 499	Yes	BUY	10,434	0¢	$10	0xceb9d2…
03-10 18:52:07	will the price of xrp be between 1pt50 1pt60 on march 11	No	BUY	138	98¢	$134	0xd6bd0a…
03-10 13:38:39	atp baena vasa 2026 03 10 set totals 2pt5	Under 2.5	SELL	17,688	0¢	$18	0xa31e04…
03-10 13:37:23	atp baena vasa 2026 03 10 set totals 2pt5	Under 2.5	BUY	17,688	0¢	$18	0x6735cd…
03-08 13:28:05	will thierry mariani win the paris mayor election	Yes	SELL	42,681	0¢	$43	0xa79c4a…
03-08 13:27:03	will thierry mariani win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	42,681	0¢	$43	0xa38676…
03-08 12:01:55	will david belliard win the paris mayor election	Yes	SELL	21,060	0¢	$21	0xa5ebb8…
03-08 00:37:29	will david belliard win the paris mayor election	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x3283e1…
03-07 22:27:39	will david belliard win the paris mayor election	Yes	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0xc6fd68…
03-07 22:25:57	will david belliard win the paris mayor election	Yes	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0xe4ff19…
03-07 22:11:59	will david belliard win the paris mayor election	Yes	SELL	718	0¢	$1	0x468665…
03-07 19:20:25	will david belliard win the paris mayor election	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x145a27…
03-07 18:58:43	will david belliard win the paris mayor election	Yes	SELL	120	0¢	$0	0xa91d39…
03-07 15:08:59	will david belliard win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	41,933	0¢	$42	0x6ff044…
03-06 21:01:55	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 20 39	Yes	SELL	8,939	0¢	$9	0xd7018c…
03-06 21:01:17	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 20 39	Yes	SELL	3,180	0¢	$3	0x93ee59…
03-06 21:00:43	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 20 39	Yes	BUY	12,119	0¢	$12	0xa7edb5…
03-05 16:37:19	will usd fall to 1pt6m iranian rials by march 31 746	No	SELL	10,405	0¢	$10	0x3d5f20…
03-05 16:30:15	will usd fall to 1pt6m iranian rials by march 31 746	No	BUY	10,405	0¢	$10	0x54a5be…
03-04 12:24:27	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 20 39	Yes	SELL	44,201	0¢	$44	0x8980ab…
03-04 12:23:21	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 20 39	Yes	BUY	44,201	0¢	$44	0xd1c5b5…
03-03 16:48:37	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 0 19	Yes	SELL	12,873	0¢	$13	0xdaf2c6…
03-03 16:48:05	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 0 19	Yes	SELL	3,100	0¢	$3	0x1df3a9…
03-03 16:47:33	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 0 19	Yes	BUY	15,973	0¢	$16	0xc0cbaf…
02-27 00:18:20	Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	41,059	0¢	$41	0x1a359a…
02-27 00:17:18	Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	41,059	0¢	$41	0x41ef4f…
01-31 13:14:34	ethereum up or down on january 31	Down	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xcefeee…
01-31 13:06:54	ethereum up or down on january 31	Down	BUY	183	99¢	$180	0xa618bc…
01-31 11:42:42	ethereum above 2800 on january 31	Yes	BUY	140	1¢	$2	0x99006c…
01-31 05:05:34	will solana dip to 100 in january 2026	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x61f4e2…
01-31 03:22:22	bitcoin above 82k on january 31	No	BUY	115	3¢	$4	0x85697b…
01-30 22:40:20	bitcoin above 86k on january 31	Yes	BUY	74	4¢	$3	0x148946…
01-30 07:09:50	solana above 120 on january 30	No	BUY	183	98¢	$179	0xce5de2…
01-30 07:09:50	solana above 120 on january 30	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x5b4cb2…
01-30 04:43:58	ethereum up or down january 29 11pm et	Down	BUY	101	2¢	$3	0x9082df…
01-29 05:55:30	cbb gardwb ncashe 2026 01 29	UNC Asheville Bulldogs	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0x8871f9…
01-29 05:44:00	will the price of ethereum be between 3100 3200 on january 29	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x671575…
01-29 05:39:38	will the price of ethereum be between 3100 3200 on january 29	No	BUY	198	99¢	$196	0x17e4e0…
01-28 00:46:15	cbb iupui robms 2026 01 28	Robert Morris Colonials	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x0bd209…
01-28 00:46:13	cbb iupui robms 2026 01 28	Robert Morris Colonials	BUY	17	86¢	$14	0x802d67…
01-27 23:53:25	ethereum up or down january 27 6pm et	Up	BUY	209	97¢	$203	0xfc482f…
01-27 23:53:25	ethereum up or down january 27 6pm et	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x042483…
01-27 13:54:35	ethereum above 2800 on january 27	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x492ca9…
01-27 11:18:49	solana above 120 on january 27	No	BUY	78	2¢	$2	0x1c55dc…
01-27 10:22:03	ethereum above 2800 on january 27	Yes	BUY	217	98¢	$213	0xb172fd…
01-26 21:38:51	cbb msvlst south 2026 01 26	Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils	BUY	44	8¢	$4	0xc706d8…
01-26 16:06:41	xrp up or down on january 26	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdc4a51…