Realized P&L
-$178
Unrealized P&L
+$3.01K
Hit rate
45.6%
Resolved
71
Trades
11,549
lifetime
Volume
$71.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$20.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-30
last 10-28 10:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Sports
50% 21% +$8
Other
44% 23% -$144
Politics
6% 24% -$41
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 712 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +2,822 $1,745 100¢ $2.8K +$1,067 07-29 12:40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +2,257 $1,456 95¢ $2.1K +$688 10-16 07:48
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,097 $1,370 95¢ $2.0K +$621 10-16 07:57
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +1,889 $1,660 100¢ $1.9K +$227 08-24 17:44
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +1,566 $1,402 100¢ $1.6K +$156 07-26 09:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,629 $1,365 82¢ $1.3K -$38 10-16 03:02
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +871 $847 100¢ $870 +$23 10-16 14:51
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +780 $686 100¢ $777 +$91 10-16 03:35
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +676 $644 99¢ $673 +$28 10-15 12:15
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +499 $478 97¢ $485 +$7 10-14 12:28
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +477 $458 96¢ $457 $0 10-16 00:21
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +511 $477 86¢ $438 -$38 10-15 04:10
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +438 $421 100¢ $437 +$16 10-14 12:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +516 $356 80¢ $415 +$59 10-15 15:11
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +401 $393 98¢ $392 -$1 10-16 03:33
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +400 $370 95¢ $380 +$9 10-13 16:31
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +411 $383 90¢ $370 -$13 10-16 01:35
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +386 $370 95¢ $368 -$2 10-11 19:26
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +330 $318 100¢ $329 +$11 10-11 23:28
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +341 $328 96¢ $328 +$0 10-14 05:48
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +426 $272 76¢ $326 +$53 10-16 13:18
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +311 $303 98¢ $305 +$2 10-15 17:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1,620 $260 18¢ $300 +$40 10-16 09:48
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +277 $239 92¢ $256 +$17 10-13 16:45
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +253 $248 96¢ $242 -$6 10-16 06:39
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +200 $193 97¢ $193 $0 10-15 19:24
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +193 $173 88¢ $171 -$2 10-15 19:19
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +179 $166 92¢ $166 $0 09-24 14:04
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +161 $160 100¢ $160 +$1 10-16 05:43
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +161 $160 99¢ $159 $0 10-15 01:38