Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$424

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

87.5%

Resolved

434

Trades

483

lifetime

Volume

$13.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$34

1 position

First seen

2026-03-03

last 09-01 15:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

72% 82% -$239

Politics

16% 67% -$281

Crypto

9% 93% +$65

Sports

2% 85% +$16

Tech

1% 100% +$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		-100	-$29	34¢	$-34	-$5	09-01 15:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$295	308	0	+308	No	+$13	03-17 12:51
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	2	$162	200	0	+200	No	+$38	06-02 23:19
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$136	300	100	+200	No	-$70	03-19 15:56
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$100	112	0	+112	No	+$12	03-16 14:08
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$100	106	0	+106	Yes	+$6	03-10 17:12
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$100	104	0	+104	No	+$4	03-11 17:00
will ethereum dip to 2000 on march 16	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-16 09:14
bitcoin above 68k on march 14	1	$99	100	0	+100	Yes	+$1	03-14 10:26
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$99	100	0	+100	Yes	+$1	03-11 17:03
trump out as president by march 31	1	$99	100	0	+100	No	+$1	03-16 15:09
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$99	100	0	+100	No	+$1	03-22 05:47
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$98	100	0	+100	No	+$2	03-14 10:28
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$97	0	138	-138	Yes	-$41	09-01 15:19
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$96	100	0	+100	No	+$4	03-17 12:53
will darren bailey win the 2026 illinois governor republican primary election	2	$90	93	0	+93	Yes	+$3	03-16 09:17
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	1	$60	100	0	+100	Yes	-$60	06-09 15:19
will undertone opening weekend box office be between 9m and 10m	1	$53	70	0	+70	Yes	+$18	03-16 04:04
will love is blind the reunion be the top us netflix show this week	1	$53	55	0	+55	Yes	+$3	03-16 04:04
will the reserve bank of australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	1	$53	62	0	+62	No	+$9	03-16 04:04
dltr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 16 2026 2pt53	1	$53	55	0	+55	Yes	+$2	03-16 04:04
will nobody 2 be the 2 us netflix movie this week	1	$53	58	0	+58	No	+$6	03-16 04:04
will hoppers 2nd weekend box office be between 26m and 29m	1	$53	56	0	+56	Yes	+$4	03-16 04:04
will the total number of tsa passengers for march 17 be less than 2600000	1	$50	51	0	+51	Yes	+$1	03-16 15:13
will kina collins be the democratic nominee for il 07 746	1	$50	51	0	+51	No	+$1	03-16 15:13
will powell say not our job during march press conference	1	$50	57	0	+57	No	+$7	03-16 09:07
will powell say crypto or bitcoin during march press conference 431 787	1	$50	56	0	+56	No	+$6	03-16 09:06
highest temperature in toronto on march 16 2026 10c	1	$50	54	0	+54	No	+$4	03-16 04:15
highest temperature in london on march 16 2026 11c	1	$50	58	0	+58	No	+$8	03-16 04:15
highest temperature in nyc on march 16 2026 54 55f	1	$50	56	0	+56	Yes	-$50	03-16 04:15
highest temperature in paris on march 16 2026 14c	1	$50	53	0	+53	No	+$3	03-16 04:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-01 15:21:43	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	100	29¢	$29	0x03bfc9…
09-01 15:19:24	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	138	70¢	$97	0x916847…
06-09 15:19:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x5330cd…
06-02 23:19:18	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	81	81¢	$66	0x73fa6d…
06-02 11:46:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	119	81¢	$96	0xd96633…
06-02 09:22:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x97948e…
04-22 08:34:50	highest temperature in karachi on april 23 2026 30c	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xe7d97a…
04-22 07:52:02	highest temperature in hong kong on april 22 2026 28c	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xbe7574…
04-22 07:51:46	highest temperature in hong kong on april 22 2026 30c	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x362c3d…
04-22 07:51:24	highest temperature in hong kong on april 22 2026 31corhigher	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x5915fa…
04-16 12:50:30	highest temperature in istanbul on april 16 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	46	0¢	$0	0x69fe09…
04-16 12:48:14	highest temperature in istanbul on april 16 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	46	0¢	$0	0xc891d7…
04-16 10:21:22	highest temperature in istanbul on april 16 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x85ba8b…
04-16 10:21:22	highest temperature in istanbul on april 16 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	43	0¢	$0	0x19c4e0…
04-16 06:24:02	highest temperature in istanbul on april 16 2026 10corbelow	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0xc5b2bf…
04-16 06:24:02	highest temperature in istanbul on april 16 2026 10corbelow	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x37adb2…
04-15 18:12:30	will bitcoin reach 82k on april 15	Yes	BUY	374	0¢	$0	0x186c6b…
04-15 17:41:58	will bitcoin reach 82k on april 15	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x3190db…
04-15 17:40:46	highest temperature in mexico city on april 16 2026 22corbelow	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xae2080…
04-15 15:31:00	will bitcoin reach 82k on april 15	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xe759a0…
04-15 15:15:46	highest temperature in mexico city on april 16 2026 22corbelow	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x785ad4…
04-15 15:14:48	highest temperature in mexico city on april 16 2026 22corbelow	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x549dfc…
04-15 15:14:42	highest temperature in mexico city on april 16 2026 22corbelow	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x56d499…
04-15 15:14:42	highest temperature in mexico city on april 16 2026 22corbelow	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x4bf54f…
04-15 15:08:18	will bitcoin reach 82k on april 15	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x17fe78…
04-14 16:28:20	highest temperature in london on april 15 2026 9corbelow	Yes	BUY	4,266	0¢	$4	0x572f62…
04-14 16:27:05	highest temperature in london on april 15 2026 9corbelow	Yes	BUY	7,346	0¢	$7	0x310c4b…
03-26 10:13:23	will trump say biden or obama 10 times during cabinet meeting on march 26	No	BUY	0	74¢	$0	0x906720…
03-26 09:48:47	will trump say biden or obama 10 times during cabinet meeting on march 26	No	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0xd25ee0…
03-26 09:47:25	will trump say biden or obama 10 times during cabinet meeting on march 26	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xf1709f…
03-26 09:24:37	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during cabinet meeting on march 26	No	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0xfd3935…
03-26 09:23:29	will trump say epstein during cabinet meeting on march 26	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xbee5d6…
03-26 09:23:11	will trump say newscum or massie during cabinet meeting on march 26	No	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0x989cf6…
03-26 09:22:57	will trump say hell 6 times during cabinet meeting on march 26	No	BUY	14	75¢	$10	0x64d805…
03-26 09:22:55	will trump say biden or obama 10 times during cabinet meeting on march 26	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x59d112…
03-26 09:22:47	will trump say biden or obama 10 times during cabinet meeting on march 26	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xb58490…
03-26 09:22:29	will trump say million or billion or trillion 30 times during cabinet meeting on march 26	No	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0xbdbe6a…
03-26 04:34:07	will trump say hottest during national agriculture day events	No	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x21b4fb…
03-26 04:33:53	will trump say womens sports during national agriculture day events	No	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x877125…
03-26 04:33:37	will trump say illegal alien during national agriculture day events	No	BUY	33	79¢	$26	0x7f580e…
03-26 04:33:23	will trump say china 5 times during national agriculture day events	No	BUY	33	47¢	$15	0xd589ce…
03-26 04:33:09	will trump say farm or farmer 15 times during national agriculture day events	No	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xfc2351…
03-26 04:32:59	will trump say price 15 times during national agriculture day events	No	BUY	41	58¢	$24	0x207591…
03-26 04:32:45	will trump say tariff or tax 20 times during national agriculture day events	No	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x1a5531…
03-26 04:32:21	will trump say embargo this week march 29	No	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x00740c…
03-26 04:32:15	will trump say finish the job this week march 29	No	BUY	13	67¢	$8	0x6f94aa…
03-26 04:31:51	will trump say eat our lunch this week march 29	No	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0xaa1622…
03-26 04:31:43	will trump say death tax this week march 29	No	BUY	104	19¢	$20	0x4edb6b…
03-26 04:31:37	will trump say gay this week march 29	No	BUY	19	87¢	$17	0xd756a3…
03-26 04:31:25	will trump say kaitlan collins this week march 29	No	BUY	25	86¢	$22	0xdc9720…
03-26 04:31:11	will trump say democrat shutdown this week march 29	No	BUY	24	57¢	$14	0xfd868f…
03-26 04:31:05	will trump say paid a big price or paying a big price this week march 29	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xb5249c…
03-26 04:30:49	will trump say dark cloud this week march 29	No	BUY	26	72¢	$19	0xf849e9…
03-26 04:30:43	will trump say boeing this week march 29	No	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xed49ab…
03-26 04:30:35	will trump say tiger this week march 29	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x9f6311…
03-26 04:30:29	will trump say ass or shit this week march 29	No	BUY	26	61¢	$16	0x47a6b0…
03-26 04:30:21	will trump say minnesota or minneapolis this week march 29	No	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xd4ed42…
03-26 04:28:01	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during national agriculture day events	No	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0x3d2fc5…
03-26 04:27:59	will trump say epic fury during national agriculture day events	No	BUY	25	78¢	$19	0xd250f0…
03-26 04:27:59	will trump say mit or massachusetts institute of technology during national agriculture day events	No	BUY	46	71¢	$33	0xc5b652…
03-26 04:27:57	will iran be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 389	Yes	BUY	35	94¢	$33	0xbdb703…
03-26 04:27:55	will arirang bts debut week album sales be less than 800k	Yes	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x5e0ff6…
03-24 23:17:59	highest temperature in paris on march 25 2026 13c	No	SELL	45	4¢	$2	0xcc8b1f…
03-24 16:15:25	payx quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 25 2026 1pt67	Yes	BUY	51	86¢	$44	0x329838…
03-24 16:15:23	highest temperature in wellington on march 25 2026 21c	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0x9c1322…
03-24 16:15:23	chwy quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 25 2026 0pt28	Yes	BUY	46	94¢	$44	0x62c13f…
03-24 16:15:23	highest temperature in tel aviv on march 25 2026 14corbelow	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x396e43…
03-24 16:15:23	ctas quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 25 2026 1pt23	Yes	BUY	45	96¢	$44	0x16a372…
03-24 16:15:21	highest temperature in munich on march 25 2026 11c	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0xdf77ee…
03-24 16:15:21	highest temperature in ankara on march 25 2026 14c	No	BUY	44	98¢	$44	0xb2c481…
03-24 16:15:19	highest temperature in chicago on march 25 2026 50 51f	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x4b5a19…
03-24 16:15:19	highest temperature in ankara on march 25 2026 9c	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x0f5fe6…
03-24 16:15:17	highest temperature in dallas on march 25 2026 92 93f	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0xe7dca9…
03-24 16:15:17	highest temperature in dallas on march 25 2026 82 83f	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x9dbee8…
03-24 16:15:17	highest temperature in nyc on march 25 2026 58 59f	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x24b6a5…
03-24 16:15:17	highest temperature in nyc on march 25 2026 44 45f	No	BUY	44	98¢	$44	0x0739dd…
03-24 16:15:15	highest temperature in seattle on march 25 2026 54 55f	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0xf12c58…
03-24 16:15:15	highest temperature in seattle on march 25 2026 44 45f	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x67bca6…
03-24 16:15:15	highest temperature in toronto on march 25 2026 8c	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x036af5…
03-24 16:15:13	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 25 2026 29c	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0xf9ee79…
03-24 16:15:13	highest temperature in paris on march 25 2026 13c	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0x98ee0c…
03-24 16:15:13	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 25 2026 26c	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x6767a8…
03-24 16:15:13	highest temperature in toronto on march 25 2026 3c	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x318de0…
03-24 16:15:13	highest temperature in london on march 25 2026 11c	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x305cb3…
03-24 16:15:11	will starmer say epstein during the next prime ministers questions event	No	BUY	49	88¢	$44	0x63e3be…
03-24 16:15:09	will starmer say abuse during the next prime ministers questions event	No	BUY	48	90¢	$44	0x73d90e…
03-23 09:00:53	will steel ball run jojos bizarre adventure be the top global netflix show this week	No	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0xe9558f…
03-23 09:00:53	will unicorn academy secrets revealed be the 2 global netflix show this week	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xcd688b…
03-23 09:00:51	will liberal alliance win 25 29 seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	No	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0xef2cee…
03-23 09:00:51	will a party other than the social democrats have the popular vote margin of victory in the 2026 denmark parliamentary election	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x6b9f0f…
03-23 09:00:49	will the social democrats win 45 49 seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x6cfe82…
03-23 09:00:49	will green left win 35 seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	No	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0x3b7558…
03-23 09:00:45	will turnout in the 2026 danish general elections be 90 or higher	No	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0xf071d9…
03-23 09:00:45	will social democrats win the third most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	No	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0x620b13…
03-23 09:00:45	will turnout in the 2026 danish general elections be below 80	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x3eef24…
03-23 09:00:43	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 23	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x493139…
03-23 09:00:43	will venstre win the second most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x055528…
03-23 09:00:41	ethereum above 2200 on march 23	No	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0x004e89…
03-22 06:06:09	highest temperature in london on march 22 2026 11c	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x6b8cb0…
03-22 05:56:11	will trump say chuck norris this week march 29	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x53938b…