Jovial-Sprat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$449

Unrealized P&L

+$14

Hit rate

53.6%

Resolved

123

Trades

3,987

lifetime

Volume

$22.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$148

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 07-14 20:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 45% +$449

Politics

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		+289	$50	30¢	$85	+$35	07-12 15:46
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes		-278	$-42	22¢	$-62	$-21	07-12 19:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	6	$172	228	114	+114	open	—	05-14 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	3	$162	209	115	+94	open	—	05-18 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	4	$141	128	128	+0	open	—	05-18 14:37
eth updown 15m 1776348000	5	$137	317	0	+317	open	—	04-16 14:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	10	$136	148	124	+24	open	—	05-17 23:48
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	6	$131	251	0	+251	open	—	04-29 18:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	4	$130	189	85	+104	Down	$-3	05-11 14:37
eth updown 15m 1776636900	5	$112	238	0	+238	open	—	04-19 22:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	3	$107	211	86	+125	open	—	05-01 12:37
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	3	$107	253	0	+253	open	—	05-01 03:20
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	4	$105	227	0	+227	open	—	04-27 05:35
btc updown 5m 1774648200	18	$104	8,912	0	+8,912	open	—	03-27 21:56
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	8	$103	267	0	+267	open	—	04-30 09:32
btc updown 4h 1774267200	8	$90	842	0	+842	open	—	03-23 14:10
doge updown 15m 1774647000	10	$90	8,978	0	+8,978	open	—	03-27 21:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	4	$87	166	28	+138	Down	+$48	05-10 20:45
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	4	$85	199	0	+199	open	—	04-29 13:35
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 3pm et	62	$84	556	0	+556	open	—	03-25 19:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	4	$82	119	37	+82	Down	+$5	05-12 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	6	$81	197	0	+197	open	—	04-26 23:31
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	5	$80	182	0	+182	open	—	04-29 18:01
eth updown 15m 1776864600	3	$79	154	0	+154	open	—	04-22 13:38
eth updown 15m 1776903300	3	$79	143	0	+143	open	—	04-23 00:19
eth updown 5m 1776711300	8	$78	148	0	+148	open	—	04-20 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	7	$78	185	0	+185	Up	+$47	05-05 03:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	4	$77	117	49	+68	open	—	05-18 00:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	9	$76	175	0	+175	open	—	05-04 13:53
eth updown 15m 1776696300	2	$75	176	0	+176	open	—	04-20 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	3	$74	200	0	+200	open	—	04-30 14:37
btc updown 15m 1777045500	2	$74	162	0	+162	open	—	04-24 15:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 20:17:56	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 extra time	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x92c00d…
07-12 19:41:19	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	278	15¢	$42	0x39d4bd…
07-12 15:49:35	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x836b86…
07-12 15:46:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	289	17¢	$50	0xc9e91d…
05-27 12:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x2aee44…
05-27 12:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x69fa60…
05-27 12:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xaf547b…
05-27 11:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xb81bc6…
05-26 14:19:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	56	44¢	$25	0x13b922…
05-26 13:32:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	137	42¢	$58	0x3df53a…
05-26 10:32:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	81	49¢	$40	0x4919fa…
05-26 02:47:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x394119…
05-26 00:55:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	62¢	$13	0xda8dc4…
05-25 17:00:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	56	60¢	$34	0x6485a9…
05-25 17:00:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	63¢	$11	0x4e6cc1…
05-25 17:00:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x239998…
05-25 16:51:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	68	41¢	$28	0xd028dd…
05-25 14:07:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0x789c44…
05-25 09:35:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	128	45¢	$58	0x6a430d…
05-24 22:12:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xa80c90…
05-24 22:12:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x43fa93…
05-24 22:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	71	53¢	$38	0x2f6f9c…
05-24 21:49:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	55	59¢	$32	0x448255…
05-24 21:42:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x12b948…
05-24 16:06:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	61	58¢	$35	0x2cc40c…
05-24 14:27:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x6c7554…
05-24 14:27:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x1dae7b…
05-23 21:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	122	49¢	$60	0xaa94c3…
05-23 20:50:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	43	50¢	$21	0x25b830…
05-23 19:21:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	53	53¢	$28	0xe16654…
05-23 18:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	40¢	$10	0xe11872…
05-23 18:30:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	140	41¢	$57	0x9aa152…
05-23 09:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x0134ee…
05-23 09:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x0555b9…
05-23 08:08:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	58¢	$14	0x24811f…
05-23 08:01:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x376e67…
05-23 08:01:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xbad7f8…
05-23 08:01:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x035d70…
05-23 07:55:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	128	45¢	$58	0x00beb6…
05-23 00:03:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	42¢	$11	0xc02277…
05-22 19:46:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	61	55¢	$33	0x618f4a…
05-22 19:46:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	115	50¢	$58	0x430f59…
05-22 17:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x3728b2…
05-22 13:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x086764…
05-21 18:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	27	41¢	$11	0xb947c6…
05-21 17:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	44¢	$3	0x51123b…
05-21 17:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0x1b0b28…
05-21 17:34:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	33	42¢	$14	0xc9ee5d…
05-21 17:34:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	42	58¢	$24	0x0840a9…
05-21 17:33:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$3	0xd364b2…
05-21 17:33:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	36	59¢	$22	0xed6254…
05-21 17:23:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	58¢	$1	0x174cce…
05-21 17:23:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xd16fdd…
05-21 17:23:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x5b461e…
05-21 17:23:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xe9a963…
05-21 17:23:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x11ae63…
05-21 14:22:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xbe582f…
05-21 14:22:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	46¢	$1	0x31f691…
05-21 14:22:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0xe71e42…
05-21 14:15:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	84	43¢	$36	0x8d1e42…
05-21 13:56:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc7640f…
05-21 13:56:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0xab370b…
05-21 13:56:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	45¢	$13	0xf16030…
05-21 13:56:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd950a7…
05-21 13:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	144	37¢	$53	0xb9951b…
05-21 10:32:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	97	39¢	$38	0x175bae…
05-20 17:37:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	54¢	$13	0x72813f…
05-20 17:37:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa64882…
05-20 14:46:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	85	41¢	$35	0xe1e1d8…
05-20 13:41:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xc7e9d0…
05-20 13:41:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	59¢	$8	0x3a8e1f…
05-20 05:30:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	122	47¢	$57	0x87eaf7…
05-19 22:16:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x1903d0…
05-19 22:15:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xca9e78…
05-19 22:15:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	46¢	$1	0x72e476…
05-19 20:44:23	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x866d13…
05-19 15:20:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0x43fbc8…
05-19 15:20:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x6aa217…
05-19 14:19:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	74	43¢	$32	0x667a03…
05-19 14:05:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	37	52¢	$19	0xeb321e…
05-19 10:47:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	137	41¢	$56	0x9c3363…
05-19 10:39:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	43	44¢	$19	0xc9eb97…
05-19 10:06:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x2121c0…
05-19 08:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x7c7989…
05-18 20:02:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	62	42¢	$26	0x02d895…
05-18 20:02:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0x5c473f…
05-18 20:00:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0xf7fb16…
05-18 19:54:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xa2aba9…
05-18 19:45:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	128	45¢	$58	0x787821…
05-18 19:17:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	65	40¢	$26	0xbf128e…
05-18 18:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	147	39¢	$57	0xb6997d…
05-18 18:26:28	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0xd7b416…
05-18 18:17:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x1aa8f8…
05-18 18:16:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x701e5e…
05-18 16:30:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	58¢	$14	0x1fc019…
05-18 15:31:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	58¢	$19	0xa48cc0…
05-18 15:31:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x14fec2…
05-18 15:27:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x89c7b9…
05-18 15:27:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x71cb7e…
05-18 15:27:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x1efda4…