Jovial-Sprat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$626

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

45.0%

Resolved

1,274

Trades

4,050

lifetime

Volume

$24.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$36

1 position

First seen

2026-03-23

last 11-03 23:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 37% -$350

Other

3% 20% -$28

Politics

2% 0% -$267

Sports

0% 0% -$35

Tech

0% 100% +$54

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		+289	$50	12¢	$36	-$14	07-12 15:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	6	$172	228	114	+114	Up	+$69	05-14 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	3	$162	209	115	+94	Up	+$22	05-18 13:45
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$154	770	770	+0	open	—	10-27 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	4	$141	128	128	+0	Up	+$20	05-18 14:37
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 14:00 UTC	5	$137	317	0	+317	Down	-$83	04-16 14:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	10	$136	148	124	+24	Up	+$23	05-17 23:48
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	2	$136	157	157	+0	Yes	+$36	07-14 19:22
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	6	$131	251	0	+251	Down	+$74	04-29 18:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	4	$130	189	85	+104	Down	-$3	05-11 14:37
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 22:15 UTC	5	$112	238	0	+238	Up	+$1	04-19 22:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	3	$107	211	86	+125	Down	-$78	05-01 12:37
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	3	$107	253	0	+253	Up	+$18	05-01 03:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	5	$106	108	80	+28	Down	+$9	05-25 17:03
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	4	$105	227	0	+227	Down	-$20	04-27 05:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 21:50 UTC	18	$104	8,912	0	+8,912	Down	-$88	03-27 21:56
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	8	$103	267	0	+267	Down	+$36	04-30 09:32
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	3	$100	416	0	+416	No	-$100	07-14 20:18
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$92	192	192	+0	No	-$8	05-14 17:34
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	2	$92	278	278	+0	open	—	07-12 19:41
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-23 12:00 UTC	8	$90	842	0	+842	Up	-$90	03-23 14:10
DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 21:30 UTC	10	$90	8,978	0	+8,978	Up	-$90	03-27 21:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	4	$87	166	28	+138	Down	+$48	05-10 20:45
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	4	$85	199	0	+199	Down	+$89	04-29 13:35
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 3pm et	62	$84	556	0	+556	Up	-$84	03-25 19:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	4	$82	119	37	+82	Down	+$5	05-12 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	6	$81	197	0	+197	Up	-$54	04-26 23:31
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	5	$80	182	0	+182	Down	-$80	04-29 18:01
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 13:30 UTC	3	$79	154	0	+154	Up	-$4	04-22 13:38
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 00:15 UTC	3	$79	143	0	+143	Up	-$37	04-23 00:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 18:55 UTC	8	$78	148	0	+148	Down	-$78	04-20 18:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 23:39:10	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0xd71b52…
11-03 22:08:25	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0x32e9b8…
10-27 20:58:53	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	158	18¢	$28	0x456282…
10-27 20:58:11	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x7bc226…
10-27 20:58:00	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x0d3c34…
10-27 20:56:57	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	37	18¢	$7	0x43e31b…
10-27 20:53:51	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	770	7¢	$54	0xf06870…
10-26 22:00:05	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	770	13¢	$100	0xeb72ea…
09-13 10:34:33	bitcoin up or down september 13 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xb00d73…
09-11 09:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x293e5f…
09-11 09:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xd5f6dd…
09-11 09:43:43	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	Yes	BUY	470	3¢	$15	0x6c8932…
09-11 09:43:30	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	384	13¢	$50	0xc242b8…
09-08 11:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x412b13…
09-08 11:50:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0x66987e…
09-08 11:49:43	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	385	13¢	$50	0xa64c81…
09-03 16:29:16	Solana Up or Down - September 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	95	26¢	$25	0xaf3a36…
09-03 16:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	107	23¢	$25	0x10bdf6…
09-03 16:27:15	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	58	21¢	$12	0x4b7a64…
09-03 16:25:54	XRP Up or Down - September 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x98e7d8…
09-03 16:24:58	XRP Up or Down - September 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x80785c…
09-03 16:24:31	XRP Up or Down - September 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xa94592…
09-03 09:00:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-03 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xb14cd5…
09-03 08:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x46d515…
09-03 08:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x07a44e…
07-14 20:18:59	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	138	14¢	$20	0xa4b287…
07-14 20:17:56	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 extra time	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x92c00d…
07-14 19:24:04	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	146	20¢	$30	0xece23a…
07-14 19:22:47	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	SELL	157	55¢	$86	0xc21fdc…
07-14 19:19:19	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	146	34¢	$50	0x02ce8d…
07-14 19:16:41	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0x1fb41a…
07-14 19:15:29	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	160	31¢	$50	0x4d2f75…
07-14 19:14:38	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	157	32¢	$50	0x340dff…
07-12 19:47:02	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	11¢	$10	0x42aaf7…
07-12 19:46:28	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	303	2¢	$5	0x67e487…
07-12 19:45:01	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	607	1¢	$5	0xd837fa…
07-12 19:44:01	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	374	1¢	$5	0xd2004f…
07-12 19:42:14	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	164	18¢	$30	0x5b6c86…
07-12 19:41:19	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	278	15¢	$42	0x39d4bd…
07-12 15:49:35	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x836b86…
07-12 15:46:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	289	17¢	$50	0xc9e91d…
07-11 22:51:43	Norway vs. England: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xaedde8…
07-11 22:50:08	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	93	11¢	$10	0x1338d3…
07-11 20:47:32	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	202	25¢	$50	0x25d4ee…
07-11 20:47:10	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	230	22¢	$50	0x9d4c1a…
05-27 12:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x2aee44…
05-27 12:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x69fa60…
05-27 12:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xa43c2f…
05-27 12:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xaf547b…
05-27 11:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xb81bc6…
05-26 14:19:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	56	44¢	$25	0x13b922…
05-26 13:32:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	137	42¢	$58	0x3df53a…
05-26 10:32:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	81	49¢	$40	0x4919fa…
05-26 02:47:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x394119…
05-26 00:55:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	62¢	$13	0xda8dc4…
05-25 17:03:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	28	49¢	$13	0x143101…
05-25 17:03:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	80	55¢	$44	0xc2a1f1…
05-25 17:00:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	56	60¢	$34	0x6485a9…
05-25 17:00:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	63¢	$11	0x4e6cc1…
05-25 17:00:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x239998…
05-25 16:51:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	68	41¢	$28	0xd028dd…
05-25 14:07:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0x789c44…
05-25 09:35:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	128	45¢	$58	0x6a430d…
05-25 00:50:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	61	44¢	$27	0x01e873…
05-24 22:12:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xa80c90…
05-24 22:12:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x43fa93…
05-24 22:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	71	53¢	$38	0x2f6f9c…
05-24 21:49:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	55	59¢	$32	0x448255…
05-24 21:42:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x12b948…
05-24 16:06:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	61	58¢	$35	0x2cc40c…
05-24 14:27:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x6c7554…
05-24 14:27:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x1dae7b…
05-23 21:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	122	49¢	$60	0xaa94c3…
05-23 20:50:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	43	50¢	$21	0x25b830…
05-23 19:21:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	53	53¢	$28	0xe16654…
05-23 18:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	40¢	$10	0xe11872…
05-23 18:30:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	140	41¢	$57	0x9aa152…
05-23 09:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x0134ee…
05-23 09:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x0555b9…
05-23 08:08:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	58¢	$14	0x24811f…
05-23 08:02:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0xd31435…
05-23 08:02:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	29	58¢	$17	0xb1074b…
05-23 08:01:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x376e67…
05-23 08:01:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xbad7f8…
05-23 08:01:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x035d70…
05-23 07:55:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	128	45¢	$58	0x00beb6…
05-23 00:03:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	42¢	$11	0xc02277…
05-22 19:46:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	61	55¢	$33	0x618f4a…
05-22 19:46:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	115	50¢	$58	0x430f59…
05-22 17:30:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x5aafe4…
05-22 17:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x3728b2…
05-22 13:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x086764…
05-21 18:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	27	41¢	$11	0xb947c6…
05-21 17:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	44¢	$3	0x51123b…
05-21 17:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0x1b0b28…
05-21 17:34:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	33	42¢	$14	0xc9ee5d…
05-21 17:34:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	42	58¢	$24	0x0840a9…
05-21 17:33:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$3	0xd364b2…
05-21 17:33:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	36	59¢	$22	0xed6254…
05-21 17:23:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	58¢	$1	0x174cce…