Competent-Future — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.20K

Unrealized P&L

-$43

Hit rate

76.1%

Resolved

309

Trades

529

lifetime

Volume

$48.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$92

Open exposure

$357

7 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 11-07 07:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 91 days

Categories

Other

71% 54% +$1,380

Sports

17% 39% -$1,039

Politics

12% 100% +$1,820

Crypto

0% 100% +$40

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	+259	$150	57¢	$149	-$1	11-07 16:13
SBV Excelsior vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 2.5	Over	+90	$55	60¢	$55	$0	11-07 16:26
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	+104	$50	48¢	$49	-$1	11-07 16:16
ADO Den Haag vs. Sparta Rotterdam: Both Teams to Score	Yes	+53	$35	66¢	$35	$0	11-07 16:27
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	+74	$35	46¢	$35	$0	11-07 16:26
AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Score	Yes	+58	$35	59¢	$34	-$1	11-07 16:27
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	Over	+67	$40	0¢	$0	-$40	11-07 07:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	8	$4.3K	3,170	3,170	+0	Yes	+$1,563	06-22 13:54
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$4.0K	3,497	3,496	+0	Yes	+$38	07-16 19:46
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread away 1pt5	2	$3.4K	1,818	1,818	+0	England	+$214	07-15 21:12
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	5	$1.5K	896	896	+0	No	+$255	06-02 21:57
Sporting CP vs. LASK Linz: Both Teams to Score	3	$1.5K	927	927	+0	Yes	+$345	10-21 19:19
Republic of Ireland vs. Austria: O/U 2.5	2	$1.2K	1,140	1,140	+0	Over	+$229	10-01 19:00
Algeria vs. Austria: Draw at halftime?	3	$1.1K	702	702	+0	Yes	+$301	06-28 03:20
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 2pt5	1	$1000	1,471	0	+1,471	Over	+$471	07-16 22:45
fl1 psg asm 2026 09 04 spread home 1pt5	3	$803	504	504	+0	AS Monaco FC	+$203	09-04 21:09
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$798	681	681	+0	No	-$22	05-22 00:46
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$650	7,176	0	+7,176	No	-$650	06-10 00:02
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$633	1,652	909	+743	No	-$167	07-13 21:09
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals kylian mbappe gte1	3	$620	1,185	0	+1,185	Yes	+$565	07-17 23:31
AD Cali vs. Alianza FC: O/U 2.5	3	$581	490	490	+0	Over	+$101	10-03 03:22
Croatia vs. England: O/U 2.5	3	$543	350	350	+0	Over	+$123	10-03 19:23
Sparta Rotterdam vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5	2	$528	612	263	+349	Under	-$72	10-25 16:39
Spread: Mali (-1.5)	3	$523	314	314	+0	Liberia	+$103	09-29 21:51
arg rie boc 2026 07 26 total 1pt5	3	$507	370	370	+0	Over	+$107	07-26 22:44
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$452	4,444	4,444	+0	No	+$52	06-26 01:54
Torino FC vs. AC Monza: O/U 2.5	3	$450	300	300	+0	Over	+$150	10-23 20:42
Will CA Bucaramanga vs. Atlético Nacional end in a draw?	2	$444	345	345	+0	Yes	+$244	11-03 03:34
Spread: PSV (-1.5)	2	$418	268	268	+0	FK Shakhtar Donetsk	+$118	09-10 18:39
CA Unión vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Both Teams to Score	2	$409	269	269	+0	Yes	+$129	10-27 00:10
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$387	1,031	1,031	+0	No	-$13	07-12 21:51
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5	5	$375	500	368	+132	Under	-$205	10-02 19:32
Will Marumo Gallants FC vs. Polokwane City end in a draw?	3	$349	278	278	+0	Yes	+$149	09-04 20:38
FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 3.5	4	$338	392	184	+208	Under	-$54	11-05 21:22
Will Independiente Santa Fe vs. Millonarios FC end in a draw?	1	$300	938	0	+938	No	-$300	09-03 00:37
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Platense end in a draw?	1	$300	882	0	+882	No	-$300	08-31 20:26
Atlético Nacional vs. Millonarios FC: O/U 2.5	3	$297	386	100	+286	Under	-$143	09-25 01:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 16:27:48	AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	58	60¢	$35	0x0efc08…
11-07 16:27:33	ADO Den Haag vs. Sparta Rotterdam: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	53	66¢	$35	0x1127cb…
11-07 16:26:57	SBV Excelsior vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	90	61¢	$55	0xcf156c…
11-07 16:26:22	Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	74	47¢	$35	0x09f1e3…
11-07 16:16:58	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x1cf78f…
11-07 16:15:00	Will Boreham Wood FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	SELL	95	3¢	$2	0x329353…
11-07 16:13:58	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	259	58¢	$150	0x0bfb50…
11-07 07:09:31	Will Boreham Wood FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	95	58¢	$55	0x27a530…
11-07 07:05:04	1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0x5927ac…
11-06 22:30:24	Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	97	52¢	$50	0x8c5197…
11-06 22:21:09	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x8ee830…
11-06 22:17:33	Auckland FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0x02679f…
11-06 22:14:19	TOP Oss vs. RKC Waalwijk: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0xec7a86…
11-06 22:14:10	Heracles Almelo vs. Roda JC Kerkrade: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x2dce7a…
11-06 22:14:00	Helmond Sport vs. FC Volendam: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x41f585…
11-06 22:13:52	Oxford City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x02f5ef…
11-06 18:01:55	Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	117	60¢	$70	0x42b1fd…
11-06 14:41:22	Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0xf92f92…
11-06 14:40:43	Helmond Sport vs. FC Volendam: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xb36463…
11-06 14:34:33	Oxford City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	82	68¢	$55	0x06e8c7…
11-06 14:32:49	Heracles Almelo vs. Roda JC Kerkrade: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	58	60¢	$35	0x667e33…
11-06 14:32:22	TOP Oss vs. RKC Waalwijk: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	54	65¢	$35	0x82f178…
11-06 14:31:54	Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	94	59¢	$56	0xc8feb6…
11-05 21:55:58	Will Rīga FC vs. FK Jablonec end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xcbedff…
11-05 21:55:51	Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)	PFK CSKA Sofia	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x1489c7…
11-05 21:22:55	FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	62	66¢	$41	0x319754…
11-05 21:22:28	FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x7b84b4…
11-05 21:22:04	K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	51	37¢	$19	0xbf3e45…
11-05 21:21:39	Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	53	68¢	$36	0x5a73d7…
11-05 21:21:30	Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x3beb10…
11-05 21:21:16	Rīga FC vs. FK Jablonec: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xa07765…
11-05 21:06:19	FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	122	83¢	$101	0x2fa063…
11-05 20:52:55	Will Rīga FC vs. FK Jablonec end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xd27e85…
11-05 20:52:07	Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	SELL	56	31¢	$17	0x45f0c8…
11-05 19:55:12	Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	101	69¢	$70	0x42b707…
11-05 19:26:45	Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	SELL	42	80¢	$34	0xa472e6…
11-05 19:26:29	AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	56	99¢	$56	0x2d9343…
11-05 19:26:15	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	SELL	66	89¢	$58	0xd07b38…
11-05 18:35:55	Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	SELL	19	76¢	$14	0xc8880d…
11-05 17:43:46	FC Thun vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	55	64¢	$35	0xa08cdc…
11-05 17:41:13	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	66	61¢	$40	0xd98e01…
11-05 16:04:36	Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0xb7d98f…
11-05 13:59:16	Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)	PFK CSKA Sofia	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x97764b…
11-05 13:56:43	Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	53	66¢	$35	0x324702…
11-05 13:50:34	Rīga FC vs. FK Jablonec: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	60	58¢	$35	0xe13842…
11-05 13:49:45	MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. OFI: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	59	59¢	$35	0x5d497f…
11-05 13:48:03	AS Monaco FC vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	51	68¢	$35	0xd2f926…
11-05 13:47:36	K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	51	68¢	$35	0xb9b4fb…
11-05 13:46:49	AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	56	62¢	$35	0x8a9561…
11-05 13:46:22	Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	81	65¢	$53	0x08f695…
11-05 01:38:22	Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0xf391ea…
11-05 00:52:51	Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	56	63¢	$35	0x374195…
11-05 00:48:12	FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x224a84…
11-05 00:42:13	FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	260	50¢	$130	0xc2b8e8…
11-05 00:42:01	Will FC Lugano win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	SELL	155	83¢	$128	0x6f4503…
11-05 00:41:40	Will FC Lugano win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	155	84¢	$130	0xd1af3c…
11-04 23:19:40	Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x616d5d…
11-04 23:15:19	FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	132	50¢	$66	0xff7d15…
11-04 13:32:03	Viking FK vs. Sabah FK: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	56	63¢	$35	0x6bfc82…
11-04 13:31:31	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	56	63¢	$35	0xe3e614…
11-04 13:31:13	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	54	65¢	$35	0x291116…
11-04 01:52:58	Real Cartagena FC vs. Deportes Quindio: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	64	70¢	$45	0x0422f5…
11-03 23:50:34	Real Cartagena FC vs. Deportes Quindio: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0xf2b703…
11-03 23:16:49	RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0xc6f755…
11-03 23:16:28	Viking FK vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0x36d60a…
11-03 23:15:58	AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	138	58¢	$80	0x3fae3f…
11-03 21:53:03	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0xb7adf8…
11-03 21:30:18	Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x4fb9e0…
11-03 20:42:28	FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	52	29¢	$15	0x41f5c8…
11-03 20:41:30	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	SELL	155	100¢	$154	0xccf8b7…
11-03 16:27:22	Charlton Athletic FC vs. Bolton Wanderers FC: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x74a23c…
11-03 16:23:55	FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	52	67¢	$35	0xbca703…
11-03 16:23:25	Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	55	64¢	$35	0x81735c…
11-03 16:22:40	LASK Linz vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	56	62¢	$35	0x01c23d…
11-03 16:21:57	FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	49	71¢	$35	0x6e06c2…
11-03 15:30:39	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	68	59¢	$40	0xea4ff9…
11-03 15:28:07	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	155	58¢	$90	0x09f7f8…
11-03 03:34:46	Will CA Bucaramanga vs. Atlético Nacional end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	345	100¢	$344	0x98db62…
11-03 00:48:13	Newcastle United Jets vs. Shanghai Port FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	146	48¢	$70	0xa12d49…
11-02 23:01:57	Will CA Bucaramanga vs. Atlético Nacional end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0x72d952…
11-02 21:24:07	Athletic Club vs. Ceará SC: Draw at halftime?	Yes	SELL	83	20¢	$17	0x9784f3…
11-02 21:14:39	Will Athletic Club vs. Ceará SC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xa62a04…
11-02 21:14:12	Atalanta BC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0xe8f25b…
11-02 21:13:19	Atalanta BC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	69	57¢	$39	0x452c5f…
11-02 20:59:30	Athletic Club vs. Ceará SC: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x3b2d0a…
11-02 20:59:01	Chacarita Juniors vs. Nueva Chicago: Draw at halftime?	Yes	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xcd3913…
11-02 18:22:04	US Sassuolo Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	12	81¢	$9	0x76fbd7…
11-02 17:47:13	Al Sadd SC vs. Al Ahli Saudi FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x086f3a…
11-02 17:29:39	Will Atletico de Rafaela win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	51	58¢	$30	0x05a4d0…
11-02 16:03:24	Athletic Club vs. Ceará SC: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x69d6f4…
11-02 16:02:01	Atalanta BC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0xb2a6fd…
11-02 16:01:34	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x6fbe64…
11-02 16:01:09	Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	66	61¢	$40	0x2103f7…
11-02 16:00:40	Atalanta BC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	69	58¢	$40	0xd50fb6…
11-02 15:59:52	Will Atletico de Rafaela win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x0b6136…
11-02 15:50:39	US Sassuolo Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	62	65¢	$40	0xa66c8f…
11-02 15:49:19	Chacarita Juniors vs. Nueva Chicago: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xb9f6b8…
11-02 15:49:03	Will Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	83	48¢	$40	0xc03937…
11-02 00:22:46	CA Lanús vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: Draw at halftime?	Yes	SELL	49	75¢	$37	0xbc32a9…
11-01 23:51:42	FC Universitario vs. Club Always Ready: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	47	56¢	$26	0x19d590…