Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$90

Unrealized P&L

+$137

Hit rate

73.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$20.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$297

Open exposure

$267

1 position

First seen

2026-02-17

last 05-12 07:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Politics

53% 62% -$1,122

Crypto

41% 45% +$1,421

Other

6% 33% -$389

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-12).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		-1,445	-$405	18¢	$-267	+$137	05-12 07:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 09:05 UTC	2	$3.0K	2,276	2,242	+33	Up	+$1,165	03-05 09:08
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	2	$2.3K	2,675	2,675	+0	No	-$1,321	03-21 07:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 09:25 UTC	2	$2.1K	2,308	0	+2,308	Up	+$223	03-05 09:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 09:10 UTC	1	$2.1K	2,086	0	+2,086	Up	+$21	03-05 09:14
will iran strike israel on march 5	2	$1.7K	1,801	0	+1,801	Yes	+$75	03-05 13:29
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$1.6K	1,218	1,218	+0	Yes	+$97	03-29 13:38
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	13	$1.5K	931	931	+0	Yes	+$135	03-16 10:59
will iran strike israel on march 4	4	$1.4K	1,104	1,104	+0	Yes	-$344	03-05 05:17
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-04 17:00 UTC	2	$1.2K	815	815	+0	Down	+$90	03-04 20:44
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	5	$993	2,709	2,709	+0	No	-$438	03-06 13:54
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	4	$606	397	397	+0	Yes	+$6	02-28 16:44
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	2	$542	700	700	+0	No	-$17	03-01 19:35
hezbollah strike on israel by march 31 737 523	3	$468	285	285	+0	Yes	+$68	03-01 23:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$405	0	1,445	-1,445	open	—	05-12 07:10
spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	2	$246	186	186	+0	Down	+$60	02-28 08:52
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$229	130	130	+0	Yes	+$29	03-01 05:48
Will the US strike Iran next?	3	$133	11,755	0	+11,755	No	-$133	02-19 10:06
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$100	238	238	+0	Yes	+$0	02-18 10:23
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	1	$95	380	0	+380	Yes	+$285	02-27 15:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 12:05 UTC	1	$50	524	0	+524	Up	-$50	03-05 12:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 08:50 UTC	3	$31	57	45	+12	Up	+$3	03-05 08:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 12:10 UTC	3	$23	30	17	+14	Up	-$4	03-05 12:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 12:15 UTC	3	$17	200	200	+0	Down	-$13	03-05 12:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 12:20 UTC	1	$10	15	0	+15	Down	-$10	03-05 12:21
spx opens up or down on february 17 2026	1	$10	167	0	+167	Down	-$10	02-17 12:54
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	1	$3	51	0	+51	No	-$3	02-27 16:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 16:00 UTC	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	-$2	02-17 16:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 15:25 UTC	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	-$1	02-17 15:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 07:10:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,445	28¢	$405	0xc2b025…
03-29 13:38:28	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,218	70¢	$852	0xb56819…
03-27 09:11:45	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,218	62¢	$755	0x89c248…
03-21 07:28:15	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	2,675	18¢	$480	0x6f1142…
03-16 10:59:21	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	331	83¢	$275	0x3c16db…
03-06 13:54:29	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	331	71¢	$235	0xcf7731…
03-06 13:54:11	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	2,605	9¢	$234	0x18c90b…
03-05 18:53:47	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	2,675	67¢	$1,801	0x77f641…
03-05 13:29:41	will iran strike israel on march 5	Yes	BUY	1,791	96¢	$1,717	0x3a5fa9…
03-05 13:24:19	will iran strike israel on march 5	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xe125f5…
03-05 12:21:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x2f038f…
03-05 12:19:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 12:15 UTC	Up	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x2ea25a…
03-05 12:17:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xe5df65…
03-05 12:15:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x832740…
03-05 12:13:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x315ddb…
03-05 12:12:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 12:10 UTC	Down	SELL	17	17¢	$3	0x2451a8…
03-05 12:10:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x950ddf…
03-05 12:07:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	524	10¢	$50	0x9f2522…
03-05 09:29:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2,199	90¢	$1,983	0x889e4b…
03-05 09:29:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	109	94¢	$103	0x92926f…
03-05 09:14:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2,086	99¢	$2,065	0x85b12c…
03-05 09:08:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 09:05 UTC	Up	SELL	2,242	92¢	$2,057	0x091c71…
03-05 09:06:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2,276	41¢	$925	0x4e4459…
03-05 08:54:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x7bdc4c…
03-05 08:54:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 08:50 UTC	Down	SELL	45	25¢	$11	0x55a4ea…
03-05 08:52:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x8290c3…
03-05 05:17:57	will iran strike israel on march 4	No	SELL	302	99¢	$298	0x1df774…
03-04 20:44:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-04 17:00 UTC	Up	SELL	815	78¢	$636	0x8f8dd4…
03-04 20:38:55	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-04 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	815	67¢	$546	0x999c04…
03-04 19:58:25	will iran strike israel on march 4	No	BUY	302	74¢	$223	0xea5458…
03-04 19:56:47	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	SELL	802	28¢	$223	0x6ae457…
03-04 14:06:19	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	BUY	802	80¢	$641	0xd6ef44…
03-04 10:26:59	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	600	92¢	$552	0x424d88…
03-03 02:14:43	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	249	76¢	$189	0x11cc41…
03-03 02:09:15	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x813eaa…
03-03 02:02:41	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	77	76¢	$58	0xc69921…
03-03 01:58:55	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x529fc3…
03-03 01:57:49	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x5456d1…
03-03 01:56:59	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0xaf4c9d…
03-03 01:55:03	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x8d6916…
03-03 01:52:11	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	83	76¢	$63	0x78d5ab…
03-03 01:51:47	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	75	76¢	$57	0x81f0d4…
03-03 01:51:03	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	62	76¢	$48	0x6eb104…
03-01 23:12:41	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	2,008	26¢	$530	0xd976ea…
03-01 23:11:49	hezbollah strike on israel by march 31 737 523	Yes	SELL	285	94¢	$268	0xdf2f42…
03-01 19:35:55	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	Yes	SELL	700	37¢	$262	0x65e8e6…
03-01 15:09:33	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	597	26¢	$154	0x234023…
03-01 06:00:31	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	Yes	BUY	700	40¢	$279	0xf486cf…
03-01 05:48:51	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	130	100¢	$129	0x2739ae…
02-28 19:52:51	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	104	41¢	$43	0xfbddcc…
02-28 19:52:19	hezbollah strike on israel by march 31 737 523	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xaaa7d7…
02-28 17:40:07	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xfc3729…
02-28 16:44:43	iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	Yes	SELL	397	77¢	$306	0xd93ac0…
02-28 14:45:23	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	104	31¢	$32	0x46d8b0…
02-28 11:15:55	iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	Yes	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x414e06…
02-28 10:26:29	iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	Yes	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x23b0f2…
02-28 10:25:01	iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	Yes	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x502923…
02-28 08:55:01	hezbollah strike on israel by march 31 737 523	Yes	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x25d5f0…
02-28 08:52:53	spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	Down	SELL	186	82¢	$153	0x6fd125…
02-28 06:57:31	spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	Down	BUY	186	50¢	$93	0xabd730…
02-27 16:00:15	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	51	6¢	$3	0xb933a5…
02-27 15:59:49	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	380	25¢	$95	0x778878…
02-19 10:06:10	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	BUY	10,100	0¢	$49	0xa06a96…
02-18 10:23:42	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	BUY	867	6¢	$50	0x22a33b…
02-18 10:23:26	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	238	21¢	$50	0x2b41d8…
02-18 10:22:30	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	BUY	788	4¢	$34	0x177e18…
02-18 10:18:58	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0x0b332f…
02-17 16:01:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xbb8ab5…
02-17 15:29:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6af79b…
02-17 12:54:37	spx opens up or down on february 17 2026	Up	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x6861fc…