Imaginative-Estimate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.3%

Resolved

Trades

3,129

lifetime

Volume

$26.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-12 15:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 50% +$15

Other

6% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 113 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1772134200	7	$696	453	372	+81	open	—	02-26 19:44
btc updown 15m 1772154000	6	$674	436	433	+3	open	—	02-27 01:05
btc updown 15m 1772152200	6	$605	356	354	+1	open	—	02-27 00:41
btc updown 15m 1772151300	3	$564	298	290	+9	open	—	02-27 00:29
btc updown 5m 1772126400	2	$561	306	306	+1	open	—	02-26 17:23
btc updown 5m 1772125200	2	$559	282	282	+0	open	—	02-26 17:05
btc updown 15m 1772141400	2	$496	269	268	+0	open	—	02-26 21:42
btc updown 15m 1771858800	6	$342	235	232	+3	open	—	02-23 15:14
btc updown 15m 1772158500	6	$322	227	225	+2	open	—	02-27 02:26
btc updown 5m 1772135400	4	$321	270	267	+3	open	—	02-26 19:55
btc updown 5m 1772154600	4	$317	192	191	+1	open	—	02-27 01:14
btc updown 15m 1772216100	2	$317	193	191	+1	open	—	02-27 18:23
btc updown 15m 1771783200	2	$315	159	159	+0	open	—	02-22 18:15
btc updown 5m 1771798800	3	$311	259	159	+100	open	—	02-22 22:24
btc updown 15m 1772153100	4	$300	208	206	+2	open	—	02-27 00:50
btc updown 5m 1771172100	5	$291	245	243	+2	open	—	02-15 16:21
btc updown 15m 1772142300	2	$238	225	221	+3	open	—	02-26 21:47
btc updown 5m 1771800300	4	$234	121	120	+0	open	—	02-22 22:50
btc updown 5m 1772026800	4	$231	126	126	+0	open	—	02-25 13:43
btc updown 15m 1772469000	7	$229	129	128	+1	open	—	03-02 16:44
btc updown 5m 1772154900	2	$219	137	136	+1	open	—	02-27 01:17
btc updown 15m 1769121900	5	$213	117	117	+0	open	—	01-22 23:00
btc updown 5m 1772159400	4	$207	135	134	+1	open	—	02-27 02:33
ucl juv gal 2026 02 25 juv	3	$207	134	134	+0	open	—	02-25 21:33
btc updown 15m 1772103600	4	$204	138	137	+1	open	—	02-26 11:15
btc updown 5m 1771967100	2	$202	106	106	+0	open	—	02-24 21:08
btc updown 5m 1772027100	4	$201	121	120	+1	open	—	02-25 13:47
btc updown 5m 1772127900	2	$192	122	121	+1	open	—	02-26 17:49
btc updown 15m 1772211600	2	$190	131	130	+2	open	—	02-27 17:05
eth updown 15m 1769121000	4	$187	159	159	+1	open	—	01-22 22:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 15:26:03	btc updown 5m 1781277900	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x6da509…
06-12 15:24:39	btc updown 5m 1781277600	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x78d5da…
06-12 15:21:00	btc updown 5m 1781277600	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xfe7baf…
06-12 14:58:06	btc updown 5m 1781276100	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xec058b…
06-12 14:55:13	btc updown 5m 1781276100	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2d8a75…
06-12 14:47:28	btc updown 5m 1781275500	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x796dd3…
06-12 14:45:31	btc updown 5m 1781275500	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4fe201…
06-12 14:40:19	btc updown 5m 1781275200	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x784ee7…
06-12 14:37:12	btc updown 5m 1781274900	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x99a87b…
06-12 14:35:19	btc updown 5m 1781274900	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x65e769…
06-12 14:34:49	btc updown 5m 1781274600	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xa5f461…
06-12 14:30:22	btc updown 5m 1781274600	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x70f5bc…
06-12 13:21:34	btc updown 15m 1781270100	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7fe0d0…
06-12 13:19:18	btc updown 15m 1781270100	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xf24743…
06-12 13:15:12	btc updown 15m 1781270100	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1c4c35…
06-12 13:09:16	btc updown 15m 1781269200	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x7f0a29…
06-12 13:00:15	btc updown 15m 1781269200	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0bc589…
06-12 12:55:30	btc updown 15m 1781268300	Down	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x109512…
06-12 12:54:39	btc updown 15m 1781268300	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9b7c06…
06-12 11:32:24	btc updown 15m 1781263800	Up	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0xb03e50…
06-12 11:31:46	btc updown 15m 1781263800	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2d185b…
06-12 11:29:03	btc updown 15m 1781262900	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x4dbcd8…
06-12 11:28:48	btc updown 15m 1781262900	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x25cb8a…
05-27 17:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd144df…
05-27 17:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x174a59…
05-27 17:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x839d7c…
05-27 17:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb8a043…
05-27 17:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xaf1407…
05-27 01:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8a69cc…
05-27 01:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x1c21c9…
05-27 01:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf2bdb4…
05-27 01:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x44ce77…
05-27 01:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$2	0xc087cf…
05-27 01:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xde79c8…
05-27 01:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x525d94…
05-27 01:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2ab9ab…
05-27 01:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x83256e…
05-27 01:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x80ae52…
05-27 01:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2ea568…
05-27 01:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x78a15d…
05-27 01:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc66bea…
05-27 01:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x9352d7…
05-27 01:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xfae20c…
05-27 01:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xf4ce57…
05-27 01:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x383a3b…
05-27 01:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0xe53feb…
05-27 01:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x07b2ce…
05-27 00:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xec0e2b…
05-27 00:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8f4f2d…
05-27 00:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x3317d4…
05-27 00:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x901698…
05-27 00:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0d4d10…
05-27 00:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x032e7f…
05-27 00:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x26f313…
05-27 00:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x199280…
05-27 00:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6256de…
05-27 00:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x38d011…
05-27 00:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2a8346…
05-27 00:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd3503a…
05-27 00:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x83ddf0…
05-27 00:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x93a432…
05-26 23:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xeb48f3…
05-26 23:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xd67d0a…
05-26 23:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xcac25d…
05-26 23:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x04dbb0…
05-26 23:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7PM ET	Down	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x1d8b9c…
05-26 23:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x09051b…
05-26 23:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xb575a1…
05-26 23:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x224afd…
05-26 23:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x921825…
05-26 23:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x91f404…
05-26 23:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xde5646…
05-26 23:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6107cc…
05-26 22:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7125b7…
05-26 22:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xbbd313…
05-26 22:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4cb4ff…
05-26 22:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xcd1fd3…
05-26 21:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb9ccf9…
05-12 14:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xa97e54…
05-12 14:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x219f5f…
05-12 14:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0xfbce4e…
05-12 14:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe520b4…
05-12 14:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x2cbbe7…
05-12 14:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x2e75e8…
05-12 14:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	54¢	$1	0xd0a660…
05-12 14:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf53a13…
05-12 14:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x618cb5…
05-12 14:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf71c58…
05-12 14:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$2	0x6eb6da…
05-12 14:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x448401…
05-11 18:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc1b062…
05-11 17:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x102479…
05-11 17:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x8998fc…
05-11 17:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd4d02f…
05-11 17:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x0b8ee0…
05-11 16:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x3ee133…
05-11 16:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x51bcb3…
05-11 16:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb46522…
05-11 16:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xcf0704…
05-11 16:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12PM ET	Up	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0x2ddadb…