Imaginative-Estimate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$88

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.9%

Resolved

1,251

Trades

3,177

lifetime

Volume

$27.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-12 15:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 82 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 55% -$200

Other

8% 48% +$88

Sports

3% 69% +$24

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 19:30 UTC	7	$696	453	372	+81	Down	-$37	02-26 19:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 01:00 UTC	6	$674	436	433	+3	Down	-$3	02-27 01:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 00:30 UTC	6	$605	356	354	+1	Down	+$7	02-27 00:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 00:15 UTC	3	$564	298	290	+9	Down	+$10	02-27 00:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 17:20 UTC	2	$561	306	306	+1	Down	+$11	02-26 17:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 17:00 UTC	2	$559	282	282	+0	Up	+$0	02-26 17:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 21:30 UTC	2	$496	269	268	+0	Down	-$13	02-26 21:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 15:00 UTC	6	$342	235	232	+3	Up	+$36	02-23 15:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 02:15 UTC	6	$322	227	225	+2	Up	+$8	02-27 02:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 19:50 UTC	4	$321	270	267	+3	Up	+$44	02-26 19:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 01:10 UTC	4	$317	192	191	+1	Up	+$18	02-27 01:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 18:15 UTC	2	$317	193	191	+1	Up	+$16	02-27 18:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 18:00 UTC	2	$315	159	159	+0	Up	+$0	02-22 18:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 22:20 UTC	3	$311	259	159	+100	Up	+$1	02-22 22:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 00:45 UTC	4	$300	208	206	+2	Up	+$2	02-27 00:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 16:15 UTC	5	$291	245	243	+2	Up	+$191	02-15 16:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 21:45 UTC	2	$238	225	221	+3	Up	+$42	02-26 21:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 22:45 UTC	4	$234	121	120	+0	Up	+$4	02-22 22:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 13:40 UTC	4	$231	126	126	+0	Up	+$11	02-25 13:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 16:30 UTC	7	$229	129	128	+1	Up	+$7	03-02 16:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 01:15 UTC	2	$219	137	136	+1	Up	+$21	02-27 01:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 22:45 UTC	5	$213	117	117	+0	Up	+$4	01-22 23:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 02:30 UTC	4	$207	135	134	+1	Up	+$8	02-27 02:33
ucl juv gal 2026 02 25 juv	3	$207	134	134	+0	Yes	+$37	02-25 21:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 11:00 UTC	4	$204	138	137	+1	Up	+$6	02-26 11:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 21:05 UTC	2	$202	106	106	+0	Up	+$2	02-24 21:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 13:45 UTC	4	$201	121	120	+1	Up	-$1	02-25 13:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 17:45 UTC	2	$192	122	121	+1	Down	-$8	02-26 17:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 17:00 UTC	2	$190	131	130	+2	Down	+$14	02-27 17:05
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 22:30 UTC	4	$187	159	159	+1	Down	-$6	01-22 22:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 15:26:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x6da509…
06-12 15:24:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:20 UTC	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x78d5da…
06-12 15:21:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xfe7baf…
06-12 15:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xfaecb5…
06-12 14:58:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 14:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xec058b…
06-12 14:55:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2d8a75…
06-12 14:47:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 14:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x796dd3…
06-12 14:45:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4fe201…
06-12 14:40:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x784ee7…
06-12 14:37:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 14:35 UTC	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x99a87b…
06-12 14:35:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x65e769…
06-12 14:34:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 14:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xa5f461…
06-12 14:30:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x70f5bc…
06-12 13:21:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7fe0d0…
06-12 13:19:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 13:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xf24743…
06-12 13:15:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1c4c35…
06-12 13:09:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 13:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x7f0a29…
06-12 13:00:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0bc589…
06-12 12:55:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 12:45 UTC	Down	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x109512…
06-12 12:54:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9b7c06…
06-12 11:32:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 11:30 UTC	Up	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0xb03e50…
06-12 11:31:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2d185b…
06-12 11:29:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 11:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x4dbcd8…
06-12 11:28:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x25cb8a…
05-27 17:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd144df…
05-27 17:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x174a59…
05-27 17:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x839d7c…
05-27 17:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb8a043…
05-27 17:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xaf1407…
05-27 01:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8a69cc…
05-27 01:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x1c21c9…
05-27 01:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf2bdb4…
05-27 01:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x44ce77…
05-27 01:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$2	0xc087cf…
05-27 01:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xde79c8…
05-27 01:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x525d94…
05-27 01:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2ab9ab…
05-27 01:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x83256e…
05-27 01:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x80ae52…
05-27 01:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2ea568…
05-27 01:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x78a15d…
05-27 01:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc66bea…
05-27 01:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x9352d7…
05-27 01:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xfae20c…
05-27 01:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xf4ce57…
05-27 01:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x383a3b…
05-27 01:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0xe53feb…
05-27 01:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x07b2ce…
05-27 00:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xec0e2b…
05-27 00:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8f4f2d…
05-27 00:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x3317d4…
05-27 00:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x901698…
05-27 00:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0d4d10…
05-27 00:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x032e7f…
05-27 00:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x26f313…
05-27 00:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x199280…
05-27 00:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6256de…
05-27 00:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x38d011…
05-27 00:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2a8346…
05-27 00:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd3503a…
05-27 00:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x83ddf0…
05-27 00:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x93a432…
05-26 23:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xeb48f3…
05-26 23:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xd67d0a…
05-26 23:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xcac25d…
05-26 23:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x04dbb0…
05-26 23:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7PM ET	Down	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x1d8b9c…
05-26 23:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x09051b…
05-26 23:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xb575a1…
05-26 23:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x224afd…
05-26 23:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x52e1ab…
05-26 23:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x921825…
05-26 23:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x91f404…
05-26 23:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xde5646…
05-26 23:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6107cc…
05-26 22:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7125b7…
05-26 22:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xbbd313…
05-26 22:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4cb4ff…
05-26 22:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xcd1fd3…
05-26 21:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb9ccf9…
05-20 18:37:17	Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?	Yes	BUY	6	57¢	$4	0xfba789…
05-12 19:53:47	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x3d6358…
05-12 19:52:31	Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0xdb5b83…
05-12 19:51:16	Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?	Yes	SELL	36	1¢	$0	0xc1f751…
05-12 19:00:52	Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0xbd5dac…
05-12 19:00:31	Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x7d8edb…
05-12 14:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xa97e54…
05-12 14:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x219f5f…
05-12 14:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0xfbce4e…
05-12 14:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe520b4…
05-12 14:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x2cbbe7…
05-12 14:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x2e75e8…
05-12 14:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	54¢	$1	0xd0a660…
05-12 14:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf53a13…
05-12 14:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x618cb5…
05-12 14:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf71c58…
05-12 14:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$2	0x6eb6da…
05-12 14:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x448401…
05-11 18:32:27	Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-05-11?	Yes	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0x087ca6…
05-11 18:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc1b062…