Informal-Disparity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$54

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.5%

Resolved

517

Trades

7,512

lifetime

Volume

$10.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 06-02 09:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 78% $-54

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 2054 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 15m 1774476000	61	$141	281	111	+171	open	—	03-25 22:14
eth updown 15m 1774481400	86	$94	263	0	+263	open	—	03-25 23:40
eth updown 15m 1774480500	85	$92	207	0	+207	open	—	03-25 23:29
eth updown 5m 1774593300	80	$87	891	0	+891	open	—	03-27 06:39
btc updown 5m 1774640700	31	$86	80	54	+27	open	—	03-27 19:49
xrp updown 15m 1774480500	80	$86	302	0	+302	open	—	03-25 23:29
xrp updown 15m 1774482300	72	$77	197	0	+197	open	—	03-25 23:57
sol updown 15m 1774481400	70	$76	221	0	+221	open	—	03-25 23:41
sol updown 15m 1774479600	70	$75	211	0	+211	open	—	03-25 23:13
sol updown 15m 1774480500	62	$67	176	0	+176	open	—	03-25 23:29
sol updown 15m 1774476900	60	$64	142	0	+142	open	—	03-25 22:25
eth updown 15m 1774490400	58	$63	279	0	+279	open	—	03-26 02:07
xrp updown 15m 1774486800	59	$62	144	0	+144	open	—	03-26 01:12
sol updown 15m 1774478700	55	$60	124	0	+124	open	—	03-25 22:51
xrp updown 15m 1774476900	54	$58	114	0	+114	open	—	03-25 22:25
xrp updown 15m 1774488600	54	$58	129	0	+129	open	—	03-26 01:40
eth updown 15m 1774476900	53	$58	134	0	+134	open	—	03-25 22:25
eth updown 15m 1774593900	52	$57	156	0	+156	open	—	03-27 06:57
sol updown 15m 1774489500	50	$54	142	0	+142	open	—	03-26 01:54
sol updown 15m 1774486800	49	$53	140	0	+140	open	—	03-26 01:12
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 2am et	48	$52	227	0	+227	open	—	03-27 06:55
btc updown 15m 1774586700	29	$51	56	36	+19	open	—	03-27 04:55
bitcoin above 70k on april 3	26	$51	106	105	+1	open	—	03-28 17:25
btc updown 15m 1774593000	47	$51	154	0	+154	open	—	03-27 06:43
eth updown 15m 1774488600	46	$50	96	0	+96	open	—	03-26 01:40
xrp updown 15m 1774489500	48	$50	121	0	+121	open	—	03-26 01:54
xrp updown 15m 1774490400	45	$49	178	0	+178	open	—	03-26 02:08
xrp updown 15m 1774478700	44	$47	94	0	+94	open	—	03-25 22:51
eth updown 15m 1774479600	43	$47	129	0	+129	open	—	03-25 23:13
eth updown 15m 1774489500	44	$47	100	0	+100	open	—	03-26 01:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 09:40:00	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of June 1 2026?	No	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0xac1f63…
06-02 08:30:04	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xa0f0b3…
06-02 08:27:09	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x2c01fb…
06-02 06:50:07	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x79e2eb…
06-02 04:04:44	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0xb657df…
06-02 04:04:32	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0x23be75…
06-02 01:33:50	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xc69ab1…
06-02 00:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x47005e…
06-01 22:20:04	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xca0cc7…
06-01 22:04:54	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of June 1 2026?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x4ce163…
06-01 22:03:44	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0xeee3f5…
06-01 18:44:34	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xfa0afb…
05-31 08:14:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xcaa5a9…
05-31 08:14:27	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xd03fb1…
05-31 08:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xb55d61…
05-31 08:05:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x008ca1…
05-31 08:05:07	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x6fef4d…
05-31 08:01:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x58eccf…
05-31 08:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x8dd935…
05-31 07:56:38	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x216a4e…
05-31 07:55:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xe2b0c7…
05-31 07:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x0b9b19…
05-31 07:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xaff8d9…
05-31 07:53:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x4031ea…
05-31 07:51:34	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x7fc0b2…
05-31 07:42:50	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xe3b81a…
05-31 07:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xaa7ce7…
05-31 07:40:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xdde4f8…
05-31 07:40:08	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x89d8e2…
05-31 07:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x5e1190…
05-31 07:35:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x116db5…
05-31 07:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x593fcd…
05-31 07:31:14	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x08d53f…
05-31 07:30:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x1961ac…
05-31 07:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x93955f…
05-31 07:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x35d185…
05-31 07:26:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x56eefc…
05-31 07:25:17	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x952d3d…
05-31 07:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x9b8654…
05-31 07:19:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x609a93…
05-31 07:17:42	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	61¢	$0	0x209ed1…
05-31 07:05:25	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x77fd81…
05-31 07:05:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x187374…
05-31 07:00:54	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x635ab7…
05-31 07:00:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x632f73…
05-31 07:00:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xc0a8e6…
05-31 07:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x9d8573…
05-31 06:58:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xda87e0…
05-31 06:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x27b596…
05-31 06:57:20	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa02295…
05-31 06:46:38	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xfc68c8…
05-31 06:46:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9642c0…
05-31 06:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xba3926…
05-31 06:40:25	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xb1f46d…
05-31 06:40:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x39759f…
05-31 06:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x352a59…
05-31 06:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x8bcb4d…
05-31 06:30:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x6a9390…
05-31 06:30:18	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x17cba9…
05-31 06:24:49	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x3c272b…
05-31 06:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x7a3625…
05-31 06:23:53	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x0192bf…
05-31 06:21:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xf426ba…
05-31 06:20:09	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x41e209…
05-31 06:18:19	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x117ae7…
05-31 06:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xb7c3dd…
05-31 06:10:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x62261d…
05-31 06:06:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x38c605…
05-31 06:06:37	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x49e8fc…
05-31 06:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x0333a9…
05-31 05:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xa688b9…
05-31 05:57:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x3af800…
05-31 05:51:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x99e3d5…
05-31 05:51:04	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x8c2e22…
05-31 05:46:47	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x940e7b…
05-31 05:45:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x82e225…
05-31 05:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x371fba…
05-31 05:37:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x762e88…
05-31 05:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x7d191d…
05-31 05:28:28	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xe345e2…
05-31 05:28:28	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd7ab0c…
05-31 05:17:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x909062…
05-31 05:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x403efe…
05-31 05:11:10	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x6579fc…
05-31 05:10:58	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xf4ca32…
05-31 05:05:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x59bdda…
05-31 05:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x6fe651…
05-31 05:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x4b73bf…
05-31 04:57:44	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x577825…
05-31 04:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x81ee62…
05-31 04:54:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xe1322f…
05-31 04:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe86287…
05-31 04:53:02	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x223513…
05-31 04:52:51	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x6dab64…
05-31 04:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x75a9e7…
05-31 04:50:40	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xef7140…
05-31 04:50:40	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x148282…
05-31 04:46:21	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xae711d…
05-31 04:45:58	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x4076a6…
05-31 04:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xc40d1f…