Informal-Disparity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

72.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$38

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 00:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 75% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up		+1	$1	62¢	$1	$-0	05-06 00:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down		+1	$1	56¢	$1	$-0	05-06 00:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$9	8	8	+0	open	—	05-05 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	05-05 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$7	0	8	-8	open	—	05-05 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-05 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$2	0	2	-2	Down	$-0	05-04 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-05 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	05-05 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-05 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-06 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-06 00:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$1	0	8	-8	open	—	05-05 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$0	0	9	-9	open	—	05-05 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$0	0	9	-9	open	—	05-05 15:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 00:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xa40f17…
05-06 00:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xb22392…
05-05 20:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xfed5d7…
05-05 19:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x661d69…
05-05 17:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0x051f81…
05-05 16:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xadec2a…
05-05 16:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0xba7a0f…
05-05 15:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0xfb58da…
05-05 15:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xb01d36…
05-05 14:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x564799…
05-05 03:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xba866f…
05-05 02:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x415534…
05-05 00:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x87a3ee…
05-04 22:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x3126d6…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	13	$1.96K	80	05-06 00:19
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	13	$1.89K	89	05-06 00:19
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	12	$1.64K	154	05-06 00:19
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	12	$1.19K	106	05-06 00:19
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	12	$1.14K	64	05-06 00:18
Unselfish-Condominium 0x1f19…f57a	12	$1.10K	56	05-06 00:19
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	11	$961	32	05-06 00:18
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	11	$636	41	05-06 00:19