Upset-Quince — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$121

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 06-24 16:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

74% 0% $-1

Crypto

12% — —

Sports

9% — —

Politics

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	4	$864	433	433	+0	open	—	03-22 12:58
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$786	394	394	+0	No	$-0	04-21 07:28
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$716	359	359	+0	No	$-0	04-01 18:52
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$634	318	318	+0	open	—	04-01 06:24
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$442	222	222	+0	open	—	04-03 15:51
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	2	$386	194	194	+0	open	—	04-27 13:24
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	4	$370	185	185	+0	open	—	03-30 04:31
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	2	$362	181	181	+0	open	—	03-28 13:23
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$356	178	178	+0	open	—	03-28 21:47
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$354	178	178	+0	open	—	04-15 04:44
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$354	178	178	+0	No	$-0	04-03 21:55
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$346	173	173	+0	open	—	04-03 09:49
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$340	170	170	+0	open	—	04-04 12:14
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$322	161	161	+0	open	—	04-11 20:37
nba hou mem 2026 03 27	1	$36	41	0	+41	open	—	03-27 21:45
Paradex FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	03-05 12:26
Will Solana dip to $60 in April?	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	04-28 23:12
nba dal den 2026 03 25	1	$30	35	0	+35	open	—	03-26 00:55
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 9	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	03-08 18:15
nba den lal 2026 03 14	1	$28	49	0	+49	open	—	03-14 20:19
nba orl mia 2026 03 14	1	$28	44	0	+44	open	—	03-14 20:18
will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	06-24 16:02
will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	06-24 16:02
nba tor det 2026 03 31	1	$22	54	0	+54	open	—	03-31 20:38
nba nyk hou 2026 03 31	1	$14	29	0	+29	open	—	03-31 20:37
bitcoin above 70k on february 25	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	02-25 09:42
Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch?	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	02-25 09:42
nba por lac 2026 03 31	1	$12	35	0	+35	open	—	03-31 20:37
Fabric FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-25 09:43
nba mil por 2026 03 25	1	$6	43	0	+43	open	—	03-26 00:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 16:02:58	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x3058ed…
06-24 16:02:29	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x347524…
04-28 23:12:38	Will Solana dip to $60 in April?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x130eea…
04-27 13:24:06	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	194	100¢	$193	0xd68984…
04-27 07:45:12	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	194	100¢	$193	0x267d06…
04-21 07:28:10	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	209	100¢	$209	0x733b1a…
04-20 22:37:20	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	209	100¢	$209	0xe89df3…
04-15 04:44:40	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	178	100¢	$177	0x345354…
04-14 22:49:28	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	178	100¢	$177	0xec5597…
04-11 20:37:47	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	161	100¢	$161	0xcf4f4d…
04-10 10:59:03	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0x7539c6…
04-07 05:07:39	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	184	100¢	$184	0x03ce3c…
04-06 18:07:29	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0x42af50…
04-04 12:14:41	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0xbd3956…
04-04 07:11:51	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0x2b5eab…
04-03 21:55:19	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	178	100¢	$177	0xf44787…
04-03 15:51:53	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	178	100¢	$177	0x97d28a…
04-03 15:51:37	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	222	100¢	$221	0x8c67d2…
04-03 13:04:23	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	222	100¢	$221	0xdb77cc…
04-03 09:49:57	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	173	100¢	$173	0x7893bd…
04-03 06:40:05	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	173	100¢	$173	0x4b15ca…
04-01 18:52:41	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	203	100¢	$203	0xb2622d…
04-01 14:48:17	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	203	100¢	$203	0x504b3d…
04-01 06:24:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	151	100¢	$150	0x3354d3…
04-01 02:15:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$150	0x0a0fbf…
03-31 20:38:21	nba tor det 2026 03 31	Raptors	BUY	54	41¢	$22	0x5e3d4d…
03-31 20:37:51	nba por lac 2026 03 31	Trail Blazers	BUY	35	34¢	$12	0x0a2370…
03-31 20:37:21	nba nyk hou 2026 03 31	Rockets	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0x87b085…
03-30 23:58:39	nba was lal 2026 03 30	Wizards	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0x8ec12f…
03-30 23:58:11	nba cle uta 2026 03 30	Jazz	BUY	36	8¢	$3	0xd952e8…
03-30 18:41:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	168	100¢	$167	0x1d60e2…
03-30 14:40:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	168	100¢	$167	0xd73418…
03-30 04:31:54	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x452244…
03-30 04:31:34	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0xcacbe7…
03-30 04:29:00	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0xf716bb…
03-30 02:40:50	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0xce6b2e…
03-28 21:47:14	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	178	100¢	$178	0xadebcf…
03-28 17:48:27	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	178	100¢	$178	0xa2c3e8…
03-28 13:23:43	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	181	100¢	$181	0xfb0759…
03-28 10:33:43	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	181	100¢	$181	0xa565dc…
03-27 21:45:15	nba hou mem 2026 03 27	Rockets	BUY	41	89¢	$36	0x39f58b…
03-27 21:44:43	nba uta den 2026 03 27	Jazz	BUY	43	6¢	$3	0xbb1b6c…
03-26 00:55:51	nba dal den 2026 03 25	Nuggets	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0xb29adb…
03-26 00:55:19	nba mil por 2026 03 25	Bucks	BUY	43	13¢	$6	0xda2280…
03-24 11:27:05	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	155	100¢	$155	0xc5245b…
03-24 05:19:53	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0xef2f01…
03-22 12:58:25	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	213	100¢	$213	0xd1f273…
03-22 06:40:23	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	213	100¢	$213	0x1cd8d5…
03-20 23:20:41	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	219	100¢	$219	0x46b2bf…
03-19 21:00:49	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	219	100¢	$219	0x15e884…
03-14 20:19:33	nba den lal 2026 03 14	Nuggets	BUY	49	57¢	$28	0x200229…
03-14 20:19:07	nba sac lac 2026 03 14	Kings	BUY	32	12¢	$4	0x219cbe…
03-14 20:18:39	nba orl mia 2026 03 14	Heat	BUY	44	63¢	$28	0xe4fc01…
03-08 18:15:27	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 9	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x42364c…
03-05 12:26:49	Paradex FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x2a6995…
02-25 09:43:16	Fabric FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3ff215…
02-25 09:42:58	bitcoin above 70k on february 25	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x60f3f1…
02-25 09:42:38	Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7891ee…