Afraid-Carotene — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$775

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.9%

Resolved

4,451

Trades

12,726

lifetime

Volume

$84.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 10-23 18:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 97 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 46% -$773

Other

0% 58% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 22:50 UTC	84	$936	1,768	400	+1,368	Up	+$298	03-20 22:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 22:55 UTC	43	$682	1,438	0	+1,438	Down	+$418	03-20 22:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 08:10 UTC	40	$481	448	325	+123	Down	-$77	03-21 08:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 23:35 UTC	49	$464	624	100	+524	Up	+$16	03-20 23:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 23:55 UTC	41	$420	544	150	+394	Up	+$48	03-20 23:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 09:40 UTC	35	$393	450	285	+165	Down	+$46	03-21 09:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 04:15 UTC	52	$392	471	385	+86	Down	+$32	03-21 04:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 05:55 UTC	44	$370	335	316	+19	Down	+$12	03-21 05:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 09:15 UTC	12	$364	626	0	+626	Down	+$173	04-07 09:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 08:50 UTC	22	$336	386	301	+85	Down	+$48	03-21 08:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 07:35 UTC	33	$330	408	279	+129	Down	+$39	03-21 07:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 00:45 UTC	1	$316	417	0	+417	Down	+$100	04-08 00:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 04:05 UTC	43	$310	392	282	+110	Up	+$66	03-21 04:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 20:45 UTC	20	$308	272	272	+0	Down	+$50	03-21 20:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 06:20 UTC	25	$298	279	214	+65	Up	-$25	03-21 06:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 23:40 UTC	29	$295	600	136	+464	Up	-$93	03-20 23:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 02:25 UTC	33	$289	403	61	+341	Down	+$140	03-28 02:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 09:45 UTC	13	$275	587	0	+587	Down	-$275	04-07 09:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 07:00 UTC	22	$274	227	227	+0	Up	+$50	03-21 07:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 06:15 UTC	38	$272	537	150	+387	Up	+$61	03-21 06:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 00:00 UTC	14	$265	371	0	+371	Up	+$106	04-08 00:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 07:40 UTC	26	$265	385	150	+235	Down	-$142	03-21 07:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 04:10 UTC	53	$264	315	216	+99	Up	-$29	03-21 04:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 08:00 UTC	15	$261	274	214	+60	Down	+$2	03-21 08:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 07:55 UTC	32	$254	300	214	+86	Up	-$51	03-21 07:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 09:45 UTC	28	$253	363	151	+212	Up	-$58	03-21 09:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 22:45 UTC	21	$250	500	100	+400	Up	+$6	03-20 22:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 02:10 UTC	30	$248	275	225	+50	Down	+$9	03-21 02:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 08:35 UTC	15	$246	293	210	+83	Down	-$29	03-21 08:38
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	34	$244	358	338	+20	Up	+$54	05-18 07:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 18:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x64297a…
10-23 17:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x3f3417…
10-07 04:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x82fac1…
10-07 04:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xd4929a…
10-07 03:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xebe48b…
10-07 03:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x84d22b…
10-07 03:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x5d7a8e…
10-07 03:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x379fd2…
10-07 03:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0xec36cf…
10-07 01:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x355d0a…
10-07 01:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xa22677…
10-07 01:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xc399de…
10-07 01:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0x89888d…
10-07 01:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x73a2e0…
10-07 01:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe999ee…
10-07 01:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x0dd2ea…
10-07 01:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xefb86b…
10-05 10:34:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x608d07…
10-05 08:53:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xf30d2d…
10-05 07:08:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x2c9195…
10-05 06:39:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xdf3192…
10-05 06:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x7dcd56…
10-04 20:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xaa3f71…
10-04 20:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xb06e8a…
10-04 19:51:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x19fad2…
10-04 19:40:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x1b2068…
10-04 19:40:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x55303a…
10-04 19:37:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x110d4b…
10-04 19:32:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xb36ca0…
10-04 19:32:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x5663ff…
10-04 19:25:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x4d4ce0…
10-04 19:02:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x549ecb…
10-04 17:55:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x1d4d6f…
10-04 17:45:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xd4a167…
10-04 17:45:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x9e93f3…
10-04 17:45:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	31¢	$4	0x3e927a…
10-04 17:31:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x7c4b1a…
10-04 16:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x719ccd…
10-04 16:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xe779ae…
10-04 16:16:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x1b328e…
10-04 16:15:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x2c714c…
10-04 16:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xddc38c…
10-04 16:10:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xdb969d…
10-04 16:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0xeb22c3…
10-04 16:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xcbc45f…
10-04 16:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$3	0xc7271f…
10-04 15:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x94cb08…
10-04 15:41:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xed1556…
10-04 15:25:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x516dc8…
10-04 15:23:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0x396c26…
10-04 15:21:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0x9b4d40…
10-04 15:20:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x82e27a…
10-04 15:20:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x3f9e82…
10-04 15:20:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xc11208…
10-04 15:20:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x406994…
10-04 15:20:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x26c001…
10-04 15:10:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xfb8376…
10-04 14:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0xe0a731…
10-04 14:36:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xcf4e1d…
10-04 14:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x0e674c…
10-04 14:10:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xb0db7f…
10-04 13:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xab875a…
10-04 13:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x0b5fb4…
10-04 13:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x40b54e…
10-04 13:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x929f02…
10-04 13:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x1cd293…
10-04 12:56:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x9938a1…
10-04 12:46:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xd42b81…
10-04 12:46:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x69f542…
10-04 12:46:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xaedcee…
10-04 12:11:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x2ac9fe…
10-04 11:26:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x495c4a…
10-04 11:15:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x0c5a17…
10-04 11:05:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x1fe360…
10-04 10:57:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xe78ada…
10-04 10:41:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xbab0f3…
10-04 10:41:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xfe3005…
10-04 10:35:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x55d2e4…
10-04 10:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xfd4347…
10-04 10:30:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xc4ad31…
10-04 10:21:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x8d0090…
10-04 10:20:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x7874c7…
10-04 10:15:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x81bf22…
10-04 10:00:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0x431044…
10-04 09:50:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xa66395…
10-04 09:50:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x44c6d7…
10-04 09:35:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x449708…
10-04 09:35:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x162a3d…
10-04 09:33:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x4b1d96…
10-04 09:33:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x41ffb2…
10-04 09:31:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x5cbdfa…
10-04 09:31:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x9b9ba3…
10-04 09:31:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x39dc30…
10-04 09:30:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc2cd40…
10-04 09:27:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x6f7644…
10-04 08:30:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xb0b9d9…
10-04 08:30:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xfc1630…
10-04 08:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x871108…
10-04 08:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xb24dd6…
10-04 08:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xc50202…