Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Down won
Total volume
$27,395
Trades
3,173
Unique wallets
683
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
22¢
Latest NO mid
78¢
End date
2026-10-04
First seen
2026-10-04
last 10-04 15:55
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.3¢
(top1%: 24% YES on $10.1K
vs crowd: 23% YES on $25.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 150 | $3.0K | $10.9K | $7.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 164 | $1.9K | $5.6K | $3.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 194 | $635 | $2.2K | $1.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 175 | $233 | $869 | $635 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 143 | $2.5K | $7.6K | $5.2K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 78 | $490 | $1.7K | $1.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 27 | $141 | $399 | $258 |
| Median | 58 | $40 | $400 | $360 |
| Below median | 167 | $270 | $1.3K | $994 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 82 | $152 | $1.6K | $1.4K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 89 | $520 | $3.0K | $2.4K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 39 | $1.8K | $3.6K | $1.8K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xf363…c197 | Down | +1,765 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 10-04 15:49 |
| Visible-Rack 0x7001…2aba | Up | +1,432 | $625 | $625 | 7 | 10-04 15:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Up | +1,335 | $289 | $289 | 54 | 10-04 15:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Down | +1,198 | $937 | $937 | 41 | 10-04 15:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xc4e2…fef6 | Down | +1,145 | $800 | $800 | 14 | 10-04 15:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x54b1…3e83 | Up | +951 | $165 | $165 | 24 | 10-04 15:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x70d4…6491 | Up | +933 | $283 | $283 | 13 | 10-04 15:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90 | Up | +771 | $166 | $166 | 43 | 10-04 15:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x54b1…3e83 | Down | +722 | $519 | $519 | 12 | 10-04 15:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x855e…5189 | Up | +692 | $137 | $137 | 39 | 10-04 15:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xf4fc…3303 | Up | +651 | $191 | $191 | 2 | 10-04 15:53 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | +600 | $6 | $6 | 14 | 10-04 15:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | +538 | $112 | $112 | 29 | 10-04 15:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x7cf8…04ae | Up | +526 | $239 | $253 | 14 | 10-04 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Up | +520 | $72 | $72 | 34 | 10-04 15:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xa150…14e6 | Up | +500 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-04 15:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | +476 | $349 | $349 | 25 | 10-04 15:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Down | +449 | $445 | $445 | 1 | 10-04 15:54 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +429 | $312 | $312 | 22 | 10-04 15:53 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +403 | $64 | $64 | 29 | 10-04 15:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x280e…fbd8 | Up | +403 | $134 | $134 | 14 | 10-04 15:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xd855…a182 | Up | +401 | $4 | $4 | 6 | 10-04 15:54 |
| Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | +400 | $396 | $396 | 11 | 10-04 15:54 |
| Watchful-Milk 0xdb1d…b6c2 | Down | +400 | $201 | $201 | 6 | 10-04 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xb6a6…7971 | Down | +375 | $350 | $350 | 7 | 10-04 15:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Down | +371 | $278 | $278 | 15 | 10-04 15:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Up | +357 | $113 | $113 | 11 | 10-04 15:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Down | +349 | $282 | $282 | 16 | 10-04 15:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x28cc…904f | Up | +345 | $62 | $62 | 17 | 10-04 15:52 |
| Ambitious-Membership 0xc387…e4f4 | Up | +316 | $25 | $25 | 20 | 10-04 15:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xf332…b1c0 | Down | +306 | $196 | $196 | 3 | 10-04 15:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | +304 | $301 | $301 | 3 | 10-04 15:54 |
| Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd | Down | +301 | $234 | $234 | 6 | 10-04 15:53 |
| Trusting-Surface 0x109c…9cc4 | Down | +300 | $297 | $297 | 2 | 10-04 15:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Up | +292 | $55 | $55 | 17 | 10-04 15:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa6d…7761 | Up | +288 | $131 | $131 | 2 | 10-04 15:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90 | Down | +261 | $176 | $176 | 5 | 10-04 15:51 |
| True-Jailhouse 0x6d5c…f7e9 | Down | +256 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 10-04 15:54 |
| Shady-Backbone 0xd18a…4b74 | Down | +253 | $250 | $250 | 6 | 10-04 15:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x17a4…3685 | Up | +250 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-04 15:54 |
| Nice-Trapdoor 0xc1b4…624f | Down | +250 | $196 | $196 | 12 | 10-04 15:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Down | +249 | $189 | $189 | 18 | 10-04 15:53 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Down | +248 | $246 | $246 | 5 | 10-04 15:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x03f1…e633 | Up | +242 | $94 | $94 | 4 | 10-04 15:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x9417…6e5e | Up | +240 | $58 | $58 | 29 | 10-04 15:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7 | Up | +235 | $40 | $40 | 25 | 10-04 15:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7 | Down | +232 | $205 | $205 | 19 | 10-04 15:53 |
| Daring-Spasm 0xfc2f…0fdf | Up | +230 | $5 | $5 | 8 | 10-04 15:54 |
| Whole-Transcript 0xc9b8…599b | Up | +230 | $5 | $5 | 13 | 10-04 15:54 |
| Utter-Decade 0x1c92…3e42 | Up | +230 | $5 | $5 | 16 | 10-04 15:54 |
| Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Up | +228 | $43 | $43 | 19 | 10-04 15:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x0e69…2ceb | Down | +227 | $220 | $220 | 2 | 10-04 15:53 |
| Palatable-Patent 0x0c7c…e4cb | Up | +227 | $20 | $20 | 7 | 10-04 15:53 |
| Safe-Veldt 0x54c8…3b7e | Up | +226 | $21 | $21 | 5 | 10-04 15:53 |
| Dutiful-Psychologist 0x5f6d…976f | Down | +225 | $223 | $223 | 1 | 10-04 15:54 |
| Loathsome-Restroom 0xbaf8…7f77 | Down | +216 | $200 | $200 | 2 | 10-04 15:53 |
| Similar-Diver 0xaea5…6163 | Down | +213 | $200 | $200 | 2 | 10-04 15:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x3089…35e4 | Down | +211 | $128 | $128 | 2 | 10-04 15:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x7c1e…b2c7 | Down | +209 | $149 | $149 | 1 | 10-04 15:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x9417…6e5e | Down | +207 | $124 | $124 | 2 | 10-04 15:50 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 15:55:28 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Down | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x9a2964… |
| 10-04 15:55:28 | (anonymous) 0x2d3b…992f | Down | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x9a2964… |
| 10-04 15:55:11 | (anonymous) 0xe82d…8703 | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x2dee54… |
| 10-04 15:55:11 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x2dee54… |
| 10-04 15:54:59 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Down | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x5085d4… |
| 10-04 15:54:59 | (anonymous) 0x4e1f…b41f | Down | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x5085d4… |
| 10-04 15:54:53 | (anonymous) 0x2e09…2431 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x914fea… |
| 10-04 15:54:53 | (anonymous) 0x17a4…3685 | Up | BUY | 250 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xdd8f32… |
| 10-04 15:54:53 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Down | BUY | 133 | 99¢ | $132 | 0xdd8f32… |
| 10-04 15:54:53 | Shady-Backbone 0xd18a…4b74 | Down | BUY | 117 | 99¢ | $116 | 0xdd8f32… |
| 10-04 15:54:53 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x914fea… |
| 10-04 15:54:40 | Shady-Backbone 0xd18a…4b74 | Down | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x821fae… |
| 10-04 15:54:40 | (anonymous) 0xb690…bbc7 | Down | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x821fae… |
| 10-04 15:54:35 | Shady-Backbone 0xd18a…4b74 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xd52e0c… |
| 10-04 15:54:35 | (anonymous) 0x788c…7545 | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xd52e0c… |
| 10-04 15:54:32 | Shady-Backbone 0xd18a…4b74 | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x3a8635… |
| 10-04 15:54:32 | Knowing-Vegetarianism 0xf9ee…31e6 | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x3a8635… |
| 10-04 15:54:25 | (anonymous) 0xc450…d25f | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x42af58… |
| 10-04 15:54:25 | Shady-Backbone 0xd18a…4b74 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x42af58… |
| 10-04 15:54:19 | Shady-Backbone 0xd18a…4b74 | Down | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $29 | 0x04aec8… |
| 10-04 15:54:19 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 62 | 99¢ | $61 | 0x04aec8… |
| 10-04 15:54:19 | (anonymous) 0x4b73…b9ee | Down | SELL | 211 | 99¢ | $209 | 0x04aec8… |
| 10-04 15:54:19 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 120 | 99¢ | $119 | 0x04aec8… |
| 10-04 15:54:16 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 53 | 99¢ | $53 | 0x212990… |
| 10-04 15:54:16 | (anonymous) 0x0d35…e977 | Down | SELL | 53 | 99¢ | $53 | 0x212990… |
| 10-04 15:54:14 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xc8ca5a… |
| 10-04 15:54:14 | (anonymous) 0xce68…1725 | Down | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xe9a36e… |
| 10-04 15:54:14 | Well-Off-String 0x6b36…0d4b | Down | SELL | 17 | 99¢ | $16 | 0xd22383… |
| 10-04 15:54:14 | (anonymous) 0xca1f…9c0f | Down | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xc8ca5a… |
| 10-04 15:54:14 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xe9a36e… |
| 10-04 15:54:14 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 17 | 99¢ | $16 | 0xd22383… |
| 10-04 15:54:13 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Down | SELL | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x54f80c… |
| 10-04 15:54:13 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xe64c4b… |
| 10-04 15:54:13 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0x1064f6… |
| 10-04 15:54:13 | Blue-Valuable 0x78b3…3a3d | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xe64c4b… |
| 10-04 15:54:13 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x54f80c… |
| 10-04 15:54:13 | Lighthearted-Hops 0x8559…2c8c | Down | SELL | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0x1064f6… |
| 10-04 15:54:11 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xacc288… |
| 10-04 15:54:11 | Blue-Valuable 0x78b3…3a3d | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xacc288… |
| 10-04 15:54:10 | Tasty-Watcher 0x58c0…01f7 | Down | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x7f8ae8… |
| 10-04 15:54:10 | Thorny-Precipitation 0xfe8c…e6be | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x5f798e… |
| 10-04 15:54:10 | Thorny-Precipitation 0xfe8c…e6be | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x7929e5… |
| 10-04 15:54:10 | Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Up | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7929e5… |
| 10-04 15:54:10 | (anonymous) 0x0c0d…05de | Down | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xf85884… |
| 10-04 15:54:10 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x7f8ae8… |
| 10-04 15:54:10 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 294 | 99¢ | $291 | 0x4dd1c9… |
| 10-04 15:54:10 | (anonymous) 0xbeb1…a6ad | Down | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x7929e5… |
| 10-04 15:54:10 | Wonderful-Squirrel 0x8dbb…f8f0 | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7929e5… |
| 10-04 15:54:10 | (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Up | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7929e5… |
| 10-04 15:54:10 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 206 | 99¢ | $204 | 0x4dd1c9… |
| 10-04 15:54:10 | (anonymous) 0x6e30…1da1 | Down | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x7929e5… |
| 10-04 15:54:10 | (anonymous) 0x81a3…1471 | Down | SELL | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x7929e5… |
| 10-04 15:54:10 | (anonymous) 0x355d…1c50 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x5f798e… |
| 10-04 15:54:10 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Down | BUY | 449 | 99¢ | $445 | 0x7929e5… |
| 10-04 15:54:10 | (anonymous) 0xdd02…e59f | Down | SELL | 61 | 99¢ | $60 | 0x7929e5… |
| 10-04 15:54:10 | (anonymous) 0xd855…a182 | Up | BUY | 263 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x7929e5… |
| 10-04 15:54:10 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xf85884… |
| 10-04 15:54:10 | (anonymous) 0xa150…14e6 | Up | BUY | 500 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x4dd1c9… |
| 10-04 15:54:10 | (anonymous) 0x355d…1c50 | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xf85884… |
| 10-04 15:54:10 | Jealous-Spill-Terrarium 0xec4c…c9d8 | Up | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7929e5… |
| 10-04 15:54:08 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfe2ad7… |
| 10-04 15:54:08 | (anonymous) 0xd855…a182 | Up | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa9e11a… |
| 10-04 15:54:08 | Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Down | BUY | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0xa1c681… |
| 10-04 15:54:08 | (anonymous) 0xd855…a182 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb2edde… |
| 10-04 15:54:08 | (anonymous) 0xddf1…5ccb | Up | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb11640… |
| 10-04 15:54:08 | (anonymous) 0x9e88…a71d | Up | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf2d842… |
| 10-04 15:54:08 | (anonymous) 0x355d…1c50 | Down | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x1aefc7… |
| 10-04 15:54:08 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1aefc7… |
| 10-04 15:54:08 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcc68a4… |
| 10-04 15:54:08 | (anonymous) 0x8d3d…db44 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x75a62b… |
| 10-04 15:54:08 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 72 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x3db638… |
| 10-04 15:54:08 | Distorted-Subject 0xe844…d224 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xcc68a4… |
| 10-04 15:54:08 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xa1c681… |
| 10-04 15:54:08 | (anonymous) 0xd855…a182 | Up | BUY | 102 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x8455b3… |
| 10-04 15:54:08 | Untidy-Lane 0x0f0d…b27d | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xeaab99… |
| 10-04 15:54:08 | (anonymous) 0x4a3e…3319 | Down | BUY | 189 | 99¢ | $187 | 0xb11640… |
| 10-04 15:54:08 | (anonymous) 0xaa12…6734 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb2edde… |
| 10-04 15:54:08 | (anonymous) 0x7c54…6c48 | Up | BUY | 93 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x8455b3… |
| 10-04 15:54:08 | (anonymous) 0x355d…1c50 | Down | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xaedc9e… |
| 10-04 15:54:08 | (anonymous) 0xd855…a182 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xeaab99… |
| 10-04 15:54:08 | (anonymous) 0xd855…a182 | Up | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaedc9e… |
| 10-04 15:54:08 | (anonymous) 0x85d4…3e9c | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xfe2ad7… |
| 10-04 15:54:08 | (anonymous) 0x8d3d…db44 | Up | BUY | 148 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xb11640… |
| 10-04 15:54:08 | (anonymous) 0x1ed7…364c | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xa9e11a… |
| 10-04 15:54:08 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 16 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb11640… |
| 10-04 15:54:08 | (anonymous) 0xa7cf…7768 | Up | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8455b3… |
| 10-04 15:54:08 | (anonymous) 0x8d3d…db44 | Up | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf2d842… |
| 10-04 15:54:08 | (anonymous) 0xdedb…2529 | Down | BUY | 72 | 99¢ | $71 | 0x3db638… |
| 10-04 15:54:08 | (anonymous) 0x2d0a…b542 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x75a62b… |
| 10-04 15:54:08 | Dutiful-Psychologist 0x5f6d…976f | Down | BUY | 225 | 99¢ | $223 | 0x8455b3… |
| 10-04 15:54:07 | Lasting-Oeuvre 0xd948…e777 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x7c8067… |
| 10-04 15:54:07 | (anonymous) 0x97cd…9fa5 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xbfcb96… |
| 10-04 15:54:07 | (anonymous) 0xab91…deed | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xef26d4… |
| 10-04 15:54:07 | (anonymous) 0xbdb0…87bc | Up | BUY | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x83cef8… |
| 10-04 15:54:07 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8cbc6e… |
| 10-04 15:54:07 | Trusting-Surface 0x109c…9cc4 | Down | BUY | 150 | 99¢ | $148 | 0xa3a4a1… |
| 10-04 15:54:07 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xef26d4… |
| 10-04 15:54:07 | (anonymous) 0x2a81…a8fc | Down | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x8ff704… |
| 10-04 15:54:07 | Untidy-Lane 0x0f0d…b27d | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x7bd74e… |
| 10-04 15:54:07 | (anonymous) 0x4239…9f86 | Up | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x83cef8… |