Tidy-Jumbo — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$460

Unrealized P&L

+$98

Hit rate

37.8%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

2,158 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$2.04M lifetime

Avg / trade

$946

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 09-11 13:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 94 days

Categories

Politics

80% 81% +$400

Other

17% 70% +$5,854

Sports

2% 50% -$10,108

Tech

0% 100% +$67

Crypto

0% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	+0	-$162	97¢	$0	+$162	07-16 18:26
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+0	-$10	96¢	$0	+$10	07-01 07:05
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	+0	$74	28¢	$0	-$74	08-31 03:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	44	$109.1K	56,334	56,334	+0	No	+$1,176	03-19 18:58
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	18	$92.6K	47,232	47,232	+0	No	+$1,653	04-01 02:18
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	18	$72.8K	37,232	37,232	+0	No	+$1,340	03-15 13:12
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	70	$64.5K	35,850	35,850	+0	Yes	+$6,959	03-11 07:41
will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026	17	$61.7K	31,037	31,037	+0	Yes	+$218	03-04 23:02
us forces enter iran by march 3 882 999	24	$61.2K	30,788	30,788	+0	No	+$303	03-04 04:55
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	28	$58.6K	29,963	29,963	+0	Yes	+$180	03-01 01:30
iran strike on israel by february 28	18	$57.5K	29,479	29,479	+0	Yes	+$942	02-28 21:23
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	17	$55.1K	37,619	37,619	+0	Yes	-$18,899	04-08 07:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	110	$53.7K	38,471	38,471	+0	No	+$716	05-29 01:18
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	8	$53.1K	26,990	26,890	+100	No	+$653	02-28 06:51
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	26	$49.2K	25,003	25,003	+0	No	+$688	02-25 02:31
us forces enter iran by march 7	57	$48.6K	26,098	32,708	-6,609	No	-$7,502	03-05 06:58
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	22	$44.6K	22,613	22,613	+0	No	+$499	02-23 03:50
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	4	$43.8K	22,091	22,091	-0	No	+$309	02-22 03:37
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	51	$43.7K	22,099	22,099	+0	No	+$313	02-24 01:31
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	17	$41.7K	22,040	22,040	+0	No	+$966	04-25 14:33
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	9	$40.9K	20,565	20,565	+0	No	+$82	04-24 12:12
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	17	$40.4K	20,366	20,366	+0	No	+$168	04-24 23:21
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	15	$40.1K	20,442	20,442	+0	No	+$756	04-24 04:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	38	$39.2K	27,164	27,164	+0	No	+$387	04-22 18:39
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	17	$34.4K	21,000	21,000	+0	open	—	08-25 17:22
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	13	$33.2K	17,160	17,160	+0	No	+$134	03-15 16:09
will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	30	$29.4K	30,329	0	+30,329	Yes	+$935	03-01 07:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	16	$28.4K	14,732	14,732	+0	No	+$1,082	05-23 04:03
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	5	$27.9K	14,274	14,274	+0	No	+$574	05-01 03:55
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$26.6K	27,990	0	+27,990	Yes	+$1,407	02-28 06:55
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	10	$26.2K	13,230	13,230	+0	Yes	+$185	05-23 15:19
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$26.1K	13,591	13,591	+0	No	+$440	03-31 05:43
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	1	$24.9K	25,859	0	+25,859	No	+$931	02-25 02:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-11 13:20:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4,637	18¢	$835	0x7171d3…
08-31 03:42:57	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	230	14¢	$32	0x49732d…
08-31 03:32:49	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	116	14¢	$16	0xb9027a…
08-31 03:30:31	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	184	14¢	$26	0xa1f3a4…
08-31 03:30:16	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x44c2ba…
08-29 08:55:12	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x845598…
08-29 08:55:10	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x58217b…
08-28 23:21:48	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	417	22¢	$92	0xbecea2…
08-28 20:05:52	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xd9affb…
08-28 14:43:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	17	56¢	$10	0x713a43…
08-28 14:42:54	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xdc0ade…
08-28 14:42:49	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	13	22¢	$3	0x0bb5a8…
08-28 14:41:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$6	0x7ada45…
08-25 17:22:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	13,500	84¢	$11,340	0x2859e3…
08-25 02:58:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,620	65¢	$3,003	0x052d1d…
08-10 11:51:27	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	4,406	88¢	$3,877	0x639c36…
08-09 09:34:52	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	470	73¢	$342	0xb7281e…
08-08 21:57:13	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	38	73¢	$27	0x22ea37…
08-08 19:41:30	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	33	73¢	$24	0x3694a9…
08-08 15:50:07	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	19	73¢	$14	0xc8f55e…
08-08 15:34:06	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	36	73¢	$26	0xd4e895…
08-08 15:19:28	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	51	73¢	$37	0x0b0609…
08-08 15:12:58	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0x9f5888…
08-08 15:11:27	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x068817…
08-08 11:47:18	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	13	73¢	$10	0x9f01ba…
08-08 09:52:21	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0x78ee1a…
08-07 18:52:00	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	75	73¢	$55	0x158f92…
08-07 18:31:45	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x0a1361…
08-07 17:54:55	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	21	73¢	$15	0xfbb52b…
08-07 08:42:24	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	137	73¢	$100	0xee65e4…
08-07 07:49:06	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	36	73¢	$26	0x92368a…
08-07 07:48:03	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	137	73¢	$100	0xe8c60a…
08-07 07:35:13	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	137	73¢	$100	0x8c890e…
08-07 07:32:00	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	137	73¢	$100	0xf7ba63…
08-07 07:08:21	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	137	73¢	$100	0x76c6ec…
08-07 06:35:58	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	137	73¢	$100	0x89aeb8…
08-06 23:11:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	2,000	13¢	$260	0x9a52d3…
08-06 18:14:14	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	24	73¢	$17	0x72ec20…
08-06 17:14:35	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	70	73¢	$51	0x373858…
08-06 00:57:29	Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x7f9973…
08-05 20:11:00	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	SELL	548	62¢	$340	0x6f5c09…
08-03 20:42:36	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	Yes	SELL	493	20¢	$99	0xb22fce…
08-01 04:07:02	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	Yes	SELL	327	20¢	$65	0x000946…
07-31 22:10:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	13,500	75¢	$10,125	0x86dc8c…
07-31 21:27:17	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	4,388	96¢	$4,212	0x84e685…
07-31 12:31:26	Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?	Yes	SELL	327	62¢	$203	0x908f09…
07-31 10:55:36	Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?	Yes	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0x4b1e66…
07-31 07:50:00	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	75	75¢	$57	0x2e1bec…
07-31 07:48:54	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	87	75¢	$65	0x948b73…
07-31 06:17:20	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	SELL	534	56¢	$297	0xc221de…
07-31 04:43:57	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x119984…
07-31 04:37:47	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x9a384c…
07-31 04:35:59	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xdc29e1…
07-31 04:26:15	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0xce79e8…
07-30 03:59:59	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x407524…
07-30 03:59:57	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	436	92¢	$403	0x12190c…
07-30 03:59:56	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	39	92¢	$36	0xa33b96…
07-30 02:48:53	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	1,000	92¢	$925	0x29320e…
07-21 14:46:09	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,134	25¢	$283	0xd1dee0…
07-20 21:21:42	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	830	82¢	$679	0xa405fb…
07-20 21:20:46	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x415243…
07-20 21:18:12	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x86935a…
07-20 21:17:48	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	75	82¢	$61	0xbaf7a4…
07-20 21:15:28	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	69	82¢	$56	0x67025d…
07-20 21:14:55	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x9e832b…
07-20 21:05:37	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xf0baab…
07-20 21:05:36	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	47	82¢	$39	0xe23260…
07-20 21:05:25	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x8379a4…
07-20 21:05:24	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x34ba79…
07-20 17:36:52	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0x541867…
07-20 15:23:06	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x973d41…
07-20 15:23:06	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x91fc51…
07-20 15:23:06	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x5e5aec…
07-20 15:23:06	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	41	64¢	$27	0x1e19e8…
07-20 15:23:06	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x0ae739…
07-20 15:23:03	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0x7cc398…
07-20 08:16:10	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	1,750	7¢	$123	0xf599e7…
07-20 00:49:16	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,062	98¢	$1,044	0x2d5c5c…
07-20 00:49:10	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	938	98¢	$922	0xf8cee1…
07-20 00:10:45	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x0e28a2…
07-20 00:10:40	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0xa75920…
07-20 00:10:31	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x34a5c5…
07-20 00:09:58	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xaeb867…
07-20 00:09:51	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	83	98¢	$82	0x240a9f…
07-20 00:09:33	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	198	98¢	$194	0x2be350…
07-20 00:08:25	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	236	98¢	$231	0x83d4cc…
07-20 00:08:15	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	517	98¢	$506	0xc92258…
07-20 00:07:54	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,581	98¢	$1,550	0xe425e9…
07-18 19:22:57	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xc8ab8d…
07-18 19:20:55	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	2,900	95¢	$2,758	0x5ac7ed…
07-18 14:54:13	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x278bf0…
07-18 14:43:46	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	156	97¢	$151	0x182946…
07-18 14:11:49	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	298	97¢	$288	0x588130…
07-18 14:10:25	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	246	97¢	$238	0x847e82…
07-18 13:48:52	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	236	97¢	$228	0xd4e1b1…
07-18 13:41:09	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	323	97¢	$313	0x1279a3…
07-18 13:38:36	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	59	97¢	$57	0x1dd61e…
07-18 13:10:12	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	1,674	97¢	$1,620	0x088cfd…
07-18 06:08:58	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	SELL	862	2¢	$14	0x3f322e…
07-18 03:23:30	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	BUY	400	91¢	$364	0x2b7f02…