Watchful-Proceedings — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$109

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 06-15 05:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

89% 50% +$31

Crypto

6% 40% $-38

Politics

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	3	$603	365	365	+0	open	—	05-15 15:51
fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 team total away 0pt5	2	$596	379	379	+0	open	—	06-12 19:27
fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 team total home 0pt5	1	$400	533	0	+533	open	—	06-12 19:42
fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 team total home 1pt5	2	$285	185	185	+0	open	—	06-14 21:43
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 team total home 2pt5	1	$280	433	0	+433	open	—	06-15 05:14
fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 team total away 1pt5	1	$250	347	0	+347	open	—	06-13 03:29
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$200	392	392	+0	open	—	03-01 17:12
fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 team total away 2pt5	1	$200	401	0	+401	open	—	06-13 08:57
fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	1	$152	338	0	+338	open	—	06-13 21:18
Games Total: O/U 2.5	2	$150	100	100	+0	Over	+$50	05-13 13:56
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	1	$142	0	591	-591	open	—	06-10 10:18
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	3	$140	200	0	+200	open	—	05-16 22:07
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$134	336	336	+0	open	—	03-08 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$100	105	0	+105	Up	+$5	05-12 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$100	111	0	+111	Down	+$11	05-12 20:37
dota2 pari navi 2026 03 08	2	$68	64	64	+0	open	—	03-08 15:31
dota2 pari navi 2026 03 08 game1	3	$55	214	69	+146	open	—	03-08 15:47
fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 goals dan ndoye gte1	1	$50	140	0	+140	open	—	06-13 13:05
fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 team total away 0pt5	1	$44	87	0	+87	open	—	06-14 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$25	66	0	+66	Up	$-25	05-12 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$25	45	0	+45	Up	$-25	05-12 20:52
fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 team total home 2pt5	1	$21	0	108	-108	open	—	06-14 21:43
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	1	$19	85	0	+85	Natus Vincere	$-19	05-13 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$5	50	0	+50	Down	$-5	05-12 20:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 05:14:12	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	433	65¢	$280	0xbab830…
06-14 21:43:25	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 team total home 1pt5	Over	SELL	185	100¢	$185	0x8ab082…
06-14 21:43:21	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 team total home 2pt5	Over	SELL	108	19¢	$21	0xd843f3…
06-14 21:20:37	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x0e114b…
06-14 05:29:24	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	87	50¢	$44	0x351288…
06-13 21:18:12	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	338	45¢	$152	0xf2f7f5…
06-13 13:05:36	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 goals dan ndoye gte1	Yes	BUY	140	36¢	$50	0x4fa4fd…
06-13 08:57:33	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	401	50¢	$200	0x58ba71…
06-13 03:29:22	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	347	72¢	$250	0x8dbbed…
06-12 19:42:45	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	533	75¢	$400	0x4b5a4a…
06-12 19:27:27	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 team total away 0pt5	Over	SELL	379	99¢	$376	0xf0bcb3…
06-12 16:25:31	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	379	58¢	$220	0x10bcef…
06-10 10:18:27	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	591	24¢	$142	0xccf03b…
05-16 22:07:31	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x81303f…
05-16 22:07:12	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x643a26…
05-15 17:59:14	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xce2fe3…
05-15 15:51:53	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	365	89¢	$325	0xf05873…
05-13 14:23:20	Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	85	22¢	$19	0x4d1d76…
05-13 14:07:28	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	141	70¢	$99	0x2dcf34…
05-13 13:56:44	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xf45344…
05-13 09:53:08	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	224	80¢	$179	0x9378da…
05-13 09:21:36	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xd67301…
05-12 21:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x176f0d…
05-12 20:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xb858b3…
05-12 20:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x40c6e1…
05-12 20:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x239663…
05-12 20:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xc0815a…
03-08 15:47:39	dota2 pari navi 2026 03 08 game1	Natus Vincere	BUY	146	8¢	$11	0x4ed997…
03-08 15:46:05	dota2 pari navi 2026 03 08 game1	Natus Vincere	SELL	69	16¢	$11	0x069a88…
03-08 15:37:19	dota2 pari navi 2026 03 08 game1	Natus Vincere	BUY	69	48¢	$33	0xbe0432…
03-08 15:31:11	dota2 pari navi 2026 03 08	Natus Vincere	SELL	64	51¢	$33	0x94d20b…
03-08 15:04:45	dota2 pari navi 2026 03 08	Natus Vincere	BUY	64	54¢	$35	0xb91e11…
03-08 15:02:17	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	336	10¢	$34	0xbc45fc…
03-01 17:12:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	392	0¢	$0	0x1fedb0…
02-28 16:37:23	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	101	50¢	$50	0x3f85aa…
02-28 16:35:47	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	336	30¢	$100	0xf36fbe…
02-28 16:35:05	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	291	51¢	$150	0x1776ed…