Difficult-Infancy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$245

Unrealized P&L

+$14

Hit rate

56.3%

Resolved

502

Trades

2,139

lifetime

Volume

$4.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-24

last 05-30 04:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 49% -$189

Other

2% 0% -$56

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-30).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes		-342	-$20	2¢	$-7	+$14	05-04 17:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	18	$62	130	0	+130	Down	-$25	05-08 02:55
afc u23 final china vs japan	6	$56	9,671	0	+9,671	Japan	-$56	01-24 16:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	17	$36	78	0	+78	Up	+$3	05-14 18:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	7	$35	78	0	+78	Up	+$4	05-14 18:20
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	18	$35	76	0	+76	Up	+$2	05-14 18:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	11	$35	99	0	+99	Down	-$3	05-30 03:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	10	$31	68	0	+68	Up	+$3	05-14 18:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	16	$30	61	0	+61	Down	-$1	05-08 05:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	9	$26	56	0	+56	Up	+$8	05-14 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	6	$25	59	0	+59	Down	-$6	05-29 09:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	6	$25	49	0	+49	Up	+$5	05-29 09:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	9	$25	54	0	+54	Up	-$2	05-30 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	8	$23	58	0	+58	Down	+$6	05-14 13:31
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	8	$23	58	0	+58	Down	+$6	05-14 13:33
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	8	$23	52	0	+52	Down	-$5	05-14 18:00
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	7	$22	47	0	+47	Up	+$2	05-14 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	7	$21	55	0	+55	Down	+$6	05-14 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	7	$21	46	0	+46	Up	+$2	05-15 00:11
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	6	$21	46	0	+46	Down	+$2	05-15 01:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	15	$21	60	0	+60	Up	+$9	05-14 07:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	11	$21	47	0	+47	Up	+$3	05-14 17:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	12	$21	39	3	+36	Down	+$7	05-08 06:45
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$20	0	342	-342	open	—	05-04 17:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	8	$20	47	0	+47	Up	+$4	05-14 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	6	$20	44	0	+44	Up	-$1	05-29 09:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	8	$20	46	0	+46	Up	+$3	05-15 01:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	10	$20	50	0	+50	Up	+$5	05-14 13:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	12	$19	49	0	+49	Up	+$5	05-14 14:00
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	12	$19	49	0	+49	Up	+$5	05-14 14:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	14	$19	49	0	+49	Up	+$5	05-14 14:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 04:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xdfbc55…
05-30 04:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x0d4817…
05-30 04:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x6f9a96…
05-30 04:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x5da7d0…
05-30 04:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x46d7f2…
05-30 04:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6b5000…
05-30 04:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x475110…
05-30 04:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x061553…
05-30 04:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x8cb5b7…
05-30 04:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x851cc6…
05-30 04:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x39b671…
05-30 04:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0x36a871…
05-30 04:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x283d64…
05-30 04:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x1f698b…
05-30 04:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	35¢	$1	0xfd36b7…
05-30 04:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	35¢	$4	0xd22eed…
05-30 04:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x7dc7e5…
05-30 03:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0xacd44b…
05-30 03:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xa11cdf…
05-30 03:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x9688aa…
05-30 03:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0xebc1cb…
05-30 03:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x88bd65…
05-30 03:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x625cab…
05-30 03:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xc37f90…
05-30 03:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x06bdaa…
05-30 03:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x1fa703…
05-30 03:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x70dda4…
05-30 03:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xf9f808…
05-29 10:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xe81eca…
05-29 10:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x999700…
05-29 10:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xb4a549…
05-29 10:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0x5c7a49…
05-29 10:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x4315d7…
05-29 09:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0xbb7744…
05-29 09:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x06a6d7…
05-29 09:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xf7e9e7…
05-29 09:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x83a56a…
05-29 09:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	35¢	$4	0xc5a32b…
05-29 09:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x527d9f…
05-29 09:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa1a1f4…
05-29 09:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xc44e75…
05-29 09:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xbcbd08…
05-29 09:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x723094…
05-29 09:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x69e2bd…
05-29 09:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0xbe9236…
05-29 09:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xab1b2f…
05-29 09:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xe71a5e…
05-29 09:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x6ac7b7…
05-29 09:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x3f2ba1…
05-29 09:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	38¢	$1	0xaff407…
05-29 09:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	38¢	$4	0x91a689…
05-29 09:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0xf5863b…
05-29 09:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xefb641…
05-29 09:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4f7ff6…
05-29 04:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xc28ff5…
05-29 04:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xba0aa8…
05-29 04:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x335795…
05-29 03:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x531dc6…
05-29 03:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x634723…
05-28 03:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x0b1c83…
05-28 03:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x48b5d3…
05-28 03:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xf98888…
05-27 07:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	71¢	$9	0x072cef…
05-27 07:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x3fcdef…
05-27 07:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x45fa25…
05-27 07:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf00103…
05-27 07:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x23188a…
05-27 06:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0x084645…
05-27 06:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xe1a40f…
05-25 09:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x755a67…
05-25 09:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xc7e7a6…
05-25 09:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xb4a460…
05-25 09:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4b6fc2…
05-25 09:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3a3381…
05-25 09:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x7c76b2…
05-25 09:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcae967…
05-25 09:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xa8b471…
05-25 09:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa63f8b…
05-25 08:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	63¢	$5	0x9c5f6e…
05-25 08:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x755f74…
05-25 04:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x5f2993…
05-25 04:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x959840…
05-25 03:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x10a78f…
05-25 03:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xbeb128…
05-25 03:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x9edb83…
05-25 02:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x24be76…
05-25 02:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf2f7b1…
05-25 02:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0xd0dfe4…
05-15 03:40:22	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x171f60…
05-15 03:40:18	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xdd2b42…
05-15 03:40:18	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x378bbf…
05-15 03:40:16	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xfd42a4…
05-15 03:40:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf1a161…
05-15 03:40:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x935acd…
05-15 03:40:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x3799ff…
05-15 03:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xc2221e…
05-15 03:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x58468b…
05-15 03:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xdc1fc6…
05-15 03:30:39	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xb90ea0…
05-15 03:30:39	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x5bc269…