Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$1.17K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

6.8%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

94 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$2.20K

$2.20K lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-26

last 11-05 15:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

46% 0% -$886

Crypto

28% 10% -$79

Politics

25% 0% -$204

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	3	$217	368	368	+0	open	—	10-31 14:46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$193	2,744	1,372	+1,372	Yes	-$61	10-28 16:59
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	2	$136	769	769	+0	open	—	11-05 15:57
Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	3	$120	1,974	0	+1,974	Yes	-$120	10-28 17:42
Will Warsh say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during October Press Conference?	1	$111	302	0	+302	Yes	-$111	10-28 18:18
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	2	$110	532	0	+532	No	-$110	10-28 05:53
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$107	688	0	+688	No	-$107	10-26 21:52
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" or "Kamala" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	1	$91	206	0	+206	No	-$91	10-28 22:40
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$80	1,311	0	+1,311	No	-$80	10-26 22:13
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	3	$72	1,993	0	+1,993	No	-$72	10-28 22:39
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	3	$66	377	0	+377	Down	+$311	10-28 17:12
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during October Press Conference?	2	$50	956	0	+956	No	-$50	10-28 17:00
Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during October Press Conference?	1	$50	174	0	+174	No	-$50	10-28 17:11
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	1	$50	238	0	+238	No	-$50	10-28 22:38
Will Warsh say "Gold" or "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during October Press Conference?	2	$50	223	0	+223	No	-$50	10-28 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$50	350	0	+350	Up	-$50	10-28 16:33
Will no statement by Warsh happen during October Press Conference?	2	$40	768	0	+768	No	-$40	10-28 17:08
Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	1	$40	187	0	+187	Yes	-$40	10-28 22:38
Will Warsh say "Good Question" during October Press Conference?	1	$39	98	0	+98	Yes	-$39	10-28 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	3	$38	15,826	0	+15,826	Down	-$38	10-28 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$30	98	0	+98	Up	-$30	10-30 22:27
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$30	105	0	+105	Up	-$30	10-30 22:30
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$30	557	0	+557	Down	-$30	10-30 22:39
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$25	54	0	+54	Up	+$29	10-28 16:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$25	54	0	+54	Up	+$29	10-28 16:45
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$25	138	0	+138	Up	-$25	10-31 00:41
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$25	95	0	+95	Down	-$25	10-31 00:37
Will Trump say "Lake America" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	1	$23	275	0	+275	No	-$23	10-28 16:36
Will Warsh say "Software" during October Press Conference?	1	$21	180	0	+180	No	-$21	10-28 14:15
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	1	$20	93	0	+93	Yes	-$20	10-28 05:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 15:57:15	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	769	5¢	$36	0x37c68a…
11-04 01:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4,402	0¢	$5	0x3cf0c4…
11-04 01:34:36	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0x8fa90e…
10-31 14:46:30	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	368	28¢	$103	0x9cc72f…
10-31 00:43:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x40372c…
10-31 00:41:45	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	138	18¢	$25	0xac3ce7…
10-31 00:37:06	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	95	26¢	$25	0x464be8…
10-31 00:31:45	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x5af183…
10-31 00:31:45	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x43a55c…
10-31 00:29:27	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x81cf9f…
10-31 00:29:16	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	96	5¢	$5	0xc96f1d…
10-31 00:29:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xb24278…
10-31 00:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xda532c…
10-31 00:28:37	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	84	6¢	$5	0x53e637…
10-31 00:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xf68050…
10-31 00:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xe60588…
10-31 00:27:30	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xb9c06e…
10-30 23:04:37	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x38e930…
10-30 23:04:12	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x688e33…
10-30 23:04:04	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	118	4¢	$5	0xba8344…
10-30 23:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xee79c8…
10-30 23:03:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	96	5¢	$5	0x15e0a7…
10-30 23:03:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	129	4¢	$5	0xe928b5…
10-30 23:03:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xc6baff…
10-30 22:59:22	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	152	3¢	$5	0x8f597b…
10-30 22:58:19	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x591321…
10-30 22:58:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xb955b1…
10-30 22:58:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x8d0e73…
10-30 22:57:55	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x2b0383…
10-30 22:57:54	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0x29b214…
10-30 22:52:58	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0x8c44f2…
10-30 22:52:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	61	8¢	$5	0xe91318…
10-30 22:52:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x518606…
10-30 22:52:22	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x2fac7b…
10-30 22:49:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	86	6¢	$5	0x823cd0…
10-30 22:49:33	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	129	4¢	$5	0x398e60…
10-30 22:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x88a9ca…
10-30 22:49:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x3c6489…
10-30 22:49:01	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	243	2¢	$5	0x7f95a1…
10-30 22:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xa37d07…
10-30 22:48:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x6df40c…
10-30 22:47:48	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	68	7¢	$5	0xcda8a6…
10-30 22:44:28	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xe5828c…
10-30 22:44:24	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x05b2be…
10-30 22:44:19	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0x140917…
10-30 22:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xa42c6c…
10-30 22:44:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x978320…
10-30 22:39:24	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x4c33e7…
10-30 22:36:57	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xe6d7e6…
10-30 22:30:51	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x869e03…
10-30 22:30:46	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	88	28¢	$25	0x657624…
10-30 22:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x8c182a…
10-30 22:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x46d325…
10-29 01:08:35	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	355	31¢	$110	0x894fee…
10-28 22:40:47	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" or "Kamala" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	206	44¢	$91	0x15969f…
10-28 22:39:37	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	1,065	4¢	$40	0xdaaf34…
10-28 22:38:55	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	187	21¢	$40	0x0678af…
10-28 22:38:31	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0x7f5d63…
10-28 18:18:20	Will Warsh say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	302	37¢	$111	0x87dc92…
10-28 17:42:13	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	1,608	6¢	$100	0x3a135e…
10-28 17:12:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0xecade0…
10-28 17:12:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	155	16¢	$25	0xc7a96b…
10-28 17:12:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	90	18¢	$16	0x024a0c…
10-28 17:11:56	Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	174	29¢	$50	0xea580e…
10-28 17:08:35	Will no statement by Warsh happen during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0x513c88…
10-28 17:00:31	Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	609	5¢	$30	0x589c4e…
10-28 16:59:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,372	5¢	$66	0x5acf99…
10-28 16:51:59	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	54	47¢	$25	0xe81592…
10-28 16:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	54	47¢	$25	0x1ab829…
10-28 16:36:56	Will Trump say "Lake America" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	275	8¢	$23	0xfc212a…
10-28 16:36:37	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	575	3¢	$20	0xb41707…
10-28 16:36:22	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	353	3¢	$12	0x23a651…
10-28 16:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	144	17¢	$25	0xdbfc6d…
10-28 16:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	206	12¢	$25	0xc9c703…
10-28 14:15:41	Will Warsh say "Software" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	180	12¢	$21	0xdd56fe…
10-28 14:15:17	Will Warsh say "Oversight" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	52	39¢	$20	0x6121cb…
10-28 14:14:19	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	170	6¢	$10	0x765bea…
10-28 14:13:17	Will Warsh say "Gold" or "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	122	25¢	$30	0x262fb0…
10-28 14:12:23	Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	347	6¢	$20	0x76b3c5…
10-28 14:12:04	Will no statement by Warsh happen during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	657	2¢	$10	0xf5d2d2…
10-28 14:09:05	Will Warsh say "Good Question" during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	98	40¢	$39	0x9b4410…
10-28 14:06:59	Will Warsh say "Gold" or "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xf3e2aa…
10-28 14:05:56	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	197	5¢	$10	0x48be84…
10-28 05:56:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,426	5¢	$67	0xb67cb7…
10-28 05:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3,487	0¢	$3	0xb7fd72…
10-28 05:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6,998	0¢	$13	0xb5e03d…
10-28 05:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5,341	0¢	$22	0x5d6079…
10-28 05:53:50	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	93	21¢	$20	0x8919eb…
10-28 05:53:40	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	287	21¢	$60	0x007f1c…
10-28 05:46:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,318	5¢	$60	0xbbe772…
10-28 05:37:50	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	244	20¢	$50	0xb5b923…
10-26 22:14:15	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$6	0x990e91…
10-26 22:13:51	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,311	6¢	$80	0x933e9d…
10-26 21:52:42	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	688	16¢	$107	0x804260…