Incredible-Economics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

269

lifetime

Volume

$12.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 05-22 01:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

59% — —

Politics

37% 0% $-18

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trn cm t be the next president of vietnam	8	$660	335	335	+0	open	—	03-20 10:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	6	$606	314	314	+0	open	—	05-09 17:44
will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	4	$475	246	246	+0	open	—	04-04 22:57
will shane lowry win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$470	238	238	+0	open	—	04-07 14:34
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$465	442	442	+0	open	—	03-25 09:48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	7	$440	344	344	+0	No	$-1	05-02 00:54
Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	4	$435	220	220	+0	open	—	04-22 17:12
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$422	246	246	+0	open	—	04-12 19:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	6	$416	213	213	+0	No	$-1	05-08 12:29
Iran leadership change by April 30?	6	$392	205	205	+0	open	—	04-25 23:50
will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	7	$265	348	348	+0	open	—	04-13 11:24
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	2	$264	133	133	+0	open	—	03-26 10:23
will gold gc hit high 5400 by end of march	2	$260	132	132	+0	open	—	03-25 18:31
will jason day win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$249	234	234	+0	open	—	04-08 07:32
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$249	317	317	+0	open	—	04-11 18:18
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	4	$248	126	126	+0	open	—	03-30 23:48
will any eu country strike iran by march 31	3	$235	119	119	+0	open	—	03-28 20:01
military action against iran ends on march 29 2026	3	$234	120	120	+0	open	—	03-27 09:14
will solana dip to 70 in march 2026	2	$233	125	125	+0	open	—	03-26 21:59
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	12	$232	364	364	+0	open	—	04-03 21:33
will sam burns win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$228	121	121	+0	open	—	04-10 19:00
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 180 199	3	$227	116	116	+0	open	—	03-31 12:25
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	3	$225	117	117	+0	open	—	04-02 06:00
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	3	$224	116	116	+0	open	—	03-24 18:19
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$223	116	116	+0	open	—	04-05 06:12
will nicolai hojgaard win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$223	113	113	+0	open	—	04-04 08:59
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	5	$223	226	226	+0	open	—	04-16 20:26
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	2	$220	116	116	+0	open	—	04-15 11:07
Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	2	$219	111	111	+0	open	—	04-20 05:51
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	4	$218	219	219	+0	open	—	04-25 03:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 01:34:57	Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?	Yes	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x5f649c…
05-19 19:22:31	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0xf85421…
05-19 19:22:31	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0xa5e579…
05-19 05:23:39	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	30	5¢	$1	0x2670c9…
05-18 22:27:09	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	83	5¢	$4	0x29397e…
05-13 10:59:43	Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	7¢	$3	0xe45c77…
05-13 10:59:43	Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x2bc98f…
05-12 15:56:27	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	115	95¢	$109	0xaeba3c…
05-12 13:39:41	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	115	95¢	$109	0x9d8d00…
05-12 01:38:29	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	282	3¢	$8	0xde3acf…
05-12 01:38:29	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	3¢	$1	0xd09129…
05-12 01:37:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	313	3¢	$9	0xe44217…
05-09 17:44:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xb79c54…
05-09 14:36:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x0f6458…
05-08 12:29:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0x945910…
05-08 12:29:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	52	97¢	$50	0x3bb3c6…
05-08 12:29:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0x397ccf…
05-08 10:16:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0xa3c77a…
05-08 08:57:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	112	98¢	$110	0xbc294f…
05-08 06:52:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	112	97¢	$109	0xe12a83…
05-07 23:14:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	102	97¢	$99	0x022fed…
05-07 19:38:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	102	96¢	$98	0x172ddd…
05-07 01:46:03	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	95	99¢	$94	0xcdd8ba…
05-07 01:46:03	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xaf6cef…
05-06 21:10:05	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	98	99¢	$97	0x24da60…
05-06 18:09:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	112	95¢	$106	0x8e5b54…
05-06 16:52:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	112	95¢	$106	0x8cf257…
05-05 11:00:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	110	97¢	$106	0x902f34…
05-05 08:55:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	110	96¢	$106	0xdec3b7…
05-04 02:08:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	264	6¢	$17	0xed9849…
05-03 14:57:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	4¢	$1	0x911bb3…
05-03 11:12:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0x4874dd…
05-03 04:37:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	124	4¢	$5	0x9936be…
05-03 02:23:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0xfaf00e…
05-03 02:23:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	4¢	$3	0x52ea18…
05-03 02:23:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0x499601…
05-02 00:54:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	86	94¢	$81	0x8cd83c…
05-02 00:54:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	27	94¢	$26	0xaa761f…
05-01 23:00:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	113	95¢	$107	0x69861e…
05-01 15:16:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	117	91¢	$107	0x38793c…
05-01 15:16:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	117	91¢	$107	0xb96534…
05-01 09:27:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	114	5¢	$6	0x014e77…
05-01 06:54:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	6¢	$6	0xc026c3…
04-30 22:05:28	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x828707…
04-30 22:05:28	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0x3af537…
04-30 18:04:00	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	1¢	$0	0xf3f849…
04-30 15:15:18	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	2¢	$1	0x1e53d8…
04-30 10:42:52	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	SELL	94	98¢	$93	0xeecf91…
04-30 10:42:52	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x281654…
04-30 07:47:30	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0xd1f94e…
04-30 07:47:30	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	BUY	67	98¢	$66	0x8bf862…
04-29 14:32:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	99	98¢	$97	0xc3c1a5…
04-29 10:07:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	99	97¢	$96	0x99d947…
04-27 20:30:24	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	SELL	195	2¢	$5	0xc815d6…
04-27 18:46:28	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	195	3¢	$6	0xcef054…
04-26 22:26:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0x023169…
04-26 22:26:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0x25efdf…
04-26 19:21:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	99	98¢	$97	0x4b5af6…
04-26 17:04:44	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	71	98¢	$69	0x246ba4…
04-26 15:10:08	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	71	98¢	$69	0x41b53e…
04-26 11:13:24	Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	1¢	$0	0x88e0d5…
04-26 11:13:24	Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	82	1¢	$1	0x6b66b2…
04-26 11:13:24	Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	201	1¢	$2	0x03c02a…
04-26 06:05:52	Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	328	1¢	$4	0x3f9b20…
04-25 23:50:12	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xd320a5…
04-25 23:50:12	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0xc1d8c3…
04-25 23:50:12	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	SELL	61	95¢	$58	0x631dc1…
04-25 20:56:32	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	102	96¢	$98	0xc5bc07…
04-25 03:54:38	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0xd159a3…
04-25 01:59:48	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0x34ce9f…
04-24 03:18:32	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	2¢	$1	0xf23c20…
04-24 03:17:54	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	2¢	$1	0x954b18…
04-24 00:22:44	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	2¢	$1	0xedc833…
04-24 00:22:44	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xc4c69d…
04-23 21:30:26	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0xec5917…
04-23 21:30:26	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0x30728d…
04-23 17:07:00	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x827f05…
04-23 17:06:58	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0x12e34b…
04-23 10:32:22	Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	4¢	$5	0x475f2b…
04-23 10:32:22	Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	4¢	$1	0x12f95a…
04-23 08:35:32	Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	153	6¢	$9	0x32f4a9…
04-23 07:59:22	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	SELL	186	8¢	$15	0x28407e…
04-23 03:16:08	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	186	6¢	$12	0x964ca8…
04-22 19:52:16	Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	6¢	$3	0x805800…
04-22 19:52:16	Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	107	6¢	$6	0x6e4dcf…
04-22 17:15:26	Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	6¢	$9	0xec0351…
04-22 17:12:08	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	110	99¢	$109	0x205aef…
04-22 14:39:18	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x9257f9…
04-22 08:07:32	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	110	99¢	$109	0x38ba3c…
04-22 07:04:48	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xba3628…
04-21 16:44:02	Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	186	1¢	$2	0x21c567…
04-21 15:15:12	Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	186	1¢	$2	0x904d68…
04-21 14:02:56	Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	125	87¢	$109	0x192592…
04-21 11:32:12	Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	125	87¢	$109	0x1ebec7…
04-21 02:48:36	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	110	1¢	$1	0x43bd8d…
04-21 00:51:46	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x378f0c…
04-20 20:18:20	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	SELL	103	96¢	$99	0xd74c77…
04-20 18:09:10	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	103	96¢	$99	0x42671a…
04-20 16:40:34	Will Iran strike Georgia by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	1¢	$1	0x78c207…
04-20 16:40:32	Will Iran strike Georgia by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	85	1¢	$1	0x3ed095…