Frail-Heritage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

154

lifetime

Volume

$13.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$89

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 06-09 19:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

44% 0% $-1

Other

31% 0% $-1

Crypto

14% — —

Politics

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	12	$1.5K	756	756	+0	No	$-1	03-29 04:25
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	6	$873	449	449	+0	open	—	03-23 04:49
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$598	308	308	+0	open	—	03-26 10:08
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	6	$595	312	312	-0	open	—	03-08 02:44
Netanyahu out by April 30?	6	$543	283	283	+0	open	—	03-27 08:45
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	6	$508	263	263	+0	open	—	04-20 16:46
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$380	197	197	+0	open	—	03-30 23:30
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	3	$323	174	174	+0	open	—	03-04 07:35
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	5	$319	165	165	+0	open	—	03-06 01:39
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$317	170	170	+0	open	—	03-04 14:04
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	6	$314	170	170	+0	open	—	03-07 02:21
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	2	$311	165	165	+0	open	—	03-06 13:04
will crude oil cl hit low 55 by end of march 636 962 469 326 685 977 449 282 342 385 842	3	$309	158	158	+0	open	—	03-11 09:06
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	5	$307	164	164	+0	open	—	03-07 09:24
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$305	156	156	+0	open	—	03-12 01:44
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	5	$301	155	155	+0	open	—	03-07 21:40
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$300	160	160	+0	open	—	03-08 16:54
will atltico madrid reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	2	$300	156	156	+0	open	—	03-15 22:25
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	8	$298	155	155	+0	open	—	03-18 07:06
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$298	159	159	+0	open	—	03-06 06:58
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	4	$298	157	157	-0	open	—	03-06 21:11
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	6	$296	155	155	+0	open	—	03-18 21:33
will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$295	156	156	+0	open	—	03-10 12:08
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$294	151	151	+0	open	—	03-21 15:23
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	4	$294	153	153	+0	open	—	03-13 19:21
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$290	149	149	+0	open	—	03-25 17:56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$287	147	147	+0	open	—	03-21 07:34
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$284	147	147	+0	open	—	03-17 00:32
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$271	143	143	+0	Yes	$-1	03-28 07:22
will brooks koepka win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$268	138	138	+0	open	—	03-22 22:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 03:08:46	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	47	96¢	$45	0x9f1062…
06-09 19:05:28	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$45	0x90008c…
06-06 23:33:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	41	93¢	$38	0xe9364a…
06-06 18:32:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	41	93¢	$38	0x6cd0d7…
06-06 03:55:10	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	41	94¢	$38	0x0a1e42…
06-05 21:51:34	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	95¢	$38	0xcc06e8…
06-05 04:25:43	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	SELL	47	94¢	$44	0x5b3365…
06-04 21:21:48	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	BUY	47	94¢	$44	0xba5fbe…
06-04 12:09:10	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	SELL	72	90¢	$65	0xdb2f48…
06-04 07:05:07	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	BUY	72	94¢	$67	0x15bf9a…
06-03 08:40:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	55	97¢	$54	0x713297…
06-03 02:37:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$54	0xaf5cb7…
06-02 17:48:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?	No	SELL	51	94¢	$48	0xeab39b…
06-02 10:46:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x67a140…
05-28 22:16:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	53	97¢	$51	0x596ba6…
05-28 14:12:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	53	97¢	$52	0x1f9f7d…
05-22 12:25:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x27e945…
05-22 07:11:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x6f82c4…
04-24 22:18:38	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	132	95¢	$126	0x3bd710…
04-24 16:24:58	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x1b1736…
04-24 16:17:20	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	32	95¢	$31	0xf06a08…
04-21 09:38:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x6a7c04…
04-21 01:44:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xbe9f08…
04-20 16:46:42	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	62	97¢	$60	0xde8916…
04-20 08:40:38	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x4b6fff…
04-11 23:06:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	SELL	45	96¢	$44	0x017cf2…
04-11 16:57:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	45	96¢	$44	0x6a554b…
04-10 04:04:21	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	48	98¢	$47	0x2912c5…
04-09 20:50:55	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x32db08…
04-09 05:56:37	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	55	97¢	$53	0xa84bde…
04-08 23:34:47	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0x7e036c…
03-31 15:49:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	55	97¢	$53	0xeb20c1…
03-31 07:30:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	55	98¢	$53	0x326dc0…
03-31 06:39:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	65	97¢	$64	0xe7b701…
03-31 00:50:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	65	98¢	$64	0xdddabc…
03-30 23:30:23	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	48	97¢	$46	0x27f431…
03-30 18:27:19	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	48	97¢	$46	0x9b3538…
03-29 04:25:34	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	133	97¢	$129	0x36f121…
03-28 23:15:52	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	133	97¢	$129	0x239bea…
03-28 07:22:21	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	143	95¢	$135	0xa4d203…
03-28 01:23:01	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	43	95¢	$41	0xc3d6b6…
03-28 01:10:11	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x0b5a52…
03-27 08:45:57	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	142	96¢	$137	0x4096c8…
03-27 03:01:11	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	142	97¢	$137	0x3e8911…
03-27 02:14:17	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	147	97¢	$142	0x0bb3db…
03-26 21:03:13	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	147	97¢	$142	0x9e1bce…
03-26 18:32:45	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	146	96¢	$140	0xfacdd8…
03-26 10:37:59	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	146	97¢	$141	0x555bb0…
03-26 10:08:55	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	141	98¢	$137	0x86fac5…
03-26 05:55:03	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	141	98¢	$137	0x60be61…
03-25 17:56:43	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	149	97¢	$145	0x0aae1d…
03-25 08:47:21	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	149	98¢	$146	0x1095c1…
03-23 16:22:23	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	137	97¢	$133	0xebc90d…
03-23 05:59:53	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0x9aa1ea…
03-23 05:35:59	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x41ab73…
03-23 05:26:57	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	59	97¢	$57	0xdeaff1…
03-23 04:49:31	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	140	98¢	$137	0x6b9c06…
03-22 23:21:11	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	140	98¢	$137	0xc55acc…
03-22 22:32:33	will brooks koepka win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	138	97¢	$134	0x167e5c…
03-22 15:11:05	will brooks koepka win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	138	98¢	$134	0xcca595…
03-22 14:28:07	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	145	98¢	$142	0xa0c4c8…
03-22 10:21:07	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	145	98¢	$142	0x7ba706…
03-22 08:35:33	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	140	95¢	$134	0xb04667…
03-22 00:12:05	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	90	96¢	$86	0xc3b608…
03-22 00:10:13	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0xdd306a…
03-22 00:09:11	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xba930d…
03-21 15:23:53	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	151	97¢	$146	0xaaea5b…
03-21 09:07:49	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	151	98¢	$148	0xeb94fc…
03-21 07:34:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	147	97¢	$143	0x10a7b7…
03-21 03:30:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	147	97¢	$143	0x54a322…
03-21 02:31:15	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	149	96¢	$143	0x3d9fcb…
03-20 17:15:43	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	149	97¢	$144	0xa06a67…
03-18 21:33:19	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	155	95¢	$148	0x7d5e8c…
03-18 13:47:15	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x754ee9…
03-18 13:45:05	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x6d0774…
03-18 13:30:31	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	52	95¢	$50	0x1b913c…
03-18 13:24:39	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xdf9981…
03-18 13:11:29	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	64	95¢	$61	0x9fb3a3…
03-18 07:06:11	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	No	SELL	155	96¢	$149	0x89fc76…
03-17 23:25:07	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	No	BUY	78	96¢	$75	0xdbb279…
03-17 23:19:35	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	No	BUY	8	96¢	$7	0x4a719a…
03-17 23:18:21	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	No	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0x85bd84…
03-17 23:16:35	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	No	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0x29605c…
03-17 23:13:53	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x543901…
03-17 23:02:27	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	No	BUY	38	96¢	$37	0x06b695…
03-17 22:52:07	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x918ece…
03-17 00:32:11	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	147	97¢	$142	0x6fd6b2…
03-16 16:10:11	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	147	96¢	$142	0xf7900c…
03-15 22:25:59	will atltico madrid reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	Yes	SELL	156	95¢	$149	0x0285d7…
03-15 18:23:55	will atltico madrid reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	Yes	BUY	156	96¢	$151	0x53eef0…
03-14 21:48:11	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	161	95¢	$153	0x23981c…
03-14 16:43:43	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	161	95¢	$153	0xed0ce0…
03-13 19:21:55	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	SELL	153	95¢	$146	0xa8b59f…
03-13 13:15:49	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x45a805…
03-13 13:13:03	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	140	97¢	$135	0xe4e983…
03-13 13:01:13	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x5b7c3b…
03-12 17:19:15	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	163	96¢	$157	0x491629…
03-12 09:51:01	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	163	97¢	$158	0x8e1001…
03-12 01:44:35	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	156	99¢	$155	0x15d226…
03-11 17:22:05	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	156	97¢	$150	0x24e456…