Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$82

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

87.4%

Resolved

1,714

Trades

2,047

lifetime

Volume

$20.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-06-29

last 11-02 20:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 70% -$27

Politics

25% 95% +$77

Other

20% 82% -$48

Tech

2% 50% +$76

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 273 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes		+37	-$4	1¢	$0	+$5	10-14 12:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	6	$284	184	184	+0	Yes	-$10	07-25 06:24
Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026?	3	$174	111	104	+7	open	—	10-27 02:51
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$162	167	167	+0	Yes	+$82	07-27 18:25
Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 23?	4	$149	88	88	+0	Yes	+$9	10-23 16:02
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-01 House election by 18%-21%?	2	$144	86	86	+0	open	—	10-29 07:00
Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 18m?	2	$143	80	80	+0	No	+$3	10-22 08:13
Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?	2	$142	75	75	+0	No	+$2	10-29 15:36
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	2	$135	75	75	+0	Yes	+$2	10-14 12:48
Will Georgia be the closest Governor's race in 2026?	2	$134	83	83	+0	open	—	10-19 23:01
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	2	$129	77	77	+0	Yes	+$25	07-23 10:24
Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 16?	2	$126	74	74	+0	No	+$3	10-15 14:36
Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	2	$123	66	66	+0	Yes	+$3	10-28 10:56
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?	2	$122	74	74	+0	open	—	08-31 05:23
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	2	$117	64	64	+0	open	—	10-11 20:26
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	2	$116	64	64	+0	open	—	10-03 18:22
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	2	$112	68	68	+0	Yes	+$2	07-26 06:29
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	2	$111	83	83	+0	open	—	10-22 04:35
Will Garry Thind win the next Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	2	$111	92	92	+0	Yes	+$10	10-15 01:25
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-02 House election by 3%-6%?	2	$110	64	64	+0	open	—	10-14 13:26
Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	2	$109	68	68	+0	open	—	08-25 04:14
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 3%-6%?	2	$109	60	60	+0	open	—	10-21 06:05
jos luis rodrguez zapatero sentenced to prison	2	$107	60	60	+0	open	—	08-03 10:36
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	2	$105	62	62	+0	Yes	+$5	07-31 14:26
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?	2	$103	72	72	+0	open	—	10-28 12:53
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-01 House election by 9%-12%?	3	$103	60	60	+0	open	—	10-11 19:23
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-09 House election by 0%-3%?	2	$103	63	63	+0	open	—	10-26 23:46
Will Anna Kindy win the next North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	3	$101	71	71	+0	Yes	+$6	10-12 11:09
Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by November 30, 2026?	1	$100	141	0	+141	open	—	11-02 20:27
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?	1	$100	110	0	+110	open	—	11-02 16:29
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be 1,700,000 or more?	2	$100	55	55	+0	open	—	11-01 11:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 21:09:15	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x71493c…
11-02 21:09:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x883356…
11-02 21:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc4b3c9…
11-02 21:04:04	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xab6dba…
11-02 21:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0ae672…
11-02 20:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9bad4e…
11-02 20:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7ec765…
11-02 20:43:42	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x655df4…
11-02 20:39:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb25a11…
11-02 20:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6a4c9c…
11-02 20:38:31	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x88e3b6…
11-02 20:28:24	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x18f539…
11-02 20:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x374423…
11-02 20:27:01	Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xfc2717…
11-02 20:26:09	Israel military action against Iraq by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	127	62¢	$79	0xa178ca…
11-02 20:26:06	Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	69	54¢	$37	0x4c0b4b…
11-02 20:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x640b60…
11-02 20:23:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe7f088…
11-02 20:23:43	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdd7b47…
11-02 20:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3a450d…
11-02 20:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe9e6a6…
11-02 20:03:36	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5bce4a…
11-02 19:59:15	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7f7dc0…
11-02 19:59:07	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xce6ec2…
11-02 19:58:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5c198c…
11-02 19:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x587d7d…
11-02 19:49:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5ac261…
11-02 19:48:37	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa156fc…
11-02 19:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0d1989…
11-02 19:38:51	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2f3a29…
11-02 19:38:22	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbf2ef5…
11-02 19:33:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4c9103…
11-02 19:33:40	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc05226…
11-02 19:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xac403d…
11-02 19:28:27	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbaeddf…
11-02 19:28:24	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x362b8c…
11-02 19:08:57	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb4db1b…
11-02 19:08:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0f2e63…
11-02 19:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x69b65b…
11-02 19:03:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaef774…
11-02 18:53:36	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4bfb74…
11-02 18:48:36	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa2f7fb…
11-02 18:43:31	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x733143…
11-02 18:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf91b11…
11-02 18:13:34	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x78e50f…
11-02 18:08:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcc60c4…
11-02 18:04:21	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x45b9de…
11-02 18:03:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb5dd38…
11-02 18:03:48	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9b0595…
11-02 18:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x47963d…
11-02 17:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc8e88a…
11-02 17:43:24	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf150f1…
11-02 17:39:22	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xe860b7…
11-02 17:39:03	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x076473…
11-02 17:33:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8e5145…
11-02 17:33:54	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x11cc0c…
11-02 17:33:42	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfade71…
11-02 17:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x596272…
11-02 17:18:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcbbdd5…
11-02 17:14:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1caffe…
11-02 16:33:31	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb27985…
11-02 16:29:09	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?	Yes	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x7164c8…
11-02 16:28:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd63b41…
11-02 16:13:45	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1d4c30…
11-02 16:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6458a0…
11-02 16:09:10	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x15cd4a…
11-02 16:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe495e8…
11-02 16:03:36	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9b144b…
11-02 15:53:24	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x38f784…
11-02 15:53:24	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x192ee7…
11-02 15:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x329a1f…
11-02 15:48:24	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe774f7…
11-02 15:43:46	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8ca8a7…
11-02 15:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x165033…
11-02 15:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4d2491…
11-02 15:28:48	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x39c3b6…
11-02 15:28:48	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x26616f…
11-02 15:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb077e7…
11-02 15:18:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb9073d…
11-02 15:18:37	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x593c61…
11-02 15:13:25	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa68e48…
11-02 15:08:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcbb4d5…
11-02 15:08:46	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x864c63…
11-02 15:08:43	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x89d7af…
11-02 15:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x232292…
11-02 15:04:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x650af3…
11-02 14:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6e1c2b…
11-02 14:58:27	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$9	0x61c5e1…
11-02 14:54:16	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x22a168…
11-02 14:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9dc538…
11-02 14:49:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc6203b…
11-02 14:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf6f05c…
11-02 14:44:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4a0b26…
11-02 14:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe29345…
11-02 14:43:22	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x04c747…
11-02 14:38:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3f2d49…
11-02 14:03:55	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x60b4cd…
11-02 13:54:00	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfb68b3…
11-02 13:43:45	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4989e8…
11-02 13:33:54	Solana Up or Down - November 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x42de7a…