Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$56

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

82.2%

Resolved

1,250

Trades

1,572

lifetime

Volume

$15.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-06-29

last 10-31 22:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Crypto

42% 58% -$43

Politics

31% 94% +$73

Other

24% 81% -$53

Tech

2% 50% +$76

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 232 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No		+3	$2	100¢	$3	+$0	10-26 14:21
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes		+37	-$4	1¢	$0	+$5	10-14 12:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	6	$284	184	184	+0	Yes	-$10	07-25 06:24
Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026?	3	$174	111	104	+7	open	—	10-27 02:51
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$162	167	167	+0	Yes	+$82	07-27 18:25
Democratic Senate odds >66% on October 23?	4	$149	88	88	+0	Yes	+$9	10-23 16:02
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-01 House election by 18%-21%?	2	$144	86	86	+0	open	—	10-29 07:00
Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 18m?	2	$143	80	80	+0	No	+$3	10-22 08:13
Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?	2	$142	75	75	+0	open	—	10-29 15:36
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	2	$135	75	75	+0	Yes	+$2	10-14 12:48
Will Georgia be the closest Governor's race in 2026?	2	$134	83	83	+0	open	—	10-19 23:01
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	2	$129	77	77	+0	Yes	+$25	07-23 10:24
Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 16?	2	$126	74	74	+0	No	+$3	10-15 14:36
Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	2	$123	66	66	+0	open	—	10-28 10:56
us saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026 20260722230956508	2	$122	74	74	+0	open	—	08-31 05:23
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	2	$117	64	64	+0	open	—	10-11 20:26
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	2	$116	64	64	+0	open	—	10-03 18:22
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	2	$112	68	68	+0	Yes	+$2	07-26 06:29
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	2	$111	83	83	+0	open	—	10-22 04:35
Will Garry Thind win the next Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	2	$111	92	92	+0	Yes	+$10	10-15 01:25
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-02 House election by 3%-6%?	2	$110	64	64	+0	open	—	10-14 13:26
Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	2	$109	68	68	+0	open	—	08-25 04:14
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 3%-6%?	2	$109	60	60	+0	open	—	10-21 06:05
jos luis rodrguez zapatero sentenced to prison	2	$107	60	60	+0	open	—	08-03 10:36
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	2	$105	62	62	+0	Yes	+$5	07-31 14:26
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?	2	$103	72	72	+0	open	—	10-28 12:53
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-01 House election by 9%-12%?	3	$103	60	60	+0	open	—	10-11 19:23
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-09 House election by 0%-3%?	2	$103	63	63	+0	open	—	10-26 23:46
Will Anna Kindy win the next North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	3	$101	71	71	+0	Yes	+$6	10-12 11:09
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	2	$97	67	67	+0	open	—	10-23 04:09
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 3%-6%?	2	$95	57	57	+0	open	—	10-22 15:47
us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	2	$95	58	58	+0	No	+$5	07-27 06:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 23:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x55ad38…
10-31 22:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf31b95…
10-31 22:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x36074a…
10-31 22:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xcf32e8…
10-31 22:08:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x25a733…
10-31 22:08:42	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5aec05…
10-31 22:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x45a509…
10-31 21:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb0e71a…
10-31 21:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x02758b…
10-31 21:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x75c22c…
10-31 21:14:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xded50a…
10-31 21:08:58	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3b3dfb…
10-31 20:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb04994…
10-31 20:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc8431b…
10-31 20:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa1bfb9…
10-31 19:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x639e91…
10-31 19:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf1afe4…
10-31 19:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x64ed17…
10-31 19:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x95945a…
10-31 18:53:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf9a55a…
10-31 18:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x717cff…
10-31 18:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x23d236…
10-31 18:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2c1f27…
10-31 18:29:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdbd204…
10-31 17:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc03cfa…
10-31 17:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc20a43…
10-31 17:38:42	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe87beb…
10-31 17:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x07a5cb…
10-31 17:13:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x137117…
10-31 17:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x94b52f…
10-31 16:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x800cbd…
10-31 16:39:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x284e44…
10-31 16:28:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x42d703…
10-31 16:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa10d1d…
10-31 16:23:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xabad44…
10-31 16:03:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb77ed4…
10-31 15:43:25	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x76a0e4…
10-31 15:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5d7a81…
10-31 15:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0955b4…
10-31 15:28:39	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcb4e8d…
10-31 15:18:52	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x815545…
10-31 15:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa5915e…
10-31 15:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x12c9dc…
10-31 14:58:34	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x9f090c…
10-31 14:49:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf98ed2…
10-31 14:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc917a5…
10-31 14:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8156cd…
10-31 14:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xabfd7e…
10-31 14:28:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xf88550…
10-31 14:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x782bcb…
10-31 14:28:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1a0b41…
10-31 14:24:01	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x461d4b…
10-31 14:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4535d9…
10-31 14:09:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2883ee…
10-31 14:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf91691…
10-31 13:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x94e7d7…
10-31 13:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x24cee9…
10-31 13:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x919457…
10-31 13:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x406e61…
10-31 13:43:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe8e566…
10-31 13:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd3e8e3…
10-31 13:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x694501…
10-31 13:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa84c7a…
10-31 13:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9493cb…
10-31 13:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xca35dc…
10-31 13:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9b3536…
10-31 13:08:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaf62a9…
10-31 12:58:46	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x529f8e…
10-31 12:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x258926…
10-31 12:48:30	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x756721…
10-31 12:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf482ff…
10-31 12:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x05f14a…
10-31 12:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x58f8bb…
10-31 12:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcf9111…
10-31 12:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbb0e52…
10-31 12:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x081aed…
10-31 12:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x343717…
10-31 11:58:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x507dff…
10-31 11:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5afd89…
10-31 11:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xab1bf1…
10-31 11:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x44af86…
10-31 11:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x63a689…
10-31 11:18:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xdae52c…
10-31 11:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5a5833…
10-31 11:13:58	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x955f8e…
10-31 10:59:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x51db0e…
10-31 10:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4d6006…
10-31 10:43:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xae25ba…
10-31 10:38:46	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd57b8f…
10-31 10:33:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x13bb4c…
10-31 10:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcac2cb…
10-31 10:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6a1402…
10-31 10:18:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3da9df…
10-31 10:14:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xea2aab…
10-31 10:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x39b1be…
10-31 09:58:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd29b8e…
10-31 09:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5d1eb4…
10-31 09:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd5bdd7…
10-31 09:24:34	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x938e8e…
10-31 09:23:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf5733a…