Raw-Sleet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

26.5%

Resolved

292

Trades

596

lifetime

Volume

$1.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-03 01:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Sports

39% 38% +$0

Other

38% 41% -$7

Crypto

20% 61% -$8

Politics

3% 60% -$2

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?	6	$162	81	81	+0	No	$0	05-22 05:19
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$160	80	80	+0	No	$0	05-20 02:21
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$140	70	70	+0	No	$0	05-23 00:38
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$138	69	69	+0	No	$0	05-21 02:15
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	4	$120	60	60	+0	No	$0	05-19 01:49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	4	$80	40	40	+0	No	$0	05-21 13:07
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	05-19 03:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	05-28 12:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	05-19 02:47
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	2	$60	31	31	+0	open	—	05-26 05:37
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	$0	05-27 12:28
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$26	13	13	+0	No	$0	05-18 09:06
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	5	$25	20	19	+0	MOUZ	+$1	05-22 06:06
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	$0	05-18 08:56
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	05-18 08:56
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-20 09:17
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-20 09:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	Up	$0	05-17 02:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$17	10	10	+0	No	+$1	05-28 02:00
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Aleksandar Kovacevic	2	$15	14	14	+0	Aleksandar Kovacevic	+$13	05-20 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	3	$12	12	2	+10	Down	+$0	05-14 03:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	3	$12	14	3	+12	Down	+$2	05-16 14:54
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-20?	4	$12	13	13	+0	Yes	$0	05-21 02:30
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderi	2	$11	9	9	+0	Francisco Comesana	+$1	05-28 17:38
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-20?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	05-21 02:25
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Sweden	2	$10	7	7	+0	Switzerland	$0	05-28 17:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 20:30 UTC	7	$9	53	9	+43	Up	-$1	01-11 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	7	$8	7	7	+0	Down	$0	05-12 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	5	$7	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 01:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 02:15 UTC	5	$7	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	01-06 02:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 01:28:44	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x42194e…
05-31 04:58:59	Will Shimizu S-Pulse win on 2026-05-31?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x77f9c1…
05-31 04:57:00	Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x35e0a4…
05-28 17:56:54	Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xa7e683…
05-28 17:56:31	Will Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 400.0k by May 31?	Yes	SELL	17	3¢	$0	0xe1cf55…
05-28 17:55:26	Will Claude Code Commits hit (LOW) 400.0k by May 31?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x8efa9b…
05-28 17:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x86f28e…
05-28 17:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x891456…
05-28 17:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8be5a7…
05-28 17:38:56	Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderi	Luciano Darderi	SELL	9	71¢	$6	0x6e0559…
05-28 17:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0x7c903a…
05-28 17:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xdcce03…
05-28 17:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xa60bc3…
05-28 17:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x72607d…
05-28 17:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb2aa3e…
05-28 17:24:17	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5f2e04…
05-28 17:22:34	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Sweden	Switzerland	SELL	7	65¢	$5	0x6dbe2e…
05-28 17:20:42	Vicenza: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Lautaro Midon	Chun-Hsin Tseng	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xfa72a1…
05-28 17:17:05	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x2c5c75…
05-28 17:15:18	Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x6a6b8c…
05-28 17:08:18	Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x052258…
05-28 17:05:07	Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x7fa6c9…
05-28 17:04:08	Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x76f1ca…
05-28 17:03:47	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xcb8a58…
05-28 16:54:34	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Sweden	Switzerland	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x4f7a9e…
05-28 16:53:15	Vicenza: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Lautaro Midon	Chun-Hsin Tseng	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x9d54e2…
05-28 16:52:37	Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderi	Luciano Darderi	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xa025d0…
05-28 13:14:13	Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Elise Mertens	Maja Chwalinska	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0xf544c0…
05-28 12:59:38	Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Elise Mertens	Maja Chwalinska	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xbfbc3c…
05-28 12:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd9286e…
05-28 12:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x357c32…
05-28 12:49:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x0c6836…
05-28 12:48:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9aa015…
05-28 02:06:09	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x8ad8d2…
05-28 02:06:04	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x52bd71…
05-28 02:05:57	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7f1600…
05-28 02:02:13	Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers	Texas Rangers	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7d7948…
05-28 02:00:26	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xa44c48…
05-28 02:00:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x0c1492…
05-28 02:00:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x20ed87…
05-27 12:32:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe20bff…
05-27 12:31:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x8b5227…
05-27 12:29:43	Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x8dbe9f…
05-27 12:28:54	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x0f63db…
05-27 12:28:42	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3ba9a9…
05-27 12:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xb959d2…
05-27 12:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9cef32…
05-27 12:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4cc80c…
05-27 12:25:10	Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halys	Ugo Humbert	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x21f2c7…
05-26 05:39:59	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xce461e…
05-26 05:39:22	Roland Garros ATP: Marin Cilic vs Moise Kouame	Marin Cilic	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa05808…
05-26 05:37:37	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0xd3b8ba…
05-26 05:37:11	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x189420…
05-26 05:35:24	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Liquid	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xdb753a…
05-26 05:28:59	Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xe4733d…
05-23 11:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x259a3f…
05-23 11:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x559f10…
05-23 11:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x50a214…
05-23 11:43:09	Istanbul: Andrej Nedic vs David Jorda Sanchis	Andrej Nedic	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x765306…
05-23 06:09:32	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x1fabbf…
05-23 01:14:43	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7df28c…
05-23 01:13:44	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Golden Knights	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x804b81…
05-23 00:38:45	Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x49648c…
05-23 00:38:28	Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x216f29…
05-23 00:37:58	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xbf0e5e…
05-23 00:37:13	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xdeb12f…
05-23 00:35:54	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1d81ba…
05-23 00:34:04	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Golden Knights	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x90336a…
05-23 00:32:48	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Golden Knights	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4514c5…
05-22 09:12:39	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Hugo Dellien	Roberto Carballes Baena	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x686fef…
05-22 09:12:31	Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-05-22?	No	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xc047ee…
05-22 09:10:35	ITF Kutaisi: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Kevin Edengren	Daniil Ostapenkov	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x615c13…
05-22 06:59:50	ITF Kutaisi: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Kevin Edengren	Daniil Ostapenkov	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x196674…
05-22 06:59:08	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Hugo Dellien	Roberto Carballes Baena	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x8c8b55…
05-22 06:55:47	Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-05-22?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa0f750…
05-22 06:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x98af3f…
05-22 06:49:22	Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x24ecb2…
05-22 06:49:06	Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xea4f8b…
05-22 06:44:56	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	TheMongolz	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x270673…
05-22 06:14:20	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	TheMongolz	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x95d467…
05-22 06:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x4a1755…
05-22 06:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa138f3…
05-22 06:07:01	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Borna Gojo vs Jurij Rodionov	Jurij Rodionov	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0xa57d46…
05-22 06:06:54	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xeedcd8…
05-22 06:06:22	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	paiN	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x07b6e5…
05-22 06:06:13	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	MOUZ	SELL	13	91¢	$12	0x401bf5…
05-22 06:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0x531b20…
05-22 06:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc42682…
05-22 05:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xd83421…
05-22 05:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x39ed31…
05-22 05:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xeef3ac…
05-22 05:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf43b4f…
05-22 05:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xa2a20d…
05-22 05:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x69010b…
05-22 05:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x218204…
05-22 05:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x93cc9a…
05-22 05:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xd34a8e…
05-22 05:25:29	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	MOUZ	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x92ac6b…
05-22 05:24:59	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	MIBR	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x99b590…
05-22 05:22:04	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	paiN	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6b2d08…