Defenseless-Reminder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$261

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

65.5%

Resolved

129

Trades

699

lifetime

Volume

$122.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$176

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-29 17:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Sports

98% 86% +$10

Politics

2% 77% -$270

Other

0% 93% +$0

Crypto

0% 86% -$1

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-29).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No		-0	$0	100¢	$-0	$0	05-03 05:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Lamine Yamal record the most yellow cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?	2	$40.4K	40,000	40,000	+0	No	+$400	02-23 15:54
Will Martín Zubimendi record the most yellow cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?	2	$40.3K	39,500	39,500	+0	No	-$790	02-23 15:57
Will Guglielmo Vicario record the most clean sheets in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?	2	$39.6K	40,000	40,000	+0	No	+$400	02-23 16:01
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?	8	$963	543,109	419,496	+123,612	No	-$124	01-02 14:13
Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair?	7	$569	325,188	244,194	+80,994	No	-$81	01-02 14:13
Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair?	7	$462	262,611	199,771	+62,839	No	-$63	01-02 14:13
will iran strike israel on march 10	23	$62	31	31	+0	Yes	+$0	03-17 02:07
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	26	$43	28	15	+13	Yes	+$0	04-22 15:50
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	19	$41	28	13	+15	Yes	+$0	04-19 10:48
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	30	$37	22	22	+0	Yes	$0	04-08 00:18
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	29	$31	24	10	+13	Yes	$0	04-22 11:18
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	25	$29	20	10	+10	Yes	+$1	03-24 13:50
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	7	$27	15	12	+2	Yes	+$0	03-12 20:21
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	36	$26	20	8	+11	No	-$3	05-01 00:05
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	23	$17	18	8	+10	Yes	+$0	04-08 01:13
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	49	$17	9	8	+2	No	+$0	06-04 00:20
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	7	$17	17	0	+17	Yes	+$0	04-08 01:28
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	85	$16	13	12	+0	No	-$6	04-22 04:45
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	16	$13	7	7	+0	Yes	+$0	04-21 18:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	18	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	04-12 07:45
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	22	$11	6	6	+0	No	$0	03-30 05:59
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of march 851	4	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	03-12 20:41
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	25	$7	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	04-07 23:18
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	4	$7	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	04-12 22:34
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	3	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	01-12 17:35
anyone charged for doxing delta force commander heading maduro grab by march 31	2	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	03-09 07:28
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	5	$5	1	4	-3	No	+$3	03-25 18:27
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	4	$5	2	2	+0	No	+$0	03-27 04:39
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	11	$4	3	1	+2	Yes	+$0	04-21 13:45
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 240 259	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	02-23 15:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 17:02:47	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9a9f33…
06-17 00:09:02	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xce2c58…
06-08 04:18:31	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xfc7b3a…
06-08 04:08:25	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb167f2…
06-08 04:03:16	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x6a8e61…
06-08 01:12:18	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x72b598…
06-07 22:56:30	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x17ffd7…
06-07 22:56:28	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x373bc2…
06-04 00:20:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc86c50…
06-04 00:06:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x96c072…
06-04 00:06:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x6f392f…
06-04 00:06:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x15a667…
06-04 00:06:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x60101d…
06-04 00:06:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x48f614…
06-04 00:06:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc02938…
06-04 00:06:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc00d2b…
06-04 00:06:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x6d84f9…
06-04 00:06:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x671250…
06-04 00:06:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x503727…
06-04 00:06:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x67ed06…
06-04 00:06:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xffb77b…
06-04 00:06:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x8b9db3…
06-04 00:06:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x1dd376…
06-04 00:06:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xcf3581…
06-04 00:06:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb8ee74…
06-04 00:06:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xfc5b03…
06-04 00:06:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe82977…
06-04 00:06:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x13a6e4…
06-04 00:06:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xdb0f6e…
06-04 00:06:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x397175…
06-04 00:06:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x340d72…
06-04 00:06:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x3043c0…
06-04 00:06:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x839d40…
06-04 00:05:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe075d3…
06-04 00:05:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x9e6fc1…
06-04 00:05:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x17d998…
06-04 00:05:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x4f328e…
06-04 00:00:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc45e70…
06-03 21:48:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1d8962…
06-03 02:06:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1959b7…
06-03 00:30:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x47b24a…
06-03 00:30:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb57ade…
06-03 00:30:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x114236…
06-03 00:30:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xf496d1…
06-03 00:30:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xbea688…
06-03 00:30:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc7a03a…
06-02 13:47:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0c4407…
06-02 13:47:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3d9d8f…
06-02 02:06:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xf0a183…
06-02 02:06:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x3dc3ea…
06-02 02:06:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xbd21d6…
06-02 02:06:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x32a4ca…
06-02 01:31:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3fbbdb…
06-01 21:42:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb22dad…
06-01 21:37:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe9c118…
06-01 21:32:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb08941…
06-01 21:22:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xff0a66…
05-14 22:44:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xd5c344…
05-12 10:09:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x286b92…
05-08 23:42:07	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x6fad11…
05-07 10:28:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xb2fcb5…
05-07 10:20:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x507469…
05-07 07:46:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x752642…
05-07 07:46:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x023ac8…
05-07 00:00:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xf97260…
05-06 22:58:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x913f81…
05-06 22:56:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xf97ebb…
05-06 22:48:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xca9918…
05-06 19:34:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xcd7d01…
05-06 14:04:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x8ce260…
05-03 05:38:48	Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0xec6e63…
05-02 20:30:20	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcd352d…
05-01 00:05:32	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe1a20d…
04-30 23:44:48	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe92a1f…
04-30 21:00:34	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x13d2f0…
04-30 20:34:40	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7a846d…
04-30 20:32:52	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9319a0…
04-30 20:29:48	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe9526c…
04-30 20:29:42	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd442df…
04-30 20:13:08	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5195f6…
04-30 11:28:34	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x2b620e…
04-30 07:29:48	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xa1d290…
04-30 07:24:42	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x004398…
04-30 05:53:12	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x9277ac…
04-30 01:49:24	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb2fd69…
04-22 22:58:44	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0xb7c219…
04-22 22:57:12	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0x9080cc…
04-22 17:52:20	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0xf51461…
04-22 17:52:18	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x25ed61…
04-22 17:52:16	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0xd4c554…
04-22 17:52:12	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0xd1b029…
04-22 17:52:12	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x6422e8…
04-22 17:52:10	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x9f301c…
04-22 17:52:10	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x791020…
04-22 17:52:08	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0xeb66c9…
04-22 17:52:08	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x37a9c4…
04-22 17:52:06	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x18b0e7…
04-22 17:52:04	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x657049…
04-22 17:52:02	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0xba7876…
04-22 15:50:42	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x909a51…