Bustling-Lifestyle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$954

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

37.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$14.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$204

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-13

last 10-08 06:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

72% 50% -$922

Politics

28% 62% -$3

Crypto

0% 0% -$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?	No		+3	$3	96¢	$3	+$0	09-29 03:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$4.0K	2,816	2,816	+0	No	+$0	04-18 07:07
trump talks to cuba leader diaz canel by june 30	2	$890	481	481	+0	No	-$5	06-06 07:55
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	2	$861	462	462	+0	No	-$15	06-04 05:38
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	2	$779	433	433	+0	open	—	06-07 06:12
will russia enter havrylivka by july 31 2026	2	$674	364	364	+0	No	+$8	06-30 05:41
Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?	2	$626	325	325	+0	open	—	05-07 02:58
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	2	$611	311	311	+0	No	+$0	05-07 05:39
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	3	$555	282	282	+0	No	+$1	05-09 06:52
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	3	$513	275	275	+0	open	—	05-10 07:21
Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 0.5	1	$468	493	0	+493	Over	+$25	06-07 06:16
dota2 vpp balu 2026 06 08 game1 both teams destroy barracks	1	$450	494	0	+494	Yes	-$450	06-08 06:04
lol koia ucam1 2026 06 04 game1 both teams slay baron	1	$431	474	0	+474	No	+$43	06-04 05:43
Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 5.5	1	$416	447	0	+447	Under	+$31	06-03 07:34
Spread: Croatia (-2.5)	1	$394	416	0	+416	Belgium	+$22	06-02 05:10
Spread: US Catanzaro 1929 (-1.5)	1	$392	426	0	+426	US Catanzaro 1929	-$392	05-29 05:09
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	1	$372	392	0	+392	No	+$20	05-28 06:09
Spread: SD Eibar (-1.5)	1	$370	394	0	+394	CD Castellón	+$24	05-31 05:12
Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol B (-2.5)	1	$342	372	0	+372	Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa	+$30	05-30 06:08
atp brancac quilez 2026 03 16	2	$244	610	0	+610	Raul Brancaccio	-$244	03-16 05:47
khl akb hcs 2026 03 12	1	$215	250	0	+250	Ak Bars Kazan	+$35	03-13 07:15
israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260810145737300	6	$104	750	750	+0	No	+$15	08-13 09:38
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?	4	$89	802	802	-0	No	+$8	05-11 09:08
kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	4	$56	737	737	+0	No	+$0	08-13 06:41
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	4	$48	652	652	+0	No	+$1	05-06 07:36
Spread: Henan FC (-2.5)	2	$30	711	0	+711	Chongqing Tonglianglong FC	-$30	05-05 06:31
Spread: Ismaily SC (-1.5)	2	$28	715	0	+715	National Bank of Egypt Club	-$28	05-07 06:13
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	3	$26	696	696	+0	No	+$1	05-05 05:14
Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5)	2	$20	757	0	+757	Al Ahli Saudi Club	-$20	05-11 11:41
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 05:01
Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)	2	$17	641	0	+641	RB Leipzig	-$17	05-09 07:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 06:29:11	Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x44bb7a…
09-29 03:32:38	Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x6f4815…
08-13 09:38:55	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260810145737300	Yes	SELL	364	8¢	$29	0x9e9b92…
08-13 09:38:54	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260810145737300	Yes	SELL	386	8¢	$30	0x062b2a…
08-13 06:45:45	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260810145737300	Yes	BUY	364	6¢	$21	0x68810a…
08-13 06:45:40	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260810145737300	Yes	BUY	276	6¢	$16	0xc1cb23…
08-13 06:41:54	kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	Yes	SELL	378	4¢	$14	0xcc6989…
08-13 06:41:43	kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	Yes	SELL	359	4¢	$14	0xe4cb5f…
08-13 05:25:49	kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	Yes	BUY	356	4¢	$14	0xe94c50…
08-13 05:25:46	kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	Yes	BUY	381	4¢	$14	0x2c1c47…
06-30 05:41:13	will russia enter havrylivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	364	94¢	$341	0x05d305…
06-30 02:33:05	will russia enter havrylivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	364	91¢	$333	0x13e34c…
06-08 06:04:36	dota2 vpp balu 2026 06 08 game1 both teams destroy barracks	No	BUY	494	91¢	$450	0xc73324…
06-07 06:16:21	Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	493	95¢	$468	0xcb9c6e…
06-07 06:12:57	Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	433	90¢	$390	0xbe1733…
06-07 03:10:21	Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	433	90¢	$390	0xfe4e0c…
06-06 07:55:36	trump talks to cuba leader diaz canel by june 30	No	SELL	481	92¢	$443	0x443ed5…
06-06 05:18:25	trump talks to cuba leader diaz canel by june 30	No	BUY	481	93¢	$447	0xb03881…
06-04 05:43:42	lol koia ucam1 2026 06 04 game1 both teams slay baron	No	BUY	474	91¢	$431	0x8b1a61…
06-04 05:38:01	Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	SELL	462	92¢	$423	0xf027c6…
06-04 02:21:34	Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	BUY	462	95¢	$438	0x7f173f…
06-03 07:34:22	Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	447	93¢	$416	0x57a7ff…
06-02 05:10:08	Spread: Croatia (-2.5)	Belgium	BUY	416	95¢	$394	0x497b23…
05-31 05:12:55	Spread: SD Eibar (-1.5)	CD Castellón	BUY	394	94¢	$370	0xe5b2ff…
05-30 06:08:16	Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol B (-2.5)	Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa	BUY	372	92¢	$342	0xecfb4a…
05-29 05:09:04	Spread: US Catanzaro 1929 (-1.5)	AC Monza	BUY	426	92¢	$392	0x85a3bb…
05-28 06:09:55	Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	No	BUY	392	95¢	$372	0xc23499…
05-14 05:01:19	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x0723bd…
05-14 04:53:38	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xcb0fa0…
05-11 11:41:31	Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5)	Al Taawoun Saudi Club	BUY	388	3¢	$10	0xdc3ca5…
05-11 11:41:26	Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5)	Al Taawoun Saudi Club	BUY	369	3¢	$10	0xc46611…
05-11 09:08:23	Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0xe34284…
05-11 09:08:15	Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	799	6¢	$49	0x874d21…
05-11 07:04:24	Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	396	5¢	$21	0x21aab8…
05-11 07:02:09	Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	406	5¢	$20	0xc5ab66…
05-10 08:05:49	Spread: Burnley FC (-2.5)	Burnley FC	BUY	343	1¢	$4	0x90bd02…
05-10 08:05:45	Spread: Burnley FC (-2.5)	Burnley FC	BUY	370	1¢	$4	0x19777a…
05-10 07:21:51	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0x5616a0…
05-10 07:20:26	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	175	92¢	$162	0x721432…
05-10 05:30:02	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	275	95¢	$261	0x7ef612…
05-09 07:33:37	Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)	FC St. Pauli 1910	BUY	300	3¢	$8	0x628940…
05-09 07:33:29	Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)	FC St. Pauli 1910	BUY	341	3¢	$9	0x6cb36c…
05-09 06:52:58	Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0x4ae128…
05-09 06:52:33	Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	243	98¢	$239	0x95285f…
05-09 05:06:18	Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	282	98¢	$277	0xeae3e1…
05-07 06:13:39	Spread: Ismaily SC (-1.5)	Ismaily SC	BUY	351	4¢	$14	0x0c0db1…
05-07 06:13:18	Spread: Ismaily SC (-1.5)	Ismaily SC	BUY	364	4¢	$14	0xd2a2f9…
05-07 05:39:46	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	311	98¢	$305	0x71a12e…
05-07 02:59:56	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	311	98¢	$305	0x18809c…
05-07 02:58:04	Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	325	94¢	$305	0x7aae14…
05-07 02:56:57	Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	325	99¢	$322	0xfb4c8c…
05-06 08:55:20	Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)	Dalian Yingbo FC	BUY	361	1¢	$4	0xa8529a…
05-06 08:55:20	Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)	Dalian Yingbo FC	BUY	367	1¢	$4	0x12e470…
05-06 07:36:38	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	309	4¢	$11	0x81c3e1…
05-06 07:35:10	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	343	4¢	$13	0xb76f8f…
05-06 06:06:38	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	4¢	$11	0x0870c5…
05-06 06:06:32	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	352	4¢	$13	0xf54974…
05-05 06:31:46	Spread: Henan FC (-2.5)	Henan FC	BUY	378	4¢	$16	0x49c161…
05-05 06:31:44	Spread: Henan FC (-2.5)	Henan FC	BUY	333	4¢	$14	0x134291…
05-05 05:14:28	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	696	2¢	$13	0xd00cd9…
05-05 03:04:52	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	336	2¢	$6	0xd2f811…
05-05 03:04:46	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	360	2¢	$6	0x1493ec…
04-18 07:07:24	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	2,816	71¢	$1,999	0x2909af…
04-18 03:44:40	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	2,816	71¢	$1,999	0x7b8b99…
03-16 05:47:53	atp brancac quilez 2026 03 16	Alejo Sanchez Quilez	BUY	340	40¢	$136	0xe54cb6…
03-16 05:47:53	atp brancac quilez 2026 03 16	Alejo Sanchez Quilez	BUY	270	40¢	$108	0xb5a3ba…
03-13 07:15:37	khl akb hcs 2026 03 12	Ak Bars Kazan	BUY	250	86¢	$215	0x135840…