Realized P&L (7d)
-$172
Unrealized P&L
+$25
Hit rate
68.6%
Resolved (7d)
22
Trades (7d)
4
2,566 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$10
$68.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$1.63K
25 positions
First seen
2026-09-21
last 10-26 05:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 35 days
Categories
Other
72% 93% +$938
Politics
14% 90% -$137
Sports
11% 96% +$103
Tech
2% 96% -$16
Pop-Culture
0% 94% +$1
Crypto
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 255 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: Other No +420 $419 100¢ $420 +$0 09-24 11:47
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +250 $198 96¢ $239 +$41 10-02 12:30
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +168 $167 99¢ $167 $0 09-27 00:11
Will Oklahoma Sooners win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +157 $156 99¢ $156 -$1 09-27 00:33
Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026? No +147 $146 99¢ $145 -$1 10-03 14:00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? No +73 $73 100¢ $73 $0 09-24 16:03
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +63 $62 98¢ $62 $0 09-27 00:14
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +52 $48 96¢ $50 +$2 09-27 17:18
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? No +49 $49 100¢ $49 +$0 09-23 15:15
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? No +39 $38 99¢ $38 $0 09-29 16:35
Will LYON win Worlds 2026? No +39 $39 98¢ $38 -$1 10-03 05:45
Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026? No +36 $36 99¢ $36 $0 09-24 10:09
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? No +33 $30 99¢ $32 +$3 09-29 19:38
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027? No +27 $27 100¢ $27 $0 09-25 13:20
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? No +14 $13 100¢ $13 +$0 09-29 02:20
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +13 $10 98¢ $13 +$4 10-04 20:48
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +12 $11 92¢ $11 -$1 10-04 12:46
Will Matt Olson win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? No +9 $9 100¢ $9 $0 09-29 17:22
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? No +9 $9 94¢ $9 $0 09-28 16:21
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 09-30 20:08
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 $0 09-25 05:42
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +9 $7 80¢ $7 +$0 10-03 00:36
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +7 $7 100¢ $7 $0 09-29 03:15
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? No +6 $6 99¢ $6 $0 09-27 09:53
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +35 $22 5¢ $2 -$21 09-30 20:24