Awkward-Bud — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12.7K

Unrealized P&L

-$95

Hit rate

48.9%

Resolved

550

Trades

5,664

lifetime

Volume

$74.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$35

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-28 06:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 133 days

Categories

Other

100% 23% -$12,615

Crypto

0% 23% -$19

Politics

0% 10% -$17

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 796 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	—	+320	$38	8¢	$27	-$11	10-28 06:26
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+10	$2	52¢	$5	+$3	10-27 13:50
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	—	+250	$90	1¢	$2	-$88	10-26 18:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mrbeasts latest video get between 39 and 41 million views on week 1	57	$4.6K	3,933	3,410	+523	No	+$90	02-28 04:27
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	52	$4.1K	6,196	1,695	+4,501	Yes	+$3,829	10-03 16:28
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	24	$3.7K	2,226	2,226	+0	Yes	+$725	09-20 10:11
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	28	$3.5K	5,310	5,310	+0	Yes	+$1,698	04-05 04:37
will mrbeasts next video get between 35pt5 and 36pt0 million views on day 4	16	$2.9K	2,658	2,658	+0	Yes	+$2,273	02-25 17:15
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?	51	$2.7K	6,511	0	+6,511	No	-$2,745	10-02 15:43
will mrbeasts next video get between 34 and 36 million views on day 3	28	$2.0K	2,500	2,400	+100	No	-$522	02-24 01:36
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	49	$2.0K	4,001	169	+3,832	Yes	+$2,194	09-25 19:24
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 363	35	$1.9K	1,647	1,757	-110	Yes	+$218	03-13 22:07
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	59	$1.9K	5,458	0	+5,458	No	-$1,912	09-25 14:54
will mrbeasts next video get between 35pt0 and 35pt5 million views on day 4	38	$1.9K	3,618	0	+3,618	No	-$1,861	02-25 15:25
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	147	$1.8K	14,033	0	+14,033	No	-$1,796	10-04 02:58
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	96	$1.6K	11,579	0	+11,579	No	-$1,617	10-03 20:53
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	111	$1.5K	14,468	0	+14,468	No	-$1,520	10-04 03:37
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	33	$1.3K	2,997	2,186	+811	No	-$543	02-09 17:48
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	19	$1.2K	820	820	+0	Yes	+$223	05-22 22:00
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	44	$1.1K	7,642	5,526	+2,116	No	-$40	04-11 06:44
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	49	$1.1K	6,566	0	+6,566	No	-$1,109	10-03 23:11
will mrbeasts latest video get between 37 and 39 million views on week 1	22	$1.1K	4,651	7,016	-2,365	No	-$1,063	02-27 16:45
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 15 and 17.5 million views on day 1?	24	$1.0K	1,652	0	+1,652	Yes	+$610	09-27 07:04
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	34	$1.0K	1,803	1,803	+0	Yes	+$22	05-09 08:56
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	134	$907	13,136	0	+13,136	No	-$907	10-03 21:35
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	15	$870	2,230	2,230	+0	No	-$199	04-05 13:22
will mrbeasts latest video get between 50 and 55 million views on week 1	10	$792	1,200	950	+250	Yes	+$222	02-11 08:32
will mrbeasts latest video get 2022 million views on day 1 835 752	32	$772	3,504	0	+3,504	No	-$772	02-22 15:03
will mrbeasts video get between 80 and 81 million views on week 1	5	$758	500	500	+0	Yes	+$239	04-11 15:52
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	82	$740	10,414	0	+10,414	No	-$740	10-03 20:21
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 380 399	9	$697	520	820	-300	Yes	+$292	01-27 15:37
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	59	$644	4,720	0	+4,720	No	-$644	09-20 06:06
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	69	$630	5,522	0	+5,522	No	-$630	09-21 03:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 06:26:05	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x986727…
10-28 06:26:05	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x15947f…
10-28 06:25:19	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x3bfe61…
10-27 19:27:08	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	220	17¢	$37	0x62b67a…
10-27 13:50:39	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xc07704…
10-26 20:03:12	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x5ea569…
10-26 20:01:51	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xd09341…
10-26 20:01:51	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	216	38¢	$82	0x11fc4d…
10-26 20:01:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xc9cf39…
10-26 18:47:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0xd6a9fa…
10-26 18:12:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	7¢	$17	0x18a3f3…
10-26 18:12:23	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x89d52d…
10-26 18:11:38	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0x13c7b6…
10-26 14:36:30	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x91790a…
10-26 11:14:15	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xb9b4ee…
10-26 07:14:09	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x35f7ce…
10-26 07:14:08	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xd84ae2…
10-25 18:02:11	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x240ada…
10-25 11:29:20	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x684829…
10-24 22:20:39	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	42¢	$38	0x424a3d…
10-24 22:11:29	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x5b13e6…
10-24 22:09:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0x9396e5…
10-24 22:08:59	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	14¢	$8	0xbf47bb…
10-24 22:08:59	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x9a1dc5…
10-24 22:08:59	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	36¢	$19	0x88f9a1…
10-24 22:08:59	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	36¢	$17	0x47c236…
10-24 22:08:59	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x043c1c…
10-24 22:08:45	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xd55784…
10-24 14:57:30	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xdef475…
10-24 11:50:44	Will MrBeast's next video get between 140 and 141.5 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x441830…
10-24 10:36:38	Will MrBeast's next video get between 141.5 and 143 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x2b465f…
10-24 10:34:12	Will MrBeast's next video get between 140 and 141.5 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x50bb97…
10-24 10:34:11	Will MrBeast's next video get between 140 and 141.5 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0xddf5be…
10-24 10:23:57	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x58e091…
10-24 10:22:20	Will MrBeast's next video get between 140 and 141.5 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x74d9d3…
10-24 03:08:11	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x62aade…
10-23 22:55:08	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x9ed1b6…
10-23 22:39:53	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xda7aa8…
10-23 19:09:02	Will MrBeast's next video get between 150 and 160 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	37	0¢	$0	0xc10db6…
10-23 18:31:27	Will MrBeast's next video get between 150 and 160 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xbf4599…
10-23 16:33:21	Will MrBeast's next video get between 150 and 160 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	164	0¢	$1	0xdb0412…
10-23 16:12:11	Will MrBeast's next video get between 131 and 133 million views on day 6?	Yes	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x676b34…
10-23 15:41:23	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd63295…
10-23 10:16:03	Will MrBeast's next video get between 131 and 133 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xc8be79…
10-23 08:55:30	Will MrBeast's next video get between 150 and 160 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x313898…
10-23 08:40:27	Will MrBeast's next video get between 150 and 160 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x268202…
10-22 19:02:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0xfb389d…
10-22 19:01:29	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xafb3dd…
10-22 18:59:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x93c62f…
10-22 18:58:26	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x098746…
10-22 18:49:24	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	3¢	$2	0x91f2bd…
10-22 18:45:23	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x7e3f5f…
10-22 18:44:41	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	20¢	$7	0x3b5750…
10-22 18:44:11	Will MrBeast's next video get between 123 and 125 million views on day 5?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xfe56e7…
10-22 02:08:18	Will MrBeast's next video get between 123 and 125 million views on day 5?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xfc089e…
10-22 02:08:18	Will MrBeast's next video get between 123 and 125 million views on day 5?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x61efa8…
10-21 21:51:50	will mrbeasts next video get between 121 and 123 million views on day 5 20261017	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xeb75c3…
10-21 04:53:18	Will MrBeast's next video get between 115 and 117 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x1cb4ce…
10-21 04:31:56	Will MrBeast's next video get between 115 and 117 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x96e22e…
10-21 04:20:30	Will MrBeast's next video get between 110 and 120 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x8161d7…
10-21 04:19:11	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 113 million views on day 4?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x9ceaaa…
10-20 19:53:38	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 113 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	13	13¢	$2	0xd2b7d8…
10-20 03:42:14	Will MrBeast's next video get between 109 and 112 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xea6fbc…
10-19 18:12:54	Esenler Erokspor vs. Anadolu Efes	Esenler Erokspor	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x970382…
10-19 17:20:23	Esenler Erokspor vs. Anadolu Efes	Esenler Erokspor	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x7914fa…
10-19 10:49:21	Will MrBeast's next video get between 96 and 100 million views on day 2?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x54ffd5…
10-19 03:04:11	will mrbeasts next video get between 160 and 170 million views on week 1 20261017	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x7c054f…
10-18 08:00:24	Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 60 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x75ec57…
10-18 06:36:27	Will MrBeast's next video get between 110 and 120 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x9f5492…
10-12 15:06:15	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 50 and 55 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xed49f5…
10-12 12:29:32	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0xcd4495…
10-12 12:26:42	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x58a4a5…
10-11 10:57:24	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	21	10¢	$2	0xbd6ec4…
10-11 04:04:47	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 15 and 17.5 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x81611a…
10-11 04:02:20	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x52442b…
10-10 16:33:21	Will MrBeast's next video get between 215 and 223 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	433	100¢	$433	0x686834…
10-10 09:20:06	Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	120	14¢	$17	0x86c75e…
10-10 01:02:05	Will MrBeast's next video get between 215 and 223 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0xf4167d…
10-10 00:59:55	Will MrBeast's next video get between 215 and 223 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0x203b5e…
10-10 00:59:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 215 and 223 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xa483a1…
10-10 00:29:55	Will MrBeast's next video get between 215 and 223 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xbd7a3d…
10-10 00:29:55	Will MrBeast's next video get between 215 and 223 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x450707…
10-10 00:29:55	Will MrBeast's next video get between 215 and 223 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	95	30¢	$28	0x032924…
10-09 22:09:41	Will MrBeast's next video get between 215 and 223 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	54	25¢	$13	0xfb4e27…
10-09 18:26:34	Will MrBeast's next video get between 199 and 207 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	39	0¢	$0	0xb33c33…
10-09 18:02:23	Will MrBeast's next video get between 199 and 207 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xde377c…
10-09 18:01:14	Will MrBeast's next video get between 199 and 207 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	101	0¢	$0	0xd91c7c…
10-09 18:01:14	Will MrBeast's next video get between 199 and 207 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x2623d7…
10-09 18:01:14	Will MrBeast's next video get between 199 and 207 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x11302f…
10-09 18:01:13	Will MrBeast's next video get between 199 and 207 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x8244d5…
10-09 18:01:13	Will MrBeast's next video get between 199 and 207 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x7ecb6b…
10-09 17:43:53	Will MrBeast's next video get between 199 and 207 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xdf30aa…
10-09 17:43:53	Will MrBeast's next video get between 199 and 207 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x7467ff…
10-09 17:43:38	Will MrBeast's next video get between 199 and 207 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x7303ef…
10-09 17:43:14	Will MrBeast's next video get between 199 and 207 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x297e5e…
10-09 16:42:34	Will MrBeast's next video get between 199 and 207 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0xc24f71…
10-09 15:15:36	Will MrBeast's next video get between 199 and 207 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	37	0¢	$0	0xfacbfc…
10-09 15:15:36	Will MrBeast's next video get between 199 and 207 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	51	0¢	$0	0x08ea6a…
10-09 13:41:57	Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	140	20¢	$28	0xf6acb1…
10-09 06:54:07	Will MrBeast's next video get between 215 and 223 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x76e8f8…