Awkward-Bud — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$581

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

73.6%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

251

5,839 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$2.62K

$76.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$12

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-08 16:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 141 days

Categories

Other

100% 22% -$12,053

Politics

0% 10% -$17

Crypto

0% 23% -$19

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 796 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes		+12	$2	100¢	$12	+$10	11-08 10:55
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes		+30	$0	0¢	$0	$0	11-08 16:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mrbeasts latest video get between 39 and 41 million views on week 1	57	$4.6K	3,933	3,410	+523	No	+$90	02-28 04:27
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	52	$4.1K	6,196	1,695	+4,501	Yes	+$3,829	10-03 16:28
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	24	$3.7K	2,226	2,226	+0	Yes	+$725	09-20 10:11
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	28	$3.5K	5,310	5,310	+0	Yes	+$1,698	04-05 04:37
will mrbeasts next video get between 35pt5 and 36pt0 million views on day 4	16	$2.9K	2,658	2,658	+0	Yes	+$2,273	02-25 17:15
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?	51	$2.7K	6,511	0	+6,511	No	-$2,745	10-02 15:43
will mrbeasts next video get between 34 and 36 million views on day 3	28	$2.0K	2,500	2,400	+100	No	-$522	02-24 01:36
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	49	$2.0K	4,001	169	+3,832	Yes	+$2,194	09-25 19:24
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 363	35	$1.9K	1,647	1,757	-110	Yes	+$218	03-13 22:07
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	59	$1.9K	5,458	0	+5,458	No	-$1,912	09-25 14:54
will mrbeasts next video get between 35pt0 and 35pt5 million views on day 4	38	$1.9K	3,618	0	+3,618	No	-$1,861	02-25 15:25
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	147	$1.8K	14,033	0	+14,033	No	-$1,796	10-04 02:58
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	96	$1.6K	11,579	0	+11,579	No	-$1,617	10-03 20:53
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	111	$1.5K	14,468	0	+14,468	No	-$1,520	10-04 03:37
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	33	$1.3K	2,997	2,186	+811	No	-$543	02-09 17:48
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	19	$1.2K	820	820	+0	Yes	+$223	05-22 22:00
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	44	$1.1K	7,642	5,526	+2,116	No	-$40	04-11 06:44
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	49	$1.1K	6,566	0	+6,566	No	-$1,109	10-03 23:11
will mrbeasts latest video get between 37 and 39 million views on week 1	22	$1.1K	4,651	7,016	-2,365	No	-$1,063	02-27 16:45
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 15 and 17.5 million views on day 1?	24	$1.0K	1,652	0	+1,652	Yes	+$610	09-27 07:04
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	10	$1.0K	1,495	0	+1,495	Yes	+$460	11-05 15:07
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	34	$1.0K	1,803	1,803	+0	Yes	+$22	05-09 08:56
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	134	$907	13,136	0	+13,136	No	-$907	10-03 21:35
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	15	$870	2,230	2,230	+0	No	-$199	04-05 13:22
will mrbeasts latest video get between 50 and 55 million views on week 1	10	$792	1,200	950	+250	Yes	+$222	02-11 08:32
will mrbeasts latest video get 2022 million views on day 1 835 752	32	$772	3,504	0	+3,504	No	-$772	02-22 15:03
will mrbeasts video get between 80 and 81 million views on week 1	5	$758	500	500	+0	Yes	+$239	04-11 15:52
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	82	$740	10,414	0	+10,414	No	-$740	10-03 20:21
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 380 399	9	$697	520	820	-300	Yes	+$292	01-27 15:37
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	59	$644	4,720	0	+4,720	No	-$644	09-20 06:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 16:09:37	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x611dba…
11-08 16:09:37	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x17dacb…
11-08 16:06:31	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x665239…
11-08 10:55:22	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x578c0d…
11-08 09:40:21	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xe47912…
11-08 09:40:04	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x73d765…
11-07 08:33:06	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x91009b…
11-07 07:52:00	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xabd7ef…
11-07 07:06:30	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	70	1¢	$1	0x9595d1…
11-07 07:06:25	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xb917c2…
11-07 07:06:25	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	217	1¢	$2	0xa6c268…
11-07 07:06:25	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x146f25…
11-07 07:06:21	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x8889c9…
11-07 07:06:21	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	282	1¢	$3	0x11d47e…
11-07 07:06:19	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	305	1¢	$3	0xef5d4f…
11-07 05:53:12	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xdc0024…
11-07 05:53:10	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x6a8a76…
11-07 05:53:09	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	202	1¢	$2	0x67c9d0…
11-07 03:32:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x0d8895…
11-07 03:12:13	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	2¢	$1	0xc15006…
11-07 02:55:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xca309b…
11-07 02:14:36	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x2de327…
11-07 02:13:36	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x265115…
11-07 02:13:13	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	0¢	$0	0x2f47cd…
11-07 02:13:10	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xe0cf2d…
11-06 12:47:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	5¢	$4	0x632d34…
11-06 11:48:52	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0xf471be…
11-05 21:04:06	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0xdf8a32…
11-05 16:36:10	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	4¢	$3	0x25849e…
11-05 16:36:04	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x620f3d…
11-05 16:13:49	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0xf0f652…
11-05 15:18:04	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x621bfb…
11-05 15:07:00	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	43	60¢	$26	0x252987…
11-05 15:02:15	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	52	60¢	$32	0x752d79…
11-05 14:36:12	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xde5f06…
11-05 14:35:48	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xf7b37b…
11-05 14:35:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0xa1fce4…
11-05 14:22:37	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	715	70¢	$500	0xb708fc…
11-05 14:01:34	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x9a7de6…
11-05 14:01:33	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x59593c…
11-05 14:01:31	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	300	70¢	$210	0x371b9b…
11-05 14:00:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe4367f…
11-05 13:27:15	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x34eca5…
11-05 11:09:27	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x4c22f8…
11-05 11:08:21	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	75	70¢	$53	0x253b15…
11-05 10:52:24	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	6¢	$0	0x441ef6…
11-05 10:42:09	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xfcfa71…
11-05 10:26:22	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	42¢	$10	0xd2c58a…
11-05 10:23:55	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	22¢	$13	0xd245de…
11-05 10:08:46	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	3¢	$4	0xe852a4…
11-05 09:30:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	42¢	$29	0x457669…
11-05 08:06:33	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	132	24¢	$32	0xfca678…
11-05 07:40:36	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0x85bf92…
11-05 06:37:07	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x7cb849…
11-05 06:37:07	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x28b735…
11-05 06:34:52	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xc7c1a5…
11-05 06:33:40	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xa7dce8…
11-05 06:30:03	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xb79424…
11-05 06:29:57	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xcfed31…
11-05 03:16:22	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	10¢	$15	0x3919d6…
11-05 02:21:06	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	10¢	$3	0x9c0375…
11-04 23:52:46	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc7c395…
11-04 23:52:03	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x75665b…
11-04 23:11:27	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0x7b4630…
11-04 23:11:27	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	86	68¢	$58	0x768fee…
11-04 03:56:22	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x2cee30…
11-03 06:26:01	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x7de7b1…
11-03 05:54:51	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x68f3d1…
11-03 05:54:49	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0xc14c6c…
11-03 05:54:49	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x682c7a…
11-03 05:47:36	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xa560ba…
11-03 05:47:22	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 62 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x1d9964…
11-03 05:27:43	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x7741e0…
11-03 05:27:43	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	57	0¢	$0	0x29677f…
11-03 05:14:27	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 62 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0x8e3c76…
11-02 17:02:30	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x65def2…
11-02 16:59:21	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x38e5c6…
11-02 16:56:39	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xba03e9…
11-02 16:47:57	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x354778…
11-02 16:46:00	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x2b36e0…
11-02 16:45:15	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x704db4…
11-02 16:41:07	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xa11cb3…
11-02 15:41:15	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0xe99f67…
11-02 15:14:34	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x943de5…
11-02 14:43:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0x277cde…
11-02 10:11:45	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	16¢	$7	0xe74e28…
11-02 08:36:30	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	16¢	$3	0xc25bcd…
11-02 07:47:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x82d093…
11-02 05:39:57	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	6¢	$7	0xc09be9…
11-01 17:05:07	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	37	9¢	$3	0x7f8a48…
11-01 15:15:25	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xbeee9a…
11-01 12:23:49	Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	44	10¢	$4	0x3667ef…
11-01 08:21:42	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9108f4…
11-01 08:21:40	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x8a41b8…
11-01 08:21:01	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	286	0¢	$1	0x53cdf2…
11-01 08:09:18	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x5d6658…
11-01 08:08:16	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0xd7cdf7…
11-01 08:08:16	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x3446c1…
11-01 08:08:16	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	102	0¢	$0	0x1cbbc2…
11-01 08:08:16	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	43	0¢	$0	0x0387e2…