Anchored-Unit — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

21.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

888 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$330

$2.51K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 11-08 16:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 39% -$168

Other

13% 37% -$21

Politics

7% 20% +$1

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 12:30 UTC	13	$119	137	137	+0	Down	+$44	06-26 12:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 12:00 UTC	18	$102	180	96	+85	Up	$0	06-26 12:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 10:15 UTC	9	$71	132	50	+81	Down	+$30	06-26 10:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 13:00 UTC	31	$61	110	35	+75	Up	-$18	08-08 13:10
Will Ahmed Galadima win the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election?	5	$59	75	75	+0	open	—	09-22 03:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 12:15 UTC	13	$51	131	119	+12	Up	-$5	06-26 12:24
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 21?	8	$40	40	40	+0	Yes	$0	10-20 10:06
Will Post Malone have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	4	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	10-18 18:08
Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?	5	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	10-20 15:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 10:00 UTC	11	$39	84	22	+62	Up	+$13	06-26 10:11
Will Abba Kabir Yusuf win the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election?	3	$38	50	50	+0	open	—	09-22 03:02
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$30	24	24	+0	Yes	$0	10-02 04:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 13:00 UTC	13	$27	35	30	+5	Up	+$15	08-08 13:04
Will Emmanuel Bwacha win the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election?	3	$26	17	17	+0	open	—	09-22 01:44
Ballon d'Or 2026: Ousmane Dembélé or Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to finish higher?	2	$26	20	20	+0	Kvaratskhelia	+$2	10-22 01:16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$24	34	34	+0	Yes	-$7	10-02 04:31
Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	2	$22	20	20	+0	Yes	-$2	10-19 12:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 08:00 UTC	9	$22	25	20	+5	Up	+$8	08-08 08:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 12:45 UTC	9	$20	30	15	+15	Down	+$12	08-08 12:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 16:45 UTC	7	$20	52	0	+52	Down	+$6	06-26 16:56
Will Miley Cyrus perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	5	$19	19	19	-0	No	-$2	10-19 12:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-27 04:15 UTC	7	$19	52	0	+52	Down	+$3	06-27 04:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 14:15 UTC	7	$19	25	25	+0	Up	$0	08-08 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	5	$18	55	0	+55	Down	+$10	06-26 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 08:10 UTC	6	$17	34	0	+34	Up	+$17	06-05 08:13
Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?	2	$17	26	26	+0	Yes	-$3	10-02 04:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 22:55 UTC	6	$17	15	15	+0	Up	+$4	08-07 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	2	$15	14	14	+0	Up	+$5	05-11 11:55
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?	1	$15	31	0	+31	Yes	-$15	09-22 14:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 13:15 UTC	5	$15	37	0	+37	Down	-$2	06-26 13:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 16:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xce24a3…
11-08 16:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xae8c7d…
10-22 01:16:56	Ballon d'Or 2026: Ousmane Dembélé or Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to finish higher?	Kvaratskhelia	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x80788f…
10-22 01:16:47	Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x2d27bc…
10-21 15:16:12	Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xbf88d8…
10-20 15:40:09	Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0xf40c20…
10-20 15:40:08	Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x757ac7…
10-20 15:40:08	Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x1ecdfd…
10-20 15:35:21	Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x57fc7b…
10-20 14:47:12	Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xbea643…
10-20 10:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 21?	Yes	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0xd72f07…
10-20 10:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 21?	Yes	SELL	13	45¢	$6	0xc05baf…
10-20 10:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 21?	Yes	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x8a0268…
10-20 04:11:47	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 21?	No	SELL	1	56¢	$0	0x7b7bd2…
10-20 04:11:44	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 21?	No	SELL	8	56¢	$4	0xf5aaa8…
10-20 04:11:44	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 21?	No	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0x491036…
10-19 16:31:41	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xb81434…
10-19 13:11:44	highest temperature in seattle on october 21 2026 64 65f	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xf6ba0c…
10-19 12:39:51	Will Miley Cyrus perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	19	47¢	$9	0xb9b248…
10-19 12:10:12	Will Miley Cyrus perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x66487b…
10-19 12:10:05	Will Miley Cyrus perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xc467a8…
10-19 12:08:35	Will Miley Cyrus perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x1756a8…
10-19 12:08:29	Will Miley Cyrus perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc4c9ee…
10-19 12:08:11	Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x5f4b32…
10-19 09:18:23	Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x098db4…
10-19 00:11:03	Ballon d'Or 2026: Ousmane Dembélé or Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to finish higher?	Kvaratskhelia	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xbe0f22…
10-18 18:08:35	Will Post Malone have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x2f8142…
10-18 18:08:32	Will Post Malone have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x28a071…
10-18 12:37:29	Will Post Malone have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x515f31…
10-18 11:35:42	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x055fa7…
10-18 11:35:41	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	19	34¢	$7	0x072f4e…
10-18 11:18:30	Will Post Malone have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x201cca…
10-17 09:27:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x4132e2…
10-17 09:26:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x1922b9…
10-17 09:25:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x8b3acb…
10-17 09:24:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x558fa0…
10-17 09:24:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x2314d5…
10-17 07:28:20	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x530c58…
10-17 06:54:05	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 06:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x46003d…
10-17 06:50:09	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xcf4165…
10-16 19:18:31	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 19:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x0bc051…
10-16 19:18:14	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x71b676…
10-14 19:31:49	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xb19f12…
10-14 19:31:06	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa75f8f…
10-14 19:17:01	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 19:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xbc7eea…
10-14 19:16:04	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xdaea36…
10-14 19:01:28	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x2fbef6…
10-14 19:01:16	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x5bdd22…
10-14 18:46:18	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 18:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xd62f5b…
10-14 18:46:04	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xb5e690…
10-14 18:31:34	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xaa2680…
10-14 18:31:00	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x1c853c…
10-14 18:26:42	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 18:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x154e15…
10-14 18:16:16	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x429a95…
10-14 18:01:18	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x247162…
10-14 18:01:04	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x653d2a…
10-14 17:46:13	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x02529a…
10-14 17:46:06	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x5bd3b9…
10-14 17:31:13	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x40e306…
10-14 17:31:04	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xc14366…
10-14 16:17:04	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x0c4e1a…
10-14 16:17:01	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa25a08…
10-14 16:16:39	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x7d6aba…
10-14 16:16:16	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xdbf595…
10-14 16:16:15	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x64a4d5…
10-14 16:02:13	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x12ab23…
10-14 16:02:09	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x718753…
10-14 16:01:27	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x5dad77…
10-14 16:01:07	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x794106…
10-14 15:49:00	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x966d84…
10-14 15:47:13	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x3b8ad6…
10-14 15:46:00	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xbe9c73…
10-14 15:32:18	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xcc9b2e…
10-14 15:31:13	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb7cebf…
10-14 15:16:33	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2d6913…
10-14 15:16:09	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x89ab45…
10-14 15:01:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xf8fffd…
10-14 15:01:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x5a56ee…
10-14 14:03:20	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x9a88fb…
10-14 14:02:11	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0x04d333…
10-14 14:01:44	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x150085…
10-14 14:01:20	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa8446f…
10-14 14:01:17	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x8caa8a…
10-14 14:01:12	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6a3960…
10-14 11:33:02	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xed8228…
10-14 11:33:01	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x38e1c6…
10-10 22:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xcef1b9…
10-10 22:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x89fc16…
10-10 21:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xcfa5a1…
10-10 20:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x2b7790…
10-10 19:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x7ddb11…
10-10 18:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xa1fb8a…
10-10 18:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x19662c…
10-10 17:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xcfb09b…
10-10 16:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x9b9dac…
10-10 16:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xfef588…
10-10 15:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd2d614…
10-10 15:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x766c97…
10-10 13:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xabab0e…
10-10 12:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x767e7f…